XFINITY Center · at Maryland · Conference game
Closing line
MD -1.5✓ MD covered by 21.5
MD -1.5✓ MD covered by 21.5Closing total148.5Over by 20.5
 PSU | This season | MD |
|---|---|---|
| 9-8 | Record | 7-10 |
| 7-10 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 8-9 | O/U | 11-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PSU 75–76 MD · ✓ MD (53%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 26 | 47 | 73 |
| MD | 56 | 40 | 96 |
1st half: PSU 26, MD 56 (MD by 30). The model had MD by 0.4 and a total of 70.6 (actual 82).
Team stats
| PSU | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-50 50% | Field goals | 33-61 54% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 18-34 53% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 21 4 off | Rebounds | 39 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo G | 34 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| Josh Reed F | 32 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 32 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Eli Rice G | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Ivan Juric F | 30 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Freddie Dilione V G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Melih Tunca G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reggie Grodin, Tibor Mirtic, Chris Lotito
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Coit G | 39 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 14-23 | 9-15 |
| Darius Adams G | 28 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 24 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Solomon Washington F | 28 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Andre Mills G | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Aleks Alston F | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 10 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Rice G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaziah Harper, Lukas Sotell, Nick Blake, Pharrel Payne, Rakease Passmore
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMD -2.5
1 → PSU
CloseMD -1.5
1 pt toward PSU
Total
Open147.5
▲ 1
Close148.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PSU +100 · MD -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MD -2.5 · closed MD -1.5 · moved 1 toward PSUmodel MD -1
model MD -1
Opened 147.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MD -1.5 | MD -0.9 | PSU +0.6 | L MD covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 150.7 | Over 2.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PSU 74.9 · MD 75.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MD -0.4 | MD -30.0 |
| 1H total | 70.6 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | PSU 35.1 · MD 35.5 | PSU 26 · MD 56 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| MD | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
PSU 2–4 MDMD leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · PSU 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | MD 68 @ PSU 64 | PSU +4.5 | PSU W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | MD 69 @ PSU 85 | PSU -0.5 | PSU W |
| Dec 6, 2023-24 | PSU 75 @ MD 81 | MD -8.5 | PSU W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | MD 64 @ PSU 65 | PSU -3.5 | MD W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | PSU 68 @ MD 74 | MD -7.5 | PSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn State
17 games played
Straight up
9-8
53% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs CAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @ IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs PITT | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs NCCU | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs ILL | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs MICH | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ PUR | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs UCLA | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−35.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
−0.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
+6.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
+22.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+14.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−20.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
+6.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
−18.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
−23.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+25.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−17.5
over 8under 9avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maryland
17 games played
Straight up
7-10
41% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-6
65% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vsMICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORE | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vsIU | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @UCLA | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @ USC | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−8.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
−10.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
+1.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−28.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
+2.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
−25.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
+8.5
over 11under 6avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn State
9-8 overall · 0-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UCLA60–71
- L@ Purdue85–93
- Lvs Michigan72–74
- Lvs Illinois65–73
- Wvs NC Central90–67
4 days since their last game.
Maryland
7-10 overall · 0-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ USC71–88
- L@ UCLA55–67
- Lvs Indiana66–84
- Lvs Oregon54–64
- Wvs Old Dominion73–58
5 days since their last game.