FedExForum · at Memphis · Conference game
Closing line
MEM -20.5✓ MEM covered by 5.5
Closing total147.5Over by 16.5
| This season | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-13 | Record | 8-8 |
| 3-12 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 5-10 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTSA 63–83 MEM · ✓ MEM (96%) won
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Team stats
| UTSA | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-65 42% | Field goals | 36-64 56% |
| 9-31 29% | 3-pointers | 11-22 50% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 12-18 67% |
| 33 14 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 23 |
| 6 | Steals | 12 |
| 8 | Blocks | 6 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson G | 36 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 7-16 | 0-5 |
| Baboucarr Njie F | 34 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Dorian Hayes G | 33 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 6-12 | 5-11 |
| Daniel Akitoby F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kaidon Rayfield F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Nunez G | 33 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 5-14 | 0-5 |
| LJ Brown G | 24 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 18 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Mo Njie C | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vasean Allette, Macaleab Rich, Stanley Borden, Jackson Fazande, Pierce Spencer, Brent Moss
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 7-11 | 4-6 |
| Curtis Givens III G | 30 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Quante Berry G | 23 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Hasan Abdul Hakim G | 21 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| William Whorton F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ashton Hardaway F | 22 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Sincere Parker G | 21 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 8-12 | 1-2 |
| Zach Davis G | 20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Simon Majok C | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Thierno Sylla C | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Arop Arop F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mason Matthews F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tariq Ingraham, Julius Thedford, Aaron Bradshaw
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMEM -20.5
ModelMEM -19.6
Model edgeUTSA +0.9
L MEM covered
Total
Market147.5
Model145.9
Model edgeUnder 1.6
L Over
Projected score
UTSA 63.1 · MEM 82.8
UTSA 69 · MEM 95
Win probability
MEM 96%
1st half
Spread
MEM -11.6
MEM -10.0
Total
68.3
76 points
Projected score
UTSA 28.4 · MEM 40
UTSA 33 · MEM 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMEM -20.5
no move
CloseMEM -20.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▲ 4
Close147.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
UTSA +1700 · MEM -4500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MEM -20.5 · unchangedmodel MEM -19.5
model MEM -19.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 4 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-10 0% | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | |
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UTSA 0–2 MEMMEM leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · MEM has won the last 2 meetings · UTSA 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | MEM 75 @ UTSA 70 | UTSA +8.5 | UTSA W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | UTSA 101 @ MEM 107 | MEM -19.5 | UTSA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTSA
15 games played
Straight up
2-13
13% wins
Against the spread
3-12
20% covers · avg −7.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-10
33% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs | L 60-77 | -6.5 | L −23.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 69-80 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 84-79 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 50-61 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 77-64 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 58-82 | +1.5 | L −22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 55-97 | +33.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 64-88 | +22.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 70-97 | +25.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 22 | vs | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 70-110 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 57-76 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 58-74 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 52-85 | +7.5 | L −25.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 73-89 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
SIUE
L 60-77
−23.5
12
@
TXST
L 69-80
−8.5
15
@
DEN
W 84-79
+9.5
24
vs
ACU
L 50-61
−8.5
25
vs
GASO
W 77-64
+16.5
30
vs
USA
L 58-82
−22.5
7
@
ALA
L 55-97
−8.5
13
@
COLO
L 64-88
−1.5
17
@
USC
L 70-97
−1.5
22
vs
SEA
L 68-71
+7.5
31
@
FAU
L 70-110
−23.5
3
@
TEM
L 57-76
−8.5
7
vs
CLT
L 58-74
−9.5
10
vs
TULN
L 52-85
−25.5
14
vs
RICE
L 73-89
−9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 12avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vs
SIUE
L 60-77
−16.5
12
@
TXST
L 69-80
+1.5
15
@
DEN
W 84-79
+14.5
24
vs
ACU
L 50-61
−33.5
25
vs
GASO
W 77-64
−19.5
30
vs
USA
L 58-82
−1.5
7
@
ALA
L 55-97
−19.5
13
@
COLO
L 64-88
−2.5
17
@
USC
L 70-97
+9.5
22
vs
SEA
L 68-71
−9.5
31
@
FAU
L 70-110
+21.5
3
@
TEM
L 57-76
−16.5
7
vs
CLT
L 58-74
−13.5
10
vs
TULN
L 52-85
−10.5
14
vs
RICE
L 73-89
+17.5
over 5under 10avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Memphis
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −7.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs | W 76-70 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 77-83 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 78-92 | -9.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs | L 71-80 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 68-69 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 74-58 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 78-71 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 73-99 | +16.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vs | L 70-77 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 66-71 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 31 | vs | W 57-48 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 105 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 76-70 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 11 | @ | L 78-89 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 55-53 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 108 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SF
W 76-70
+3.5
11
@
MISS
L 77-83
+3.5
16
vs
UNLV
L 78-92
−23.5
20
vs
PUR
L 71-80
+5.5
21
vs
WAKE
L 68-69
+1.5
26
vs
SIU
W 74-58
+5.5
3
vs
NOLA
W 86-70
+1.5
6
vs
BAY
W 78-71
+10.5
13
@
LOU
L 73-99
−9.5
17
vs
VAN
L 70-77
+2.5
20
@
MSST
L 66-71
−1.5
22
vs
ALST
W 88-67
+0.5
31
vs
UNT
W 57-48
−0.5
3
@
RICE
W 76-70
−1.5
11
@
FAU
L 78-89
−9.5
14
vs
TEM
W 55-53
−5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vs
SF
W 76-70
−11.5
11
@
MISS
L 77-83
+7.5
16
vs
UNLV
L 78-92
+6.5
20
vs
PUR
L 71-80
−5.5
21
vs
WAKE
L 68-69
−23.5
26
vs
SIU
W 74-58
−24.5
3
vs
NOLA
W 86-70
+6.5
6
vs
BAY
W 78-71
−9.5
13
@
LOU
L 73-99
+9.5
17
vs
VAN
L 70-77
−12.5
20
@
MSST
L 66-71
−16.5
22
vs
ALST
W 88-67
+3.5
31
vs
UNT
W 57-48
−32.5
3
@
RICE
W 76-70
+1.5
11
@
FAU
L 78-89
+14.5
14
vs
TEM
W 55-53
−35.5
over 7under 9avg −7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTSA
2-13 overall · 0-5 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Rice73–89
- Lvs Tulane52–85
- Lvs Charlotte58–74
- L@ Temple57–76
- L@ FAU70–110
4 days since their last game.
Memphis
8-8 overall · 3-1 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Temple55–53
- L@ FAU78–89
- W@ Rice76–70
- Wvs North Texas57–48
- Wvs Alabama St88–67
4 days since their last game.