Chiles Center · Neutral site
Closing line
UNCO -8.5✓ CSUF covered by 4.5
UNCO -8.5✓ CSUF covered by 4.5Closing total164.5Over by 25.5
 CSUF | This season | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 2-1 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 3-0 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUF 77–86 UNCO · ✓ UNCO (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUF | 33 | 60 | 93 |
| UNCO | 39 | 58 | 97 |
1st half: CSUF 33, UNCO 39 (UNCO by 6). The model had UNCO by 5.3 and a total of 76.6 (actual 72).
Team stats
| CSUF | UNCO | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-71 45% | Field goals | 27-60 45% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 9-31 29% |
| 23-33 70% | Free throws | 34-40 85% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 41 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 1 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 26 | Fouls | 23 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward G | 38 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 11-17 | 4-8 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro G | 34 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Bryce Cofield G | 32 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 9-21 | 0-4 |
| Christian Williams G | 27 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Seaman F | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-1 |
| Jaden Henderson G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Davis White G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| KJ Garris Jr. G | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kidus Tilahun, Bailey Nunn, Yesan Warren, Karan Kolappa, Cam Smith, Nicholas Khatchikian, Matthew Quinlan, Ben Winker
| UNCO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Bloch G | 35 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 9-14 | 7-12 |
| Quinn Denker G | 29 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 4-16 | 1-6 |
| Brock Wisne F | 27 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Ibu Yamazaki F | 26 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Ring Nyeri F | 21 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vincent Delano G | 29 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 2-9 | 0-5 |
| Egan Shields C | 23 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Ariik Mawien G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tanner Braketa G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Hunter Caldwell, Walker Asp, William Humer, Chancellor White, Kaden Ericksen, Steven Ramirez Jr., Will Dixion III
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCO -8.5
ModelUNCO -9.1
Model edgeUNCO +0.6
L CSUF covered
Total
Market164.5
Model163.6
Model edgeUnder 0.9
L Over
Projected score
CSUF 77.2 · UNCO 86.3
CSUF 93 · UNCO 97
Win probability
UNCO 79%
1st half
Spread
UNCO -5.3
UNCO -6.0
Total
76.6
72 points
Projected score
CSUF 35.6 · UNCO 41
CSUF 33 · UNCO 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCO -12.5
4 → CSUF
CloseUNCO -8.5
4 pts toward CSUF
Total
Open159.5
▲ 5
Close164.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
CSUF +340 · UNCO -450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCO -12.5 · closed UNCO -8.5 · moved 4 toward CSUFmodel UNCO -9
model UNCO -9
Opened 159.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 5 upmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUFlast 5 | 1-4 20% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
| UNCOlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fullerton
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
WYO
WYOL 82-92
+5.5
10
@
CAL
CALL 65-93
−5.5
15
vs
PAC
PACL 73-85
−5.5
21
@
PORT
PORTL 85-103
−11.5
22
vs
STMN
STMNW 88-80
+19.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+19.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−4.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−1.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
+23.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+5.5
over 3under 2avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Colorado
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
@
PEPP
PEPPW 88-81
+5.5
21
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-73
+3.5
22
@PORT
PORTW 86-80
+2.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
@PEPP
PEPPW 88-81
+15.5
21
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-73
−12.5
22
@PORT
PORTW 86-80
+8.5
over 2under 1avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fullerton
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St Thomas88–80
- L@ Portland85–103
- Lvs Pacific73–85
- L@ California65–93
- L@ Wyoming82–92
1 day since their last game.
N Colorado
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Portland86–80
- Lvs St Thomas72–73
- W@ Pepperdine88–81
1 day since their last game.