West Georgia Wolves at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 23, 2:00 PM ETMcCamish Pavilion · at Georgia Tech

Final

Closing lineGT -18.5✓ WGA covered by 2.5

Closing total144.5Over by 3.5

Season records: West Georgia and Georgia Tech
WGA	This season	GT
3-2	Record	4-1
4-1	ATS	2-3
1-4	O/U	1-4

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: WGA 64–79 GT · ✓ GT (90%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
WGA	34	32	66
GT	33	49	82

1st half: WGA 34, GT 33 (WGA by 1). The model had GT by 8.9 and a total of 67.3 (actual 67).

Team stats

WGA		GT
25-64 39%	Field goals	33-61 54%
7-25 28%	3-pointers	5-17 29%
9-17 53%	Free throws	11-19 58%
28 8 off	Rebounds	48 12 off
11	Assists	20
9	Steals	5
2	Blocks	5
9	Turnovers	13
13	Fouls	15
20	Points in paint	52
15	Fast-break points	10

Players

WGA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Shelton Williams-Dryden F	37	21	9	2	9-16	1-4
Josh Smith G	35	13	4	4	5-16	1-7
Kolten Griffin F	30	2	1	1	1-3	0-1
Chas Lewless G	26	7	0	2	3-10	1-7
Kenneth Chime PF	15	3	6	0	1-2	0-0
Bench
JaVar Daniel F	25	4	4	0	0-7	0-0
Malcolm Noel G	14	13	1	1	5-6	3-4
Xavier Shegog F	13	3	0	1	1-3	1-1
Brady Hardewig G	3	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Eric Baldassarre G	2	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Matija Zuzic, Maddox Fowles, Micah Smith, Cameron Merritt, Max Young, Nate Jones

GT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kam Craft G	33	15	5	0	6-13	1-5
Kowacie Reeves Jr. F	31	18	3	2	7-11	4-7
Baye Ndongo F	31	14	14	5	7-10	0-1
Mouhamed Sylla C	29	13	11	0	5-8	0-0
Jaeden Mustaf G	22	6	5	5	3-5	0-0
Bench
Lamar Washington G	23	8	4	7	3-5	0-1
Akai Fleming G	17	1	2	0	0-5	0-2
Peyton Marshall C	10	7	2	1	2-3	0-0
Eric Chatfield Jr. F	4	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Davi Remagen, Dyllan Thompson, Cole Kirouac, Brandon Stores Jr., Chas Kelley III

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	GT -18.5	GT -14.9	WGA +3.6	W WGA covered
Total	144.5	143.7	Under 0.8	L Over
Projected score	—	WGA 64.4 · GT 79.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	GT -8.9	WGA -1.0
1H total	67.3	67
1H projected score	WGA 29.2 · GT 38.1	WGA 34 · GT 33

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WGA LWWWW	4-1	80%	2-1	2-1
GT LWLWL	2-3	40%	1-3	1-3

Venue/role: WGA away, as underdog; GT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
WGA UUOUU	1-4	20%	3-2
GT UUUOU	1-4	20%	4-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WGAlast 5	3-2 60%	4-1 80%	1-4 20%
GTlast 5	4-1 80%	2-3 40%	1-4 20%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

WGA 0–1 GTGT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WGA 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 6, 2024-25	WGA 62 @ GT 85	GT -23.5	WGA W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

West Georgia

5 games played

Straight up

3-2

60% wins

Against the spread

4-1

80% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-4

20% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-260%

L L W W W

3 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-180%

L W W W W

4 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

1-420%

U U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@NEB	L 53-86	+24.5	L −8.5	153.5	U 139
Nov 10	@UCLA	L 62-83	+30.5	W +9.5	146.5	U 145
Nov 14	vsCIT	W 100-92	-6.5	W +1.5	150.5	O 192
Nov 17	@TNTC	W 61-59	+4.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 120
Nov 21	vsUPST	W 72-64	-2.5	W +5.5	153.5	U 136

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NEB

L 53-86

−8.5

UCLA

L 62-83

+9.5

CIT

W 100-92

+1.5

TNTC

W 61-59

+6.5

UPST

W 72-64

+5.5

covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NEB

L 53-86

−14.5

UCLA

L 62-83

−1.5

CIT

W 100-92

+41.5

TNTC

W 61-59

−32.5

UPST

W 72-64

−17.5

over 1under 4avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Georgia Tech

5 games played

Straight up

4-1

80% wins

Against the spread

2-3

40% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-4

20% overs · avg −12.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-180%

W W W L W

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-340%

L W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-420%

U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsUMES	W 56-52	-28.5	L −24.5	139.5	U 108
Nov 7	vsBRY	W 74-45	-15.5	W +13.5	138.5	U 119
Nov 10	vsSELA	W 70-60	-14.5	L −4.5	133.5	U 130
Nov 14	@UGA	L 87-92	+15.5	W +10.5	155.5	O 179
Nov 18	vsGASO	W 68-66	-10.5	L −8.5	164.5	U 134

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UMES

W 56-52

−24.5

BRY

W 74-45

+13.5

SELA

W 70-60

−4.5

UGA

L 87-92

+10.5

GASO

W 68-66

−8.5

covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UMES

W 56-52

−31.5

BRY

W 74-45

−19.5

SELA

W 70-60

−3.5

UGA

L 87-92

+23.5

GASO

W 68-66

−30.5

over 1under 4avg −12.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

West Georgia Wolves at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

West Georgia

Georgia Tech

West Georgia

Georgia Tech