Washington Huskies at Seattle U Redhawks: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Dec 19, 11:30 PM ETClimate Pledge Arena · at Seattle U

Final

#119SEASeattle U70▲ winner

Closing lineWASH -7.5✓ SEA covered by 11.5

Closing total151.5Under by 15.5

Season records: Washington and Seattle U
WASH	This season	SEA
7-3	Record	7-2
6-4	ATS	3-6
6-4	O/U	6-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: WASH 78–71 SEA · ✗ WASH (75%) lost

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
WASH	29	37	66
SEA	26	44	70

1st half: WASH 29, SEA 26 (WASH by 3). The model had WASH by 4.8 and a total of 69.7 (actual 55).

Team stats

WASH		SEA
24-65 37%	Field goals	23-59 39%
1-15 7%	3-pointers	3-22 14%
17-21 81%	Free throws	21-27 78%
43 16 off	Rebounds	34 8 off
12	Assists	11
11	Steals	8
1	Blocks	10
16	Turnovers	14
22	Fouls	18
42	Points in paint	38
17	Fast-break points	6

Players

WASH	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Hannes Steinbach F	37	15	12	1	5-13	1-3
Desmond Claude G	34	24	3	4	9-14	0-2
Zoom Diallo G	34	17	3	3	5-11	0-0
Franck Kepnang C	23	4	9	0	2-7	0-0
Wesley Yates III G	11	4	4	1	2-6	0-2
Bench
Quimari Peterson G	32	2	2	3	1-8	0-6
Bryson Tucker F	15	0	1	0	0-2	0-0
JJ Mandaquit G	10	0	3	0	0-2	0-2
Lathan Sommerville C	4	0	2	0	0-2	0-0

Did not play: BJ Roy, Courtland Muldrew, Nikola Dzepina, Christian Nitu, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Jacob Ognacevic

SEA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Will Heimbrodt F	35	8	5	1	2-11	0-2
Junseok Yeo F	35	12	4	1	4-9	1-6
Maleek Arington G	31	4	6	5	0-2	0-1
Brayden Maldonado G	31	14	6	3	5-15	1-7
Austin Maurer C	28	19	5	0	7-11	1-3
Bench
Miles Amos G	14	4	1	1	1-2	0-1
John Christofilis G	11	0	1	0	0-2	0-2
Houran Dan C	8	9	2	0	4-7	0-0
Brock Felder F	4	0	2	0	0-0	0-0
Jojo Murphy G	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Stratos Papastavrou, Jeremiah Harshman, JT White, Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	WASH -7.5	WASH -7.7	WASH +0.2	L SEA covered
Total	151.5	148.9	Under 2.6	W Under
Projected score	—	WASH 78.3 · SEA 70.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WASH -4.8	WASH -3.0
1H total	69.7	55
1H projected score	WASH 37.2 · SEA 32.5	WASH 29 · SEA 26

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WASH WLWWW	6-4	60%	2-1	4-3
SEA WWLLL	3-6	33%	1-4	1-0

Venue/role: WASH away, as favorite; SEA home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
WASH OUOOO	6-4	60%	7-3
SEA UUOOO	6-3	67%	7-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WASH	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
SEAlast 9	7-2 78%	3-6 33%	6-3 67%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

WASH 3–1 SEAWASH leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · WASH 2-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 23, 2024-25	SEA 79 @ WASH 70	WASH -11.5	SEA W
Dec 17, 2023-24	WASH 100 @ SEA 99	SEA +4.5	SEA W
Nov 28, 2022-23	SEA 66 @ WASH 77	WASH -4.5	WASH W
Dec 18, 2021-22	SEA 56 @ WASH 64	WASH -4.5	WASH W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Washington

10 games played

Straight up

7-3

70% wins

Against the spread

6-4

60% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-4

60% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-370%

W W L W W W L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

6-460%

W L L W L W L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-460%

U O U U O O U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsUAPB	W 94-50	-34.5	W +9.5	160.5	U 144
Nov 6	vsDEN	W 84-70	-27.5	L −13.5	153.5	O 154
Nov 9	@BAY	L 69-78	+6.5	L −2.5	156.5	U 147
Nov 14	@WSU	W 81-69	-8.5	W +3.5	158.5	U 150
Nov 18	vsSOU	W 99-93	-23.5	L −17.5	157.5	O 192
Nov 27	vsNEV	W 83-66	-3.5	W +13.5	145.5	O 149
Nov 28	vsCOLO	L 68-81	-2.5	L −15.5	151.5	U 149
Dec 3	vsUCLA	L 80-82	+2.5	W +0.5	141.5	O 162
Dec 6	@USC	W 84-76	+4.5	W +12.5	154.5	O 160
Dec 13	vsSUU	W 105-69	-25.5	W +10.5	153.5	O 174

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UAPB

W 94-50

+9.5

DEN

W 84-70

−13.5

BAY

L 69-78

−2.5

WSU

W 81-69

+3.5

SOU

W 99-93

−17.5

NEV

W 83-66

+13.5

COLO

L 68-81

−15.5

UCLA

L 80-82

+0.5

USC

W 84-76

+12.5

SUU

W 105-69

+10.5

covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UAPB

W 94-50

−16.5

DEN

W 84-70

+0.5

BAY

L 69-78

−9.5

WSU

W 81-69

−8.5

SOU

W 99-93

+34.5

NEV

W 83-66

+3.5

COLO

L 68-81

−2.5

UCLA

L 80-82

+20.5

USC

W 84-76

+5.5

SUU

W 105-69

+20.5

over 6under 4avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Seattle U

9 games played

Straight up

7-2

78% wins

Against the spread

3-6

33% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-3

67% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-278%

W L W W W W L W W

2 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-633%

L L W L W W L L L

3 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-367%

O U O O U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsDEN	W 84-73	-13.5	L −2.5	136.5	O 157
Nov 8	vsCP	L 71-73	-10.5	L −12.5	164.5	U 144
Nov 12	vsEWU	W 94-67	-8.5	W +18.5	148.5	O 161
Nov 15	vsIDST	W 83-74	-11.5	L −2.5	138.5	O 157
Nov 21	@STAN	W 77-69	+10.5	W +18.5	152.5	U 146
Nov 28	vsTXST	W 66-52	-7.5	W +6.5	136.5	U 118
Nov 29	vsUCSB	L 71-74	-2.5	L −5.5	142.5	O 145
Dec 7	vsUTEP	W 75-68	-12.5	L −5.5	136.5	O 143
Dec 17	@UCD	W 79-78	-2.5	L −1.5	143.5	O 157

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEN

W 84-73

−2.5

L 71-73

−12.5

EWU

W 94-67

+18.5

IDST

W 83-74

−2.5

STAN

W 77-69

+18.5

TXST

W 66-52

+6.5

UCSB

L 71-74

−5.5

UTEP

W 75-68

−5.5

UCD

W 79-78

−1.5

covered 3didn’t cover 6avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEN

W 84-73

+20.5

L 71-73

−20.5

EWU

W 94-67

+12.5

IDST

W 83-74

+18.5

STAN

W 77-69

−6.5

TXST

W 66-52

−18.5

UCSB

L 71-74

+2.5

UTEP

W 75-68

+6.5

UCD

W 79-78

+13.5

over 6under 3avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Washington Huskies at Seattle U Redhawks

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Washington

Seattle U

Washington

Seattle U