Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center · at Grambling · Conference game
Closing line
GRAM -5.5✓ GRAM covered by 11.5
Closing total146.5Over by 4.5
| This season | GRAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-10 | Record | 5-7 |
| 1-9 | ATS | 8-4 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 4-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TXSO 71–78 GRAM · ✓ GRAM (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXSO | 34 | 33 | 67 |
| GRAM | 40 | 44 | 84 |
1st half: TXSO 34, GRAM 40 (GRAM by 6). The model had GRAM by 3.7 and a total of 69.8 (actual 74).
Team stats
| TXSO | GRAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-59 41% | Field goals | 27-55 49% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 12-28 43% |
| 11-12 92% | Free throws | 18-27 67% |
| 25 9 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 9 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| TXSO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaire Hayes G | 33 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 10-16 | 5-7 |
| Troy Hupstead F | 20 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Roberts G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Josh Akpovwa F | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Zytarious Mortle G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Wysinger G | 27 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Alex Anderson G | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Duane Posey G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Andrews F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Ahmed Nedal G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Gorecki C | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Oumar Koureissi F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jordan Hamilton, Cameron Patterson, Kehlin Farooq, Kolby Granger, Josh Farmer
| GRAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickey Ballard F | 34 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Roderick Coffee III F | 29 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 6-9 | 5-8 |
| Antonio Munoz F | 24 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Jamil Muttilib G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Mekhi Fitts F | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Derrius Ward G | 29 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 7-9 | 4-5 |
| Devyn Franklin G | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Jimel Lane F | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Saliou Seye F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Randarius Jones C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nazar Mahmoud, Richard Amaefule, Chancellor Perkins, P.J. Edwards
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGRAM -5.5
ModelGRAM -6.4
Model edgeGRAM +0.9
W GRAM covered
Total
Market146.5
Model148.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
TXSO 71.2 · GRAM 77.7
TXSO 67 · GRAM 84
Win probability
GRAM 71%
1st half
Spread
GRAM -3.7
GRAM -6.0
Total
69.8
74 points
Projected score
TXSO 33 · GRAM 36.7
TXSO 34 · GRAM 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGRAM -6.5
1 → TXSO
CloseGRAM -5.5
1 pt toward TXSO
Total
Open148.5
▼ 2
Close146.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
TXSO +205 · GRAM -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GRAM -6.5 · closed GRAM -5.5 · moved 1 toward TXSOmodel GRAM -6.5
model GRAM -6.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-10 0% | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% | |
| 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
TXSO 7–4 GRAMTXSO leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · TXSO has won the last 2 meetings · TXSO 6-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | TXSO 67 @ GRAM 60 | GRAM -1.5 | TXSO W |
| Jan 6, 2024-25 | GRAM 66 @ TXSO 71 | TXSO -3.5 | TXSO W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | TXSO 66 vs GRAM 75 | GRAM +2.5 | GRAM W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | GRAM 66 @ TXSO 63 | TXSO -4.5 | GRAM W |
| Jan 8, 2023-24 | TXSO 54 @ GRAM 52 | GRAM +1.5 | TXSO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas Southern
10 games played
Straight up
0-10
0% wins
Against the spread
1-9
10% covers · avg −6.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 43-98 | +29.5 | L −25.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ | L 70-104 | +29.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs | L 90-93 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 67-77 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 74-109 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 70-82 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 53-89 | +21.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 72-108 | +34.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 22 | vs | L 68-75 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 73-84 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
GONZ
L 43-98
−25.5
6
@
TA&M
L 70-104
−4.5
12
vs
SAM
L 90-93
−0.5
15
@
TXST
L 67-77
−5.5
20
@
VAN
L 74-109
+1.5
6
vs
SHSU
L 70-82
−4.5
14
@
MINN
L 53-89
−14.5
17
@
NCSU
L 72-108
−1.5
22
vs
ACU
L 68-75
−2.5
3
@
SOU
L 73-84
−4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 9avg −6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
GONZ
L 43-98
−16.5
6
@
TA&M
L 70-104
+12.5
12
vs
SAM
L 90-93
+29.5
15
@
TXST
L 67-77
−0.5
20
@
VAN
L 74-109
+18.5
6
vs
SHSU
L 70-82
−6.5
14
@
MINN
L 53-89
−2.5
17
@
NCSU
L 72-108
+27.5
22
vs
ACU
L 68-75
+4.5
3
@
SOU
L 73-84
+3.5
over 6under 4avg +7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grambling
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ | L 62-102 | +33.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 9 | @ | W 73-70 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 75-70 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 68-78 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 59-72 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 74-83 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 63-65 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 8 | @ | L 60-68 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 80-68 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 135.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 23 | @ | L 63-89 | +28.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 76-72 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
ISU
L 62-102
−6.5
9
@
HOW
W 73-70
+7.5
13
vs
USM
W 75-70
+2.5
18
@
USD
L 68-78
−3.5
21
@
CBU
L 59-72
+1.5
24
@
UCR
L 74-83
−5.5
2
@
TULN
L 63-65
+9.5
8
@
USM
L 60-68
+0.5
18
vs
NORF
W 80-68
+13.5
19
vs
HAMP
W 81-72
+10.5
23
@
OSU
L 63-89
+2.5
3
vs
PV
W 76-72
−3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
ISU
L 62-102
+19.5
9
@
HOW
W 73-70
−9.5
13
vs
USM
W 75-70
−3.5
18
@
USD
L 68-78
−3.5
21
@
CBU
L 59-72
−13.5
24
@
UCR
L 74-83
+12.5
2
@
TULN
L 63-65
−20.5
8
@
USM
L 60-68
−14.5
18
vs
NORF
W 80-68
+12.5
19
vs
HAMP
W 81-72
+15.5
23
@
OSU
L 63-89
−1.5
3
vs
PV
W 76-72
−7.5
over 4under 8avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas Southern
0-10 overall · 0-1 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Southern73–84
- Lvs Abilene Chrstn68–75
- L@ NC State72–108
- L@ Minnesota53–89
- Lvs Sam Houston70–82
2 days since their last game.
Grambling
5-7 overall · 1-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Prairie View76–72
- L@ Ohio State63–89
- Wvs Hampton81–72
- Wvs Norfolk St80–68
- L@ Southern Miss60–68
2 days since their last game.