Resorts World Event Center · Neutral site
Closing line
UCSB -10.5✓ LEH covered by 8.5
UCSB -10.5✓ LEH covered by 8.5Closing total146.5Under by 4.5
| UCSB | This season | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 1-5 |
| 1-3 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSB 78–72 LEH · ✓ UCSB (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 33 | 39 | 72 |
| LEH | 34 | 36 | 70 |
1st half: UCSB 33, LEH 34 (LEH by 1). The model had UCSB by 3.7 and a total of 70.2 (actual 67).
Team stats
| UCSB | LEH | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 19-46 41% |
| 2-12 17% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 28-32 88% | Free throws | 21-23 91% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 7 | Assists | 15 |
| 10 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 12 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 33 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-2 |
| Miro Little G | 33 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-3 |
| Colin Smith F | 29 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Zion Sensley G | 23 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 19 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Shaw G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| ZZ Clark G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Haughy, Koat Keat Tong, John Simcoe, Luke Zuffelato, Bryce Bedgood, Isaac Shingange, Jason Fontenet II
| LEH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ingram G | 33 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Nasir Whitlock G | 32 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 5-13 | 3-7 |
| Hank Alvey C | 28 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 7-9 | 2-2 |
| Caleb Thomas G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Peter Kramer G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Vazquez G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Jake Pike F | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Urosevic G | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Henri Adiassa C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alfredo Addesa F | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Brendan Reed, Caesar Burrows, Bube Momah, Edouard Benoit, Tommy Conniff
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSB -10.5
ModelUCSB -5.8
Model edgeLEH +4.7
W LEH covered
Total
Market146.5
Model150.0
Model edgeOver 3.5
L Under
Projected score
UCSB 77.9 · LEH 72.1
UCSB 72 · LEH 70
Win probability
UCSB 70%
1st half
Spread
UCSB -3.7
LEH -1.0
Total
70.2
67 points
Projected score
UCSB 37 · LEH 33.3
UCSB 33 · LEH 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -11.5
1 → LEH
CloseUCSB -10.5
1 pt toward LEH
Total
Open148.5
▼ 2
Close146.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UCSB -700 · LEH +450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -11.5 · closed UCSB -10.5 · moved 1 toward LEHmodel UCSB -6
model UCSB -6
Opened 148.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSBlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% |
| LEHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Barbara
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@
SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vs
LMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@
NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
over 3under 1avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lehigh
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
HOU
HOUL 57-75
+18.5
9
@
WVU
WVUL 47-69
−4.5
14
@
RUTG
RUTGL 72-84
+6.5
18
vs
SFPA
SFPAW 79-62
+6.5
21
vs
COLU
COLUL 67-82
−12.5
25
@
MRST
MRSTL 55-78
−15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOU
HOUL 57-75
−4.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 47-69
−23.5
14
@RUTG
RUTGL 72-84
+19.5
18
vsSFPA
SFPAW 79-62
−10.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUL 67-82
+5.5
25
@MRST
MRSTL 55-78
+0.5
over 3under 3avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Barbara
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nevada64–77
- Lvs LMU74–78
- W@ Sacramento St92–87
- Wvs San José St85–74
6 days since their last game.
Lehigh
1-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Marist55–78
- Lvs Columbia67–82
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves79–62
- L@ Rutgers72–84
- L@ West Virginia47–69
3 days since their last game.