EagleBank Arena · at George Mason
Closing line
GMU -16.5✓ PENN covered by 12.5
GMU -16.5✓ PENN covered by 12.5Closing total146.5Over by 15.5
 PENN | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 10-1 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 3-7 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PENN 66–81 GMU · ✓ GMU (91%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 40 | 39 | 79 |
| GMU | 42 | 41 | 83 |
1st half: PENN 40, GMU 42 (GMU by 2). The model had GMU by 9.1 and a total of 68.7 (actual 82).
Team stats
| PENN | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-63 48% | Field goals | 34-60 57% |
| 11-26 42% | 3-pointers | 1-15 7% |
| 8-15 53% | Free throws | 14-28 50% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 19 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 7 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zanoni G | 38 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 9-14 | 5-9 |
| Cam Thrower G | 37 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 4-15 | 2-7 |
| TJ Power F | 29 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| AJ Levine G | 26 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 20 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lucas Lueth F | 22 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jay Jones G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Alex Massung G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michelangelo Oberti F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: William Kruse, Payton Kamin, Chris Ubochi, Ryan Altman, Bradyn Foster, Dylan Williams, Johnnie Walter, Ethan Roberts, Niklas Polonowski
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahari Long G | 35 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 5-11 | 0-3 |
| Kory Mincy G | 35 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 6-15 | 1-8 |
| Malik Presley G | 27 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Masai Troutman G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 24 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fatt Hill G | 19 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 7-8 | 0-1 |
| Nick Ellington F | 18 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 13 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Stas Sivka F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devin Booker, Dola Adebayo, Brayden O'Connor, Ryan-Preston Mendy, Isaiah Skinn, Ben Woodward, T.J. Prosise
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -16.5
no move
CloseGMU -16.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▼ 2
Close146.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PENN +1100 · GMU -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -16.5 · unchangedmodel GMU -15.5
model GMU -15.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 downmodel 146.5 matches the line
model 146.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GMU -16.5 | GMU -15.4 | PENN +1.1 | W PENN covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 146.6 | Over 0.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PENN 65.6 · GMU 81 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GMU -9.1 | GMU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 68.7 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | PENN 29.8 · GMU 38.9 | PENN 40 · GMU 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| GMU | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PENN 0–2 GMUGMU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · GMU has won the last 2 meetings · PENN 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024-25 | PENN 53 @ GMU 85 | GMU -15.5 | GMU W |
| Nov 12, 2021-22 | PENN 66 @ GMU 87 | GMU -8 | GMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ PROV | L 81-106 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 17 | vs JOES | W 83-74 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ DREX | W 84-68 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | vs MRMK | W 77-65 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs LAS | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs HOF | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ VILL | L 63-90 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 8 | vs LAF | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 20 | @ RUTG | L 69-70 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−15.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
−8.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−5.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
+10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−12.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
+2.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−4.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
−11.5
over 3under 7avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
11 games played
Straight up
10-1
91% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
over 5under 6avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rutgers69–70
- Wvs Lafayette74–72
- L@ Villanova63–90
- Lvs Hofstra60–77
- Wvs La Salle73–71
A week or more of rest.
George Mason
10-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola MD86–79
- Wvs Old Dominion73–61
- L@ Virginia Tech62–73
- Wvs Cornell99–81
- Wvs James Madison82–66
A week or more of rest.