The Palestra · at Penn
Closing line
PENN -7.5✓ LAF covered by 5.5
PENN -7.5✓ LAF covered by 5.5Closing total150.5Under by 4.5
 LAF | This season | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 4-4 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 6-2 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAF 70–79 PENN · ✓ PENN (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 33 | 39 | 72 |
| PENN | 41 | 33 | 74 |
1st half: LAF 33, PENN 41 (PENN by 8). The model had PENN by 5.2 and a total of 70.0 (actual 74).
Team stats
| LAF | PENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 28-66 42% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 12-19 63% |
| 35 6 off | Rebounds | 37 13 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams G | 37 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 8-16 | 4-8 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 37 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-7 |
| Mark Butler G | 37 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 36 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 16 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 12 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Misha Bednostin C | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Folabomi Fayemi G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Wallace G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Azzinaro, KaiMani Murdock, Justin Vander Baan, Beckett Currie, Ryan Pettit, Malik Rasul, TJ Berger, Joshua Wyche, Chris Rubayo, Luka Savicevic
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power F | 38 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 5-15 | 1-5 |
| AJ Levine G | 32 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 25 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Cam Thrower G | 23 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-2 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 19 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lucas Lueth F | 26 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 18 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Williams G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jay Jones G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Johnnie Walter F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Niklas Polonowski G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: William Kruse, Payton Kamin, Ethan Roberts, Ryan Altman, Michelangelo Oberti, Bradyn Foster, Alex Massung, Chris Ubochi
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPENN -7.5
no move
ClosePENN -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▼ 2
Close150.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LAF +280 · PENN -355
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PENN -7.5 · unchangedmodel PENN -9
model PENN -9
Opened 152.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PENN -7.5 | PENN -8.8 | PENN +1.3 | L LAF covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 149.5 | Under 1.0 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | LAF 70.4 · PENN 79.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PENN -5.2 | PENN -8.0 |
| 1H total | 70.0 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | LAF 32.4 · PENN 37.6 | LAF 33 · PENN 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAFlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 3-5 38% | 6-2 75% |
| PENNlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LAF 1–3 PENNPENN leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · LAF 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024-25 | PENN 63 @ LAF 65 | LAF +2.5 | LAF W |
| Nov 24, 2023-24 | LAF 72 @ PENN 74 | PENN -10.5 | LAF W |
| Nov 22, 2022-23 | PENN 74 @ LAF 68 | LAF +6.5 | LAF W |
| Nov 16, 2021-22 | LAF 57 @ PENN 85 | PENN -10 | PENN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lafayette
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vs COR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @ STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
over 6under 2avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ PROV | L 81-106 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 17 | vsJOES | W 83-74 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ DREX | W 84-68 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | vs MRMK | W 77-65 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs LAS | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs HOF | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ VILL | L 63-90 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−15.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
−8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−12.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
+2.5
over 3under 5avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lafayette
2-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mercyhurst79–71
- Lvs Monmouth74–88
- Wvs Ball State55–37
- Lvs Le Moyne63–76
- L@ Stonehill70–74
3 days since their last game.
Penn
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Villanova63–90
- Lvs Hofstra60–77
- Wvs La Salle73–71
- Wvs Merrimack77–65
- W@ Drexel84–68
2 days since their last game.