Jadwin Gymnasium · at Princeton · Conference game
Closing line
PRIN -3.5✓ PENN covered by 1.5
PRIN -3.5✓ PENN covered by 1.5Closing total145.5Over by 8.5
 PENN | This season | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | Record | 3-11 |
| 7-5 | ATS | 10-4 |
| 4-8 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PENN 72–74 PRIN · ✓ PRIN (55%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 32 | 44 | 76 |
| PRIN | 24 | 54 | 78 |
1st half: PENN 32, PRIN 24 (PENN by 8). The model had PRIN by 0.8 and a total of 68.5 (actual 56).
Team stats
| PENN | PRIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-57 46% | Field goals | 28-52 54% |
| 5-12 42% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 19-19 100% | Free throws | 15-23 65% |
| 35 13 off | Rebounds | 23 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power F | 38 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| Ethan Roberts G | 38 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 5-12 | 1-1 |
| AJ Levine G | 27 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 26 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 30 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Lucas Lueth F | 16 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Cam Thrower G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Niklas Polonowski G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jay Jones G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: William Kruse, Payton Kamin, Ryan Altman, Michelangelo Oberti, Bradyn Foster, Dylan Williams, Alex Massung, Johnnie Walter, Chris Ubochi
| PRIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hicke G | 37 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Jack Stanton G | 35 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 7-12 | 3-7 |
| Malik Abdullahi F | 34 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Landon Clark G | 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| CJ Happy F | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Huggins F | 26 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Dalen Davis G | 21 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 8-13 | 2-5 |
| Sebastian Whitfield G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jake Sussberg, Ryan Mandes, Cash McSweeney, Will Kutzler, Cooper Mueller, Zio Kim, Peyton Seals, Jacob Hammond
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPRIN -3.5
ModelPRIN -1.5
Model edgePENN +2.0
W PENN covered
Total
Market145.5
Model146.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
W Over
Projected score
PENN 72.4 · PRIN 73.9
PENN 76 · PRIN 78
Win probability
PRIN 55%
1st half
Spread
PRIN -0.8
PENN -8.0
Total
68.5
56 points
Projected score
PENN 33.9 · PRIN 34.7
PENN 32 · PRIN 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPRIN -1.5
2 → PRIN
ClosePRIN -3.5
2 pts toward PRIN
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PENN +136 · PRIN -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PRIN -1.5 · closed PRIN -3.5 · moved 2 toward PRINmodel PRIN -1.5
model PRIN -1.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
| PRIN | 2-8 20% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PENN 0–9 PRINPRIN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · PRIN has won the last 9 meetings · PENN 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | PENN 71 @ PRIN 95 | PRIN -8.5 | PRIN W |
| Feb 7, 2024-25 | PRIN 61 @ PENN 59 | PENN +8.5 | PENN W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | PRIN 105 @ PENN 83 | PENN +6.5 | PRIN W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | PENN 70 @ PRIN 77 | PRIN -10.5 | PENN W |
| Mar 11, 2022-23 | PENN 70 @ PRIN 77 | PRIN -1.5 | PRIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ PROV | L 81-106 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 17 | vs JOES | W 83-74 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ DREX | W 84-68 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | vs MRMK | W 77-65 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs LAS | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs HOF | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ VILL | L 63-90 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 8 | vs LAF | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 20 | @ RUTG | L 69-70 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | @ GMU | L 79-83 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | vs NJIT | W 80-61 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−15.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
−8.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−5.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
+10.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+12.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−12.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
+2.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−4.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
−11.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+15.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
−10.5
over 4under 8avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Princeton
14 games played
Straight up
3-11
21% wins
Against the spread
10-4
71% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ AKR | L 69-104 | +13.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 11 | vs BUCK | W 73-63 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | @ KU | L 57-76 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | @ IONA | L 69-89 | +2.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | vs NE | W 70-57 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 24 | vs BRAD | L 64-88 | +9.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TEM | L 75-79 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVM | L 74-79 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vsJOES | L 58-60 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONM | L 58-63 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 6 | @ LUC | L 68-73 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 10 | vsMRMK | L 56-59 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 22 | @TEM | L 61-65 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vsUVM | W 75-69 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
−21.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
+5.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
+3.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
−17.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
+10.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
−14.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+4.5
26
vsUVM
UVML 74-79
+0.5
30
vsJOES
JOESL 58-60
+3.5
3
@MONM
MONML 58-63
+0.5
6
@LUC
LUCL 68-73
+1.5
10
vsMRMK
MRMKL 56-59
−5.5
22
@TEM
TEML 61-65
+4.5
30
vsUVM
UVMW 75-69
+9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 4avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
+16.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
−10.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
−11.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
+3.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
−18.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
+10.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+8.5
26
vsUVM
UVML 74-79
+12.5
30
vsJOES
JOESL 58-60
−28.5
3
@MONM
MONML 58-63
−18.5
6
@LUC
LUCL 68-73
+4.5
10
vsMRMK
MRMKL 56-59
−19.5
22
@TEM
TEML 61-65
−13.5
30
vsUVM
UVMW 75-69
+7.5
over 7under 7avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn
6-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NJIT80–61
- L@ George Mason79–83
- L@ Rutgers69–70
- Wvs Lafayette74–72
- L@ Villanova63–90
5 days since their last game.
Princeton
3-11 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Vermont75–69
- L@ Temple61–65
- Lvs Merrimack56–59
- L@ Loyola Chicago68–73
- L@ Monmouth58–63
6 days since their last game.