Eastern Washington Eagles at Central Arkansas Bears: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 23, 2:00 PM ETFarris Center · at C Arkansas

Final

#240CARKC Arkansas92▲ winner

Closing lineEWU -4.5✓ CARK covered by 31.5

Closing total154.5Over by 2.5

Season records: E Washington and C Arkansas
EWU	This season	CARK
0-4	Record	0-4
3-1	ATS	0-4
3-1	O/U	1-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: EWU 81–75 CARK · ✗ EWU (71%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
EWU	27	38	65
CARK	45	47	92

1st half: EWU 27, CARK 45 (CARK by 18). The model had EWU by 3.9 and a total of 73.0 (actual 72).

Team stats

EWU		CARK
22-59 37%	Field goals	34-62 55%
12-35 34%	3-pointers	15-30 50%
9-13 69%	Free throws	9-14 64%
37 14 off	Rebounds	35 10 off
11	Assists	19
6	Steals	14
2	Blocks	3
22	Turnovers	12
15	Fouls	15
20	Points in paint	38
6	Fast-break points	10

Players

EWU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Alton Hamilton IV F	26	2	6	1	1-1	0-0
Isaiah Moses G	26	17	2	1	7-12	3-7
Straton Rogers G	24	7	7	1	3-5	0-0
Elijah Thomas G	24	5	3	2	1-3	1-3
Kiree Huie F	13	2	2	1	0-6	0-0
Bench
Johnny Radford G	18	14	3	1	4-12	4-12
Jojo Anderson G	18	2	1	2	1-3	0-1
Tyler Powell G	15	9	4	0	3-6	2-5
Emmett Marquardt F	14	0	1	0	0-3	0-2
Cole Scherer G	10	1	1	2	0-4	0-2
Shaumba Ngoyi F	7	0	5	0	0-0	0-0
Maddox Monson G	5	6	2	0	2-4	2-3

Did not play: Alan Gballou, Andrew Cook, Angelo Winkel

CARK	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Luke Moore G	29	12	3	3	4-6	2-3
Camren Hunter G	26	19	0	3	8-13	2-4
Cole McCormick G	25	11	2	3	4-7	2-4
Ty Robinson G	23	18	5	2	7-13	4-8
Malchiah Marable F	15	4	5	3	2-2	0-0
Bench
Harry Beauchamp G	18	5	1	1	2-5	1-3
Truman Byrne F	18	2	5	1	1-5	0-1
Javion Guy-King G	15	10	4	2	4-7	2-4
Tyler Lee G	14	5	3	0	1-2	1-1
Parker Applegate G	7	2	3	0	0-1	0-1
Ethan Thomas G	4	1	0	1	0-0	0-0
Owen Dehrmann G	3	3	1	0	1-1	1-1
J.C. Shulman G	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Rashad Bolden, Chris Mason, R.J. Newton, Rylie Marshall

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	EWU -4.5	EWU -6.3	EWU +1.8	L CARK covered
Total	154.5	155.9	Over 1.4	W Over
Projected score	—	EWU 81.1 · CARK 74.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	EWU -3.9	CARK -18.0
1H total	73.0	72
1H projected score	EWU 38.5 · CARK 34.5	EWU 27 · CARK 45

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
EWU WWWL	3-1	75%	3-1	—
CARK LLLL	0-4	0%	0-1	0-4

Venue/role: EWU away, as favorite; CARK home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
EWU OUOO	3-1	75%	0-4
CARK UUOU	1-3	25%	0-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
EWUlast 4	0-4 0%	3-1 75%	3-1 75%
CARKlast 4	0-4 0%	0-4 0%	1-3 25%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

E Washington

4 games played

Straight up

0-4

0% wins

Against the spread

3-1

75% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-1

75% overs · avg +10.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-175%

W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-175%

O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@UCLA	L 74-80	+29.5	W +23.5	149.5	O 154
Nov 5	@LMU	L 62-70	+9.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 132
Nov 8	@COLO	L 97-102	+16.5	W +11.5	152.5	O 199
Nov 12	@SEA	L 67-94	+8.5	L −18.5	148.5	O 161

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UCLA

L 74-80

+23.5

LMU

L 62-70

+1.5

COLO

L 97-102

+11.5

SEA

L 67-94

−18.5

covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UCLA

L 74-80

+4.5

LMU

L 62-70

−21.5

COLO

L 97-102

+46.5

SEA

L 67-94

+12.5

over 3under 1avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

C Arkansas

4 games played

Straight up

0-4

0% wins

Against the spread

0-4

0% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-3

25% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

1-325%

U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@UNC	L 54-94	+31.5	L −8.5	157.5	U 148
Nov 11	@ARK	L 56-93	+35.5	L −1.5	158.5	U 149
Nov 16	vsSAM	L 77-84	+6.5	L −0.5	151.5	O 161
Nov 20	@UNT	L 56-74	+16.5	L −1.5	134.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UNC

L 54-94

−8.5

ARK

L 56-93

−1.5

SAM

L 77-84

−0.5

UNT

L 56-74

−1.5

covered 0didn’t cover 4avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UNC

L 54-94

−9.5

ARK

L 56-93

−9.5

SAM

L 77-84

+9.5

UNT

L 56-74

−4.5

over 1under 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Eastern Washington Eagles at Central Arkansas Bears

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

E Washington

C Arkansas

E Washington

C Arkansas