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Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 72.6
Projected
37–35
✗ FAU lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 70.6
Projected
35–36
✓ MD won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 71.2
Projected
37–35
✓ AMER won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 75.9
Projected
36–40
✗ USF lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 67.7
Projected
34–33
✓ CLT won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 74.6
Projected
39–36
✓ OAK won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 71.2
Projected
35–36
✓ PFW won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 76.2
Projected
38–39
✗ UAB lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 62.5
Projected
31–32
✗ TULN lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 68.3
Projected
28–40
✓ MEM won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 67.9
Projected
29–39
✓ HOU won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 68.6
Projected
33–36
✓ SF won
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half final | 10-6 · #109 10-6 · #111 |
— | — | FAU -2.0 | — | 72.6 | — | 59% FAU | › | |
| Half final | 9-8 · #78 7-10 · #50 |
— | — | MD -0.4 | — | 70.6 | — | 52% MD | › | |
| Half final | 8-8 · #153 5-11 · #288 |
— | — | AMER -2.2 | — | 71.2 | — | 60% AMER | › | |
| Half final | 9-8 · #77 10-6 · #84 |
— | — | USF -4.1 | — | 75.9 | — | 67% USF | › | |
| Half final | 8-9 · #141 4-12 · #145 |
— | — | CLT -0.9 | — | 67.7 | — | 54% CLT | › | |
| Half final | 9-9 · #204 9-8 · #226 |
— | — | OAK -2.9 | — | 74.6 | — | 62% OAK | › | |
| Half final | 7-11 · #235 8-8 · #249 |
— | — | PFW -1.1 | — | 71.2 | — | 55% PFW | › | |
| Half final | 12-3 · #108 11-6 · #102 |
— | — | UAB -1.2 | — | 76.2 | — | 55% UAB | › | |
| Half final | 8-7 · #112 11-5 · #130 |
— | — | TULN -0.4 | — | 62.5 | — | 52% TULN | › | |
| Half final | 2-13 · #192 8-8 · #76 |
— | — | MEM -11.6 | — | 68.3 | — | 90% MEM | › | |
| Half final | 10-7 · #60 16-1 · #2 |
— | — | HOU -10.3 | — | 67.9 | — | 87% HOU | › | |
| Half final | 7-11 · #139 11-8 · #161 |
— | — | SF -3.0 | — | 68.6 | — | 63% SF | › |
The model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves; ESPN posts no 1st-half lines for college games. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record