Jersey Mike’s Arena · at Rutgers · Conference game
Closing line
ORE -4.5✓ RUTG covered by 7.5
ORE -4.5✓ RUTG covered by 7.5Closing total139.5Over by 33.5
| ORE | This season | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| 8-6 | Record | 7-7 |
| 5-9 | ATS | 4-10 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORE 75–70 RUTG · ✗ ORE (68%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 45 | 31 | 9 | 85 |
| RUTG | 37 | 39 | 12 | 88 |
1st half: ORE 45, RUTG 37 (ORE by 8). The model had ORE by 3.3 and a total of 67.8 (actual 82).
Team stats
| ORE | RUTG | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-66 45% | Field goals | 26-60 43% |
| 13-32 41% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 30-34 88% |
| 43 16 off | Rebounds | 32 10 off |
| 19 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 41 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Wei Lin G | 33 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 8-14 | 6-12 |
| Nate Bittle C | 30 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 11-21 | 3-8 |
| Dez Lindsay F | 25 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 24 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devon Pryor G | 27 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Sean Stewart F | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Drew Carter G | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ege Demir C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Efe Vatan, Jackson Shelstad, Luke Johnson, Oleksandr Kobzystyi, Miles Stewart
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamichael Davis G | 31 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Harun Zrno G | 24 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Powers G | 17 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Dylan Grant F | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 30 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Tariq Francis G | 30 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 10-16 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 27 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Lino Mark G | 26 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Baye Fall, Denis Badalau, Max Fradkin, Gevonte Ware, Dorian Jones
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketORE -4.5
ModelORE -5.3
Model edgeORE +0.8
L RUTG covered
Total
Market139.5
Model144.8
Model edgeOver 5.3
W Over
Projected score
ORE 75 · RUTG 69.8
ORE 85 · RUTG 88
Win probability
ORE 68%
1st half
Spread
ORE -3.3
ORE -8.0
Total
67.8
82 points
Projected score
ORE 35.6 · RUTG 32.3
ORE 45 · RUTG 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenORE -4.5
no move
CloseORE -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▼ 3
Close139.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
ORE -205 · RUTG +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -4.5 · unchangedmodel ORE -5.5
model ORE -5.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 3 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| RUTG | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ORE 1–0 RUTGORE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ORE 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | RUTG 57 @ ORE 75 | ORE -7.5 | ORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oregon
14 games played
Straight up
8-6
57% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
over 8under 6avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rutgers
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
4-10
29% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ MICH | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ HALL | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs PENN | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DSU | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vs OSU | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
−15.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
−8.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−10.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−5.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 10avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
+7.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
+3.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−11.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−20.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+1.5
over 7under 7avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oregon
8-6 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Maryland64–54
- Wvs Omaha80–57
- Lvs Gonzaga82–91
- Wvs Portland94–69
- Wvs UC Davis104–62
3 days since their last game.
Rutgers
7-7 overall · 0-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Ohio State73–80
- Wvs Delaware St65–50
- Wvs Penn70–69
- L@ Seton Hall59–81
- L@ Michigan60–101
3 days since their last game.