Moody Coliseum (Dallas) · at SMU
Closing line
SMU -24.5✓ CARK covered by 7.5
Closing total156.5Over by 24.5
| This season | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 9-2 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 3-7 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CARK 67–90 SMU · ✓ SMU (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CARK | 47 | 35 | 82 |
| SMU | 51 | 48 | 99 |
1st half: CARK 47, SMU 51 (SMU by 4). The model had SMU by 13.5 and a total of 73.5 (actual 98).
Team stats
| CARK | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-61 48% | Field goals | 40-68 59% |
| 12-26 46% | 3-pointers | 11-33 33% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 8-10 80% |
| 25 12 off | Rebounds | 39 16 off |
| 19 | Assists | 26 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| CARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camren Hunter G | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-3 |
| Ty Robinson G | 33 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 11-17 | 4-7 |
| Luke Moore G | 30 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3-9 | 2-3 |
| Malchiah Marable F | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Cole McCormick G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Javion Guy-King G | 22 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 5-13 | 4-8 |
| Truman Byrne F | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Harry Beauchamp G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Lee G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Parker Applegate G | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ethan Thomas, Rashad Bolden, Chris Mason, R.J. Newton, J.C. Shulman, Owen Dehrmann, Rylie Marshall
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller G | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 9-13 | 3-6 |
| B.J. Edwards G | 30 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6-12 | 3-8 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 29 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 25 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 8-15 | 4-10 |
| Corey Washington F | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Jaden Toombs F | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Sam Walters F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chance Puryear G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nigel Walls, Billy White III, Trey Utter, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -21.5
3 → SMU
CloseSMU -24.5
3 pts toward SMU
Total
Open152.5
▲ 4
Close156.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
CARK +2500 · SMU -9000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -21.5 · closed SMU -24.5 · moved 3 toward SMUmodel SMU -22.5
model SMU -22.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 4 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMU -24.5 | SMU -22.6 | CARK +1.9 | W CARK covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 157.0 | Over 0.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CARK 67.2 · SMU 89.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMU -13.5 | SMU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 73.5 | 98 |
| 1H projected score | CARK 30 · SMU 43.5 | CARK 47 · SMU 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | |
| 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Arkansas
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg +8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 54-94 | +31.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 56-93 | +35.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 77-84 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 56-74 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 92-65 | +4.5 | W +31.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 81-60 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 85-47 | -3.5 | W +34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 68-75 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 72-83 | +36.5 | W +25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UNC
L 54-94
−8.5
11
@
ARK
L 56-93
−1.5
16
vs
SAM
L 77-84
−0.5
20
@
UNT
L 56-74
−1.5
23
vs
EWU
W 92-65
+31.5
25
vs
EIU
W 81-60
+15.5
29
@
ETSU
L 57-80
−10.5
3
vs
LR
W 85-47
+34.5
7
@
ETAM
L 68-75
−4.5
13
@
VAN
L 72-83
+25.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
UNC
L 54-94
−9.5
11
@
ARK
L 56-93
−9.5
16
vs
SAM
L 77-84
+9.5
20
@
UNT
L 56-74
−4.5
23
vs
EWU
W 92-65
+2.5
25
vs
EIU
W 81-60
+1.5
29
@
ETSU
L 57-80
−7.5
3
vs
LR
W 85-47
−6.5
7
@
ETAM
L 68-75
−2.5
13
@
VAN
L 72-83
−3.5
over 3under 7avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
SMU
11 games played
Straight up
9-2
82% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
TAR
W 96-76
−1.5
6
vs
AMCC
W 69-58
−12.5
11
vs
MUR
W 102-91
+0.5
15
vs
BTLR
W 87-85
−5.5
18
vs
UAPB
W 106-60
+10.5
21
vs
ARST
W 100-69
+16.5
24
vs
RAD
W 89-72
−6.5
28
@
MSST
W 87-81
+7.5
3
@
VAN
L 69-88
−8.5
7
vs
TA&M
W 93-80
+14.5
13
vs
LSU
L 77-89
−10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
TAR
W 96-76
+27.5
6
vs
AMCC
W 69-58
−33.5
11
vs
MUR
W 102-91
+28.5
15
vs
BTLR
W 87-85
+8.5
18
vs
UAPB
W 106-60
−2.5
21
vs
ARST
W 100-69
−3.5
24
vs
RAD
W 89-72
−4.5
28
@
MSST
W 87-81
+5.5
3
@
VAN
L 69-88
−8.5
7
vs
TA&M
W 93-80
+8.5
13
vs
LSU
L 77-89
+7.5
over 6under 5avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Arkansas
3-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Vanderbilt72–83
- L@ East Texas A&M68–75
- Wvs Little Rock85–47
- L@ ETSU57–80
- Wvs E Illinois81–60
A week or more of rest.
SMU
9-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs LSU77–89
- Wvs Texas A&M93–80
- L@ Vanderbilt69–88
- W@ Mississippi St87–81
- Wvs Radford89–72
A week or more of rest.