Kirby Sports Center · at Lafayette
Closing line
LAF -4.5✓ LEM covered by 17.5
Closing total151.5Under by 12.5
| This season | LAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 0-5 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 5-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LEM 74–78 LAF · ✗ LAF (66%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEM | 38 | 38 | 76 |
| LAF | 38 | 25 | 63 |
1st half: LEM 38, LAF 38 (tied). The model had LAF by 2.7 and a total of 71.2 (actual 76).
Team stats
| LEM | LAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-59 49% | Field goals | 20-57 35% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 10-28 36% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 41 11 off | Rebounds | 29 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 7 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shilo Jackson F | 35 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 9-13 | 0-0 |
| Trent Mosquera G | 34 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Jakai Sanders G | 33 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 2-10 | 0-2 |
| Deng Garang G | 25 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| Jakob Blakley G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tennessee Rainwater F | 24 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Samuel Hincapie G | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Eli Greenberg G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Trevor Roe F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Nyakundi F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josiah Lee, Kaelin Thomas, Sam Donnelly, Nate Fouts, Ametri Moss
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams G | 37 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 5-16 | 5-13 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 36 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 5-14 | 4-9 |
| Mark Butler G | 35 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 25 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Pettit G | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 19 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Folabomi Fayemi G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ashton Wallace, Luke Azzinaro, KaiMani Murdock, Beckett Currie, TJ Berger, Joshua Wyche, Misha Bednostin, Luka Savicevic, Chris Rubayo, Malik Rasul, Justin Vander Baan
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLAF -4.5
ModelLAF -4.7
Model edgeLAF +0.2
L LEM covered
Total
Market151.5
Model152.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
L Under
Projected score
LEM 73.6 · LAF 78.3
LEM 76 · LAF 63
Win probability
LAF 66%
1st half
Spread
LAF -2.7
tied
Total
71.2
76 points
Projected score
LEM 34.3 · LAF 36.9
LEM 38 · LAF 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLAF -4.5
no move
CloseLAF -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▼ 2
Close151.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LEM +170 · LAF -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LAF -4.5 · unchangedmodel LAF -4.5 matches the line
model LAF -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 153.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-4 20% | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | |
| 0-5 0% | 2-3 40% | 5-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Le Moyne
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
XAV
L 69-74
+19.5
9
@
BGSU
L 60-83
−11.5
13
@
MASS
L 80-94
+2.5
17
vs
NIA
W 74-68
+3.5
22
vs
FAIR
L 83-97
−12.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
XAV
L 69-74
−13.5
9
@
BGSU
L 60-83
−11.5
13
@
MASS
L 80-94
+20.5
17
vs
NIA
W 74-68
+3.5
22
vs
FAIR
L 83-97
+34.5
over 3under 2avg +6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lafayette
5 games played
Straight up
0-5
0% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-0
100% overs · avg +9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
JOES
L 76-85
+4.5
8
@
TEX
L 60-97
−11.5
13
vs
COR
L 78-97
−14.5
17
@
WVU
L 59-81
+2.5
21
@
STO
L 70-74
−5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
JOES
L 76-85
+22.5
8
@
TEX
L 60-97
+3.5
13
vs
COR
L 78-97
+14.5
17
@
WVU
L 59-81
+4.5
21
@
STO
L 70-74
+2.5
over 5under 0avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Le Moyne
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fairfield83–97
- Wvs Niagara74–68
- L@ UMass80–94
- L@ Bowling Green60–83
- L@ Xavier69–74
6 days since their last game.
Lafayette
0-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Stonehill70–74
- L@ West Virginia59–81
- Lvs Cornell78–97
- L@ Texas60–97
- L@ Saint Joseph's76–85
A week or more of rest.