Washington Huskies at Washington State Cougars: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 14, 11:00 PM ETBeasley Coliseum · at Washington St

#56WASHWashington81▲ winner

Final

Closing lineWASH -8.5✓ WASH covered by 3.5

Closing total158.5Under by 8.5

Season records: Washington and Washington St
WASH	This season	WSU
2-1	Record	1-2
1-2	ATS	1-2
1-2	O/U	2-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: WASH 83–74 WSU · ✓ WASH (78%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
WASH	44	37	81
WSU	30	39	69

1st half: WASH 44, WSU 30 (WASH by 14). The model had WASH by 5.5 and a total of 73.6 (actual 74).

Team stats

WASH		WSU
27-56 48%	Field goals	26-62 42%
9-26 35%	3-pointers	9-31 29%
18-23 78%	Free throws	8-10 80%
36 11 off	Rebounds	33 12 off
7	Assists	13
3	Steals	4
5	Blocks	4
7	Turnovers	7
14	Fouls	18
26	Points in paint	28
10	Fast-break points	7

Players

WASH	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Wesley Yates III G	37	26	7	0	9-16	4-10
Zoom Diallo G	34	20	4	4	7-14	1-4
Hannes Steinbach F	31	14	13	0	5-11	1-2
JJ Mandaquit G	31	6	3	3	2-5	0-2
Franck Kepnang C	19	4	3	0	1-1	0-0
Bench
Quimari Peterson G	30	10	3	0	3-8	3-7
Lathan Sommerville C	12	1	0	0	0-0	0-0
Jasir Rencher F	6	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Courtland Muldrew, Christian Nitu, Jacob Ognacevic, Mady Traore, BJ Roy, Desmond Claude, Bryson Tucker

WSU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Emmanuel Ugbo F	29	11	7	0	5-7	1-3
Jerone Morton G	28	9	0	0	3-10	0-4
ND Okafor C	25	7	4	0	3-6	0-0
Adria Rodriguez G	24	2	1	5	1-4	0-2
Tomas Thrastarson F	17	3	5	2	1-4	1-1
Bench
Ace Glass G	21	12	2	2	3-9	2-8
Eemeli Yalaho F	20	15	4	1	6-11	3-4
Simon Hildebrandt F	16	7	3	1	3-5	1-3
Parker Gerrits G	11	3	3	2	1-2	1-2
Rihards Vavers F	9	0	1	0	0-4	0-4

Did not play: Kase Wynott, Brunel Madzou, Dio Blakely, Dominik Robinson

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	WASH -8.5	WASH -8.9	WASH +0.4	W WASH covered
Total	158.5	157.1	Under 1.4	W Under
Projected score	—	WASH 83 · WSU 74.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WASH -5.5	WASH -14.0
1H total	73.6	74
1H projected score	WASH 39.6 · WSU 34	WASH 44 · WSU 30

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WASH WLL	1-2	33%	0-1	1-1
WSU LLW	1-2	33%	1-1	0-1

Venue/role: WASH away, as favorite; WSU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
WASH UOU	1-2	33%	2-1
WSU OOU	2-1	67%	1-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WASHlast 3	2-1 67%	1-2 33%	1-2 33%
WSUlast 3	1-2 33%	1-2 33%	2-1 67%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22

WASH 3–4 WSUWSU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · WASH has won the last 2 meetings · WASH 5-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 18, 2024-25	WSU 73 @ WASH 89	WASH -2.5	WASH W
Mar 7, 2023-24	WASH 74 @ WSU 68	WSU -6.5	WASH W
Feb 3, 2023-24	WSU 90 @ WASH 87	WASH -0.5	WSU W
Mar 2, 2022-23	WSU 93 @ WASH 84	WASH +1.5	WSU W
Feb 11, 2022-23	WASH 51 @ WSU 56	WSU -6.5	WASH W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Washington

3 games played

Straight up

2-1

67% wins

Against the spread

1-2

33% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-2

33% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-167%

W W L

2 of 3 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-233%

W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of 3 covered

Over / Under

1-233%

U O U

1 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsUAPB	W 94-50	-34.5	W +9.5	160.5	U 144
Nov 6	vsDEN	W 84-70	-27.5	L −13.5	153.5	O 154
Nov 9	@BAY	L 69-78	+6.5	L −2.5	156.5	U 147

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UAPB

W 94-50

+9.5

DEN

W 84-70

−13.5

BAY

L 69-78

−2.5

covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UAPB

W 94-50

−16.5

DEN

W 84-70

+0.5

BAY

L 69-78

−9.5

over 1under 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Washington St

3 games played

Straight up

1-2

33% wins

Against the spread

1-2

33% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-1

67% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-233%

L L W

1 of 3 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-233%

L L W

1 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-167%

O O U

2 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsIDHO	L 81-83	-7.5	L −9.5	154.5	O 164
Nov 7	@DAV	L 69-85	+4.5	L −11.5	153.5	O 154
Nov 10	vsSTMN	W 81-71	-2.5	W +7.5	157.5	U 152

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

IDHO

L 81-83

−9.5

DAV

L 69-85

−11.5

STMN

W 81-71

+7.5

covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

IDHO

L 81-83

+9.5

DAV

L 69-85

+0.5

STMN

W 81-71

−5.5

over 2under 1avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Washington Huskies at Washington State Cougars

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Washington

Washington St

Washington

Washington St