1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 3
  3. LIP @ IOWA
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 3

Lipscomb Bisons at Iowa Hawkeyes

Carver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa
#214LIPLipscomb
@
#43IOWAIowa
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LIPThis seasonIOWA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IOWA 84–61 · win probability IOWA 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 144.7
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IOWA has more of the edges

LIP 0, IOWA 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
LIP has played the 267th-hardest schedule, IOWA the 30th. A record against a soft schedule means less
IOWABig
LIP offense vs IOWA defense
Offense 191st of 366 against a defense 20th, on the model’s ratings
IOWABig
IOWA offense vs LIP defense
Offense 69th of 366 against a defense 226th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: LIP plays 70.8 a game (83rd fastest), IOWA 63.0 (365th). Faster games mean more points
IOWASmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LIP 25.8%, IOWA 30.2%. Defensive: LIP 69.8%, IOWA 70.8%
IOWASmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LIP 16.0%, IOWA 15.1%. Forced: LIP 17.7%, IOWA 20.3%
IOWASmall
Home court
IOWA at home. This season: IOWA 0-0 at home, LIP 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: LIP 54.1 and allows 53.2; IOWA 56.4 and allows 52.6
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LIP 44%, IOWA 61%. Transfers in: LIP 2, IOWA 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
LIP hits 35.7% and allows 34.3%; IOWA hits 35.6% and allows 33.3%. Threes are 47.9% and 43.0% of their shots
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: LIP 26.0, IOWA 35.1. Allowed: LIP 29.0, IOWA 38.5
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IOWA -23.1—
Total—144.7—
Projected score—LIP 60.8 · IOWA 83.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadIOWA -13.6—
1H total67.7—
1H projected scoreLIP 27 · IOWA 40.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Iowa has the better starters

Position by position: Lipscomb 1, Iowa 3, even 1
LipscombBetterIowa
G T. Simpkins TR12.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.4 ast Score 79
LIPSmall
G K. Combs6.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 54
G M. Esmeraldo9.8 pts · 3.9 reb · 6.9 ast Score 81
Even
G T. Coleman TR10 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.7 ast Score 82
F T. Sargiunas9.9 pts · 2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 28
IOWASmall
F C. Koch7.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 57
F O. Ashkenazi2.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 3
IOWABig
F C. Manyawu6.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 90
F T. Byrne TR3.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.9 ast Score 4
IOWABig
C A. McKeever TR8.3 pts · 9.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 77
LipscombBetterIowa
LIP offense191st of 366 · -5.9
IOWABig
IOWA defense20th of 366 · +5.4
LIP defense226th of 366 · -6.0
IOWABig
IOWA offense69th of 366 · +1.8
Backcourt+3.0 · 2 players
LIPSmall
Backcourt+0.9 · 2 players
Frontcourt-6.7 · 3 players
IOWABig
Frontcourt+4.1 · 3 players
Bench-1.1 · 1 player
IOWABig
Bench+2.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestLIP betterIOWA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Lipscomb
Guards
T. Simpkins32 min · TRM. Esmeraldo31 minZ. WellsNewV. VisnjicNewH. TidareNewK. QuinnNew
Forwards
T. Sargiunas24 minO. Ashkenazi20 minT. Byrne16 min · TRK. Okpara13 minL. JackNewD. MartinNew
Iowa
Guards
K. Combs26 minT. Coleman23 min · TRI. Howard18 minT. Sage16 minJ. Koch2 minP. McCollumNew
Forwards
C. Koch28 minC. Manyawu19 minJ. Matteoni4 minT. ThompsonNew
Centers
A. McKeever23 min · TRT. Jirak8 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LIPIOWA
Scoring
77.6 #104Points per game74.5 #177
1.10 #142Points per possession1.18 #28
70.8 #83Pace (possessions)63.0 #365
Shooting
54.1 #67Effective FG%56.4 #17
35.7 #753-point %35.6 #85
47.9 #243-point attempt rate43.0 #117
26.0 #357Free throw rate35.1 #176
Possessions
16.0 #142Turnover rate15.1 #75
25.8 #327Offensive rebound rate30.2 #192
17.2 #19Assists per game15.0 #88
Defense
77.0 #242Points allowed66.3 #16
1.09 #187Points allowed per possession1.05 #91
53.2 #273Opponent effective FG%52.6 #245
34.3 #207Opponent 3-point %33.3 #143
17.7 #113Turnovers forced20.3 #17
69.8 #171Defensive rebound rate70.8 #119
6.8 #141Steals per game6.8 #140
2.6 #291Blocks per game1.9 #349
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Lipscomb

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs FGCU53–77
  • W@ E Kentucky80–77
  • L@ West Georgia78–84
  • Wvs North Alabama73–51
  • W@ Bellarmine75–72

A week or more of rest.

Iowa

24-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois59–71
  • Wvs Nebraska77–71
  • Wvs Florida73–72
  • Wvs Clemson67–61
  • Lvs Ohio State69–72

A week or more of rest.