EagleBank Arena · at George Mason
Closing line
GMU -23.5✓ L-MD covered by 16.5
GMU -23.5✓ L-MD covered by 16.5Closing total146.5Over by 18.5
 L-MD | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-8 | Record | 9-1 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: L-MD 61–83 GMU · ✓ GMU (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 40 | 39 | 79 |
| GMU | 35 | 51 | 86 |
1st half: L-MD 40, GMU 35 (L-MD by 5). The model had GMU by 13.2 and a total of 67.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| L-MD | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-61 43% | Field goals | 27-56 48% |
| 13-29 45% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 27-34 79% |
| 33 12 off | Rebounds | 37 12 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 9 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 29 | Fouls | 16 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Stiemke G | 36 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Braeden Speed G | 36 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 9-19 | 3-6 |
| Jacob Theodosiou G | 29 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 6-11 | 4-7 |
| Emmett Adair F | 17 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Sam Springer F | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyson Commander G | 24 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Everett Barnes F | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Sebastien Emenalo F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Troy Cicero Jr. G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Brennan G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Carter Berg-McLean G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peter Sposito, Jonas Sirtautas, Goap Kodi, Ben Menker
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy G | 39 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 7-16 | 2-5 |
| Jahari Long G | 38 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 7-12 | 1-5 |
| Malik Presley G | 33 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 27 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-2 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 9 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Masai Troutman G | 31 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Stas Sivka F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Devin Booker G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nick Ellington F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Woodward, T.J. Prosise, Fatt Hill, Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy, Brayden O'Connor
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -24.5
1 → L-MD
CloseGMU -23.5
1 pt toward L-MD
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
L-MD +3000 · GMU -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -24.5 · closed GMU -23.5 · moved 1 toward L-MDmodel GMU -22
model GMU -22
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GMU -23.5 | GMU -22.2 | L-MD +1.3 | W L-MD covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 143.9 | Under 2.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | L-MD 60.9 · GMU 83 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GMU -13.2 | L-MD -5.0 |
| 1H total | 67.4 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | L-MD 27.1 · GMU 40.3 | L-MD 40 · GMU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| GMU | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
L-MD 0–1 GMUGMU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · L-MD 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023-24 | L-MD 54 @ GMU 62 | GMU -14.5 | L-MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Loyola MD
10 games played
Straight up
2-8
20% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TOW | L 56-67 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs NJIT | L 64-66 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs STO | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ FAIR | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 19 | @ DUQ | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ UK | L 46-88 | +35.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 30 | vs COPP | W 95-84 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ HAMP | L 71-93 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ VMI | L 70-86 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSM | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−2.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−12.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
+4.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+2.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+0.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−6.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+1.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
−15.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
−18.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
−5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−18.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−9.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
−1.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+31.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+19.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−25.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+35.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
+21.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
+4.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
+2.5
over 6under 4avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
10 games played
Straight up
9-1
90% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
over 4under 6avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Loyola MD
2-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Mount St Marys73–81
- L@ VMI70–86
- L@ Hampton71–93
- Wvs Coppin St95–84
- L@ Kentucky46–88
A week or more of rest.
George Mason
9-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Old Dominion73–61
- L@ Virginia Tech62–73
- Wvs Cornell99–81
- Wvs James Madison82–66
- Wvs FAU74–65
A week or more of rest.