UTEP Miners at Seattle U Redhawks: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Dec 7, 8:00 PM ETClimate Pledge Arena · at Seattle U

#190UTEPUTEP68final

Final

#119SEASeattle U75▲ winner

Closing lineSEA -12.5✓ UTEP covered by 5.5

Closing total136.5Over by 6.5

Season records: UTEP and Seattle U
UTEP	This season	SEA
0-4	Record	5-2
0-4	ATS	3-4
0-4	O/U	4-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: UTEP 63–73 SEA · ✓ SEA (81%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
UTEP	31	37	68
SEA	37	38	75

1st half: UTEP 31, SEA 37 (SEA by 6). The model had SEA by 5.9 and a total of 63.4 (actual 68).

Team stats

UTEP		SEA
27-57 47%	Field goals	24-51 47%
5-19 26%	3-pointers	10-23 43%
9-13 69%	Free throws	17-24 71%
29 8 off	Rebounds	33 10 off
8	Assists	12
7	Steals	9
3	Blocks	5
13	Turnovers	12
20	Fouls	14
36	Points in paint	26
12	Fast-break points	3

Players

UTEP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jamal West Jr. F	36	21	14	1	8-11	0-0
Elijah Jones F	25	18	3	1	7-13	2-8
Trey Horton III G	25	9	1	0	3-6	2-5
Caleb Blackwell G	25	2	1	2	1-4	0-0
Tyreese Watson G	19	4	2	1	2-5	0-2
Bench
KJ Thomas G	27	5	1	3	2-2	1-1
Kaseem Watson F	25	7	3	0	3-12	0-2
Bobby Montgomery Jr. G	8	2	2	0	1-2	0-1
Mouhamed Mbaye C	7	0	2	0	0-0	0-0
C.J. Smith F	2	0	0	0	0-1	0-0
David Tubek F	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Jordan Hernandez, Cassius Brooks, LA Hayes

SEA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Will Heimbrodt F	33	13	4	4	4-11	1-4
Maleek Arington G	33	4	3	5	1-3	1-1
Brayden Maldonado G	32	28	4	2	9-13	5-9
Junseok Yeo F	32	9	1	1	2-7	1-5
Houran Dan C	8	0	2	0	0-0	0-0
Bench
Austin Maurer C	19	11	8	0	4-9	0-2
John Christofilis G	16	6	2	0	2-3	2-2
Miles Amos G	15	0	3	0	0-1	0-0
Brock Felder F	8	2	3	0	1-2	0-0
Jojo Murphy G	4	2	0	0	1-2	0-0

Did not play: Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams, Jeremiah Harshman, Stratos Papastavrou, JT White

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	SEA -12.5	SEA -10.0	UTEP +2.5	W UTEP covered
Total	136.5	135.3	Under 1.2	L Over
Projected score	—	UTEP 62.6 · SEA 72.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SEA -5.9	SEA -6.0
1H total	63.4	68
1H projected score	UTEP 28.8 · SEA 34.7	UTEP 31 · SEA 37

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTEP LLLL	0-4	0%	0-1	0-3
SEA WLWWL	3-4	43%	1-3	2-4

Venue/role: UTEP away, as underdog; SEA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTEP UUUU	0-4	0%	0-4
SEA OOUUO	4-3	57%	5-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTEPlast 4	0-4 0%	0-4 0%	0-4 0%
SEAlast 7	5-2 71%	3-4 43%	4-3 57%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

UTEP 1–1 SEASeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · UTEP 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 7, 2024-25	SEA 72 @ UTEP 88	UTEP -3.5	UTEP W
Dec 30, 2023-24	SEA 73 @ UTEP 61	UTEP -1.5	SEA W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

UTEP

4 games played

Straight up

0-4

0% wins

Against the spread

0-4

0% covers · avg −9.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

0-4

0% overs · avg −18.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

0-40%

U U U U

4 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 11	vsLMU	L 58-71	-1.5	L −14.5	144.5	U 129
Nov 15	@USU	L 51-75	+16.5	L −7.5	149.5	U 126
Nov 24	vsW&M	L 63-74	+2.5	L −8.5	159.5	U 137
Nov 25	vsUAB	L 59-75	+8.5	L −7.5	146.5	U 134

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

LMU

L 58-71

−14.5

USU

L 51-75

−7.5

W&M

L 63-74

−8.5

UAB

L 59-75

−7.5

covered 0didn’t cover 4avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

LMU

L 58-71

−15.5

USU

L 51-75

−23.5

W&M

L 63-74

−22.5

UAB

L 59-75

−12.5

over 0under 4avg −18.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Seattle U

7 games played

Straight up

5-2

71% wins

Against the spread

3-4

43% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-3

57% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-271%

W L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

3-443%

L L W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-357%

O U O O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsDEN	W 84-73	-13.5	L −2.5	136.5	O 157
Nov 8	vsCP	L 71-73	-10.5	L −12.5	164.5	U 144
Nov 12	vsEWU	W 94-67	-8.5	W +18.5	148.5	O 161
Nov 15	vsIDST	W 83-74	-11.5	L −2.5	138.5	O 157
Nov 21	@STAN	W 77-69	+10.5	W +18.5	152.5	U 146
Nov 28	vsTXST	W 66-52	-7.5	W +6.5	136.5	U 118
Nov 29	vsUCSB	L 71-74	-2.5	L −5.5	142.5	O 145

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEN

W 84-73

−2.5

L 71-73

−12.5

EWU

W 94-67

+18.5

IDST

W 83-74

−2.5

STAN

W 77-69

+18.5

TXST

W 66-52

+6.5

UCSB

L 71-74

−5.5

covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEN

W 84-73

+20.5

L 71-73

−20.5

EWU

W 94-67

+12.5

IDST

W 83-74

+18.5

STAN

W 77-69

−6.5

TXST

W 66-52

−18.5

UCSB

L 71-74

+2.5

over 4under 3avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

UTEP Miners at Seattle U Redhawks

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

UTEP

Seattle U

UTEP

Seattle U