UTSA Convocation Center · at UTSA
Closing line
SEA -10.5✓ UTSA covered by 7.5
Closing total148.5Under by 9.5
| This season | UTSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | Record | 2-7 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 2-7 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SEA 75–67 UTSA · ✓ SEA (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 37 | 34 | 71 |
| UTSA | 24 | 44 | 68 |
1st half: SEA 37, UTSA 24 (SEA by 13). The model had SEA by 4.9 and a total of 66.8 (actual 61).
Team stats
| SEA | UTSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-62 39% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 36 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| SEA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Maldonado G | 36 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Junseok Yeo F | 34 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 5-14 | 0-5 |
| Will Heimbrodt F | 33 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-13 | 0-2 |
| Maleek Arington G | 27 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Austin Maurer C | 21 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Christofilis G | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Miles Amos G | 12 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brock Felder F | 10 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Houran Dan C | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jojo Murphy G | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
Did not play: JT White, Stratos Papastavrou, Jeremiah Harshman, Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macaleab Rich G | 31 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 11-15 | 2-4 |
| Austin Nunez G | 29 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Brent Moss G | 28 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Dorian Hayes G | 28 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 27 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamir Simpson G | 36 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 6-14 | 2-5 |
| Baboucarr Njie F | 13 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Mo Njie C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Akitoby F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kaidon Rayfield, LJ Brown, Pierce Spencer, Stanley Borden, Jackson Fazande, Vasean Allette
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSEA -10.5
ModelSEA -8.0
Model edgeUTSA +2.5
W UTSA covered
Total
Market148.5
Model142.6
Model edgeUnder 5.9
W Under
Projected score
SEA 75.3 · UTSA 67.3
SEA 71 · UTSA 68
Win probability
SEA 76%
1st half
Spread
SEA -4.9
SEA -13.0
Total
66.8
61 points
Projected score
SEA 35.9 · UTSA 30.9
SEA 37 · UTSA 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSEA -8.5
2 → SEA
CloseSEA -10.5
2 pts toward SEA
Total
Open142.5
▲ 6
Close148.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
SEA -535 · UTSA +400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SEA -8.5 · closed SEA -10.5 · moved 2 toward SEAmodel SEA -8
model SEA -8
Opened 142.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 6 upmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 2-7 22% | 2-7 22% | 3-6 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Seattle U
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs | L 71-73 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 94-67 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 83-74 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ | W 77-69 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 66-52 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 17 | @ | W 79-78 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 70-66 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
DEN
W 84-73
−2.5
8
vs
CP
L 71-73
−12.5
12
vs
EWU
W 94-67
+18.5
15
vs
IDST
W 83-74
−2.5
21
@
STAN
W 77-69
+18.5
28
vs
TXST
W 66-52
+6.5
29
vs
UCSB
L 71-74
−5.5
7
vs
UTEP
W 75-68
−5.5
17
@
UCD
W 79-78
−1.5
19
vs
WASH
W 70-66
+11.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
DEN
W 84-73
+20.5
8
vs
CP
L 71-73
−20.5
12
vs
EWU
W 94-67
+12.5
15
vs
IDST
W 83-74
+18.5
21
@
STAN
W 77-69
−6.5
28
vs
TXST
W 66-52
−18.5
29
vs
UCSB
L 71-74
+2.5
7
vs
UTEP
W 75-68
+6.5
17
@
UCD
W 79-78
+13.5
19
vs
WASH
W 70-66
−15.5
over 6under 4avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UTSA
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
2-7
22% covers · avg −5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs | L 60-77 | -6.5 | L −23.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 69-80 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 84-79 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 50-61 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 77-64 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 58-82 | +1.5 | L −22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 55-97 | +33.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 64-88 | +22.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 70-97 | +25.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
SIUE
L 60-77
−23.5
12
@
TXST
L 69-80
−8.5
15
@
DEN
W 84-79
+9.5
24
vs
ACU
L 50-61
−8.5
25
vs
GASO
W 77-64
+16.5
30
vs
USA
L 58-82
−22.5
7
@
ALA
L 55-97
−8.5
13
@
COLO
L 64-88
−1.5
17
@
USC
L 70-97
−1.5
covered 2didn’t cover 7avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vs
SIUE
L 60-77
−16.5
12
@
TXST
L 69-80
+1.5
15
@
DEN
W 84-79
+14.5
24
vs
ACU
L 50-61
−33.5
25
vs
GASO
W 77-64
−19.5
30
vs
USA
L 58-82
−1.5
7
@
ALA
L 55-97
−19.5
13
@
COLO
L 64-88
−2.5
17
@
USC
L 70-97
+9.5
over 3under 6avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Seattle U
8-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington70–66
- W@ UC Davis79–78
- Wvs UTEP75–68
- Lvs Santa Barbara71–74
- Wvs Texas St66–52
3 days since their last game.
UTSA
2-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ USC70–97
- L@ Colorado64–88
- L@ Alabama55–97
- Lvs South Alabama58–82
- Wvs GA Southern77–64
5 days since their last game.