NCAAB

Sunday, January 18, 2026

Day in numbers12 finalFavorites 7-5 ATS4 upsetsO/U 9-3Model Favorite 9-3Open
Games1212 final · 0 to play
Lines moved51+ pt since the open · 12 with a line
Totals moved121+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS7-558% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under9-375% over
Model Favorite9-375% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
CLT @ ECUCLT -1.5 → ECU -1.53 → ECU143.5 → 139.5▼ 4
OAK @ GBOAK -4.5 → OAK -4.5no move159.5 → 153.5▼ 6
ASU @ HOUHOU -16.5 → HOU -18.52 → HOU146.5 → 142.5▼ 4
UNT @ TULNTULN -1.5 → TULN -1.5no move133.5 → 137.5▲ 4
UTSA @ MEMMEM -20.5 → MEM -20.5no move143.5 → 147.5▲ 4
FAU @ TEMFAU -1.5 → FAU -2.51 → FAU151.5 → 148.5▼ 3
WSU @ SFSF -5.5 → SF -5.5no move143.5 → 146.5▲ 3
PSU @ MDMD -2.5 → MD -1.51 → PSU147.5 → 148.5▲ 1
AMER @ ARMYAMER -5.5 → AMER -4.51 → ARMY148.5 → 147.5▼ 1
WICH @ USFUSF -7.5 → USF -7.5no move156.5 → 158.5▲ 2
Top 10 of 12; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalConference
FAU
10-6 · #109
79
Temple
10-6 · #111
73
Spread
FAU -2.5
✓ FAU W ATS
Total
148.5 ▼3
▲ Over 152
Projected
79–76
✓ FAU won
Model: FAU by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference
Penn State
9-8 · #78
73
Maryland
7-10 · #50
96
Spread
MD -1.5
✓ MD W ATS
Total
148.5 ▲1
▲ Over 169
Projected
75–76
✓ MD won
Model: PSU by 0.6 ✗ Model: Over 2.2 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference
American
8-8 · #153
78
Army
5-11 · #288
67
Spread
AMER -4.5
✓ AMER W ATS
Total
147.5 ▼1
▼ Under 145
Projected
78–74
✓ AMER won
Model: ARMY by 1.0 ✗ Model: Over 4.6 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference
Wichita St
9-8 · #77
86
South Florida
10-6 · #84
85
Spread
USF -7.5
✓ WICH W ATS
Total
158.5 ▲2
▲ Over 171
Projected
78–85
✗ USF lost
Model: WICH by 0.4 ✓ Model: Over 3.6 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference
Charlotte
8-9 · #141
73
East Carolina
4-12 · #145
70
Spread
ECU -1.5
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
139.5 ▼4
▲ Over 143
Projected
73–72
✓ CLT won
Model: CLT by 2.9 ✓ Model: Over 5.1 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference
Oakland
9-9 · #204
88
Green Bay
9-8 · #226
63
Spread
OAK -4.5
✓ OAK W ATS
Total
153.5 ▼6
▼ Under 151
Projected
82–77
✓ OAK won
Model: OAK by 0.2 ✓ Model: Over 5.9 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference
Milwaukee
7-11 · #235
82
Purdue FW
8-8 · #249
100
Spread
PFW -3.5
✓ PFW W ATS
Total
148.5 ▲1
▲ Over 182
Projected
75–77
✓ PFW won
Model: MILW by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference
Tulsa
12-3 · #108
99
UAB
11-6 · #102
77
Spread
UAB -1.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
159.5 ▲1
▲ Over 176
Projected
80–82
✗ UAB lost
Model: UAB by 0.7 ✗ Model: Over 3.2 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference
North Texas
8-7 · #112
71
Tulane
11-5 · #130
63
Spread
TULN -1.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
137.5 ▲4
▼ Under 134
Projected
66–67
✗ TULN lost
Model: UNT by 0.7 ✓ Model: Under 4.1 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference
UTSA
2-13 · #192
69
Memphis
8-8 · #76
95
Spread
MEM -20.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
147.5 ▲4
▲ Over 164
Projected
63–83
✓ MEM won
Model: UTSA by 0.9 ✗ Model: Under 1.6 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference
Arizona St
10-7 · #60
73
Houston
16-1 · #2 AP #7
103
Spread
HOU -18.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
142.5 ▼4
▲ Over 176
Projected
64–81
✓ HOU won
Model: ASU by 1.0 ✗ Model: Over 2.3 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference
Washington St
7-11 · #139
80
San Francisco
11-8 · #161
85
Spread
SF -5.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
146.5 ▲3
▲ Over 165
Projected
71–76
✓ SF won
Model: WSU by 0.2 ✓ Model: Under 0.1 ✗
Game card ›
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
FAU
10-6 · #109
79
Temple
10-6 · #111
73
 FAU -2.5 148.5 FAU -3.1 FAU +0.6 155.0 Over 6.5 61% FAU W W ›
Final
Penn State
9-8 · #78
73
Maryland
7-10 · #50
96
 MD -1.5 148.5 MD -0.9 PSU +0.6 150.7 Over 2.2 53% MD L W ›
Final
American
8-8 · #153
78
Army
5-11 · #288
67
 AMER -4.5 147.5 AMER -3.5 ARMY +1.0 152.1 Over 4.6 62% AMER L L ›
Final
Wichita St
9-8 · #77
86
South Florida
10-6 · #84
85
 USF -7.5 158.5 USF -7.1 WICH +0.4 162.1 Over 3.6 73% USF W W ›
Final
Charlotte
8-9 · #141
73
East Carolina
4-12 · #145
70
 ECU -1.5 139.5 CLT -1.4 CLT +2.9 144.6 Over 5.1 55% CLT W W ›
Final
Oakland
9-9 · #204
88
Green Bay
9-8 · #226
63
 OAK -4.5 153.5 OAK -4.7 OAK +0.2 159.4 Over 5.9 66% OAK W L ›
Final
Milwaukee
7-11 · #235
82
Purdue FW
8-8 · #249
100
 PFW -3.5 148.5 PFW -2.0 MILW +1.5 152.0 Over 3.5 57% PFW L W ›
Final
Tulsa
12-3 · #108
99
UAB
11-6 · #102
77
 UAB -1.5 159.5 UAB -2.2 UAB +0.7 162.7 Over 3.2 57% UAB L W ›
Final
North Texas
8-7 · #112
71
Tulane
11-5 · #130
63
 TULN -1.5 137.5 TULN -0.8 UNT +0.7 133.4 Under 4.1 53% TULN W W ›
Final
UTSA
2-13 · #192
69
Memphis
8-8 · #76
95
 MEM -20.5 147.5 MEM -19.6 UTSA +0.9 145.9 Under 1.6 96% MEM L L ›
Final
Arizona St
10-7 · #60
73
Houston
16-1 · #2
103
 HOU -18.5 142.5 HOU -17.5 ASU +1.0 144.8 Over 2.3 94% HOU L W ›
Final
Washington St
7-11 · #139
80
San Francisco
11-8 · #161
85
 SF -5.5 146.5 SF -5.3 WSU +0.2 146.4 Under 0.1 68% SF W L ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record