Bryce Jordan Center · at Penn State · Conference game
Closing line
IOWA -9.5✓ PSU covered by 11.5
IOWA -9.5✓ PSU covered by 11.5Closing total143.5Under by 3.5
| IOWA | This season | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| 20-8 | Record | 11-17 |
| 17-11 | ATS | 11-17 |
| 16-12 | O/U | 17-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IOWA 78–69 PSU · ✗ IOWA (78%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 38 | 31 | 69 |
| PSU | 34 | 37 | 71 |
1st half: IOWA 38, PSU 34 (IOWA by 4). The model had IOWA by 5.4 and a total of 69.1 (actual 72).
Team stats
| IOWA | PSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-57 46% | Field goals | 25-39 64% |
| 9-28 32% | 3-pointers | 9-15 60% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 24 10 off | Rebounds | 24 2 off |
| 17 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 40 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 6-15 | 2-7 |
| Cooper Koch F | 31 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 6-9 | 5-7 |
| Tavion Banks G | 29 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Kael Combs G | 24 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 24 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Brendan Hausen G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Isaia Howard G | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Tate Sage G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Trevin Jirak, Trey Thompson, Peyton McCollum, Joey Matteoni, Jacob Koch
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Reed F | 35 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 9-12 | 3-4 |
| Freddie Dilione V G | 34 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 34 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Ivan Juric F | 29 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Kayden Mingo G | 28 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Melih Tunca G | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Eli Rice G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reggie Grodin, Tibor Mirtic, Chris Lotito, Justin Houser
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIOWA -9.5
no move
CloseIOWA -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▼ 2
Close143.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
IOWA -550 · PSU +410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IOWA -9.5 · unchangedmodel IOWA -9
model IOWA -9
Opened 145.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 2 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | IOWA -9.5 | IOWA -8.8 | PSU +0.7 | W PSU covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 147.7 | Over 4.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | IOWA 78.3 · PSU 69.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | IOWA -5.4 | IOWA -4.0 |
| 1H total | 69.1 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | IOWA 37.2 · PSU 31.9 | IOWA 38 · PSU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| PSU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
IOWA 3–3 PSUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · IOWA has won the last 2 meetings · IOWA 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024-25 | PSU 75 @ IOWA 76 | IOWA -3.5 | PSU W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | PSU 81 @ IOWA 90 | IOWA -8.5 | IOWA W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | IOWA 79 @ PSU 89 | PSU +1.5 | PSU W |
| Jan 1, 2022-23 | IOWA 79 @ PSU 83 | PSU -2.5 | PSU W |
| Jan 31, 2021-22 | IOWA 86 @ PSU 90 | PSU +4.5 | PSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa
28 games played
Straight up
20-8
71% wins
Against the spread
17-11
61% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs WMU | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUCK | W 94-39 | -25.5 | W +29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs UML | W 90-62 | -33.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCLA | W 74-61 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ MINN | L 67-70 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 11 | vs ILL | L 69-75 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ PUR | L 72-79 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ IU | W 74-57 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | vs RUTG | W 68-62 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 28 | vs USC | W 73-72 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 1 | @ ORE | W 84-66 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | @ WASH | W 84-74 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 8 | vs NU | W 76-70 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | @MD | L 70-77 | -10.5 | L −17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | vsPUR | L 57-78 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vs NEB | W 57-52 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 22 | @ WIS | L 71-84 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | vs OSU | W 74-57 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+14.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
+29.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
−5.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
+6.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
−7.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
−4.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+3.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
+20.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−11.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
−8.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+8.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+7.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
−4.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
−17.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−18.5
17
vsNEB
NEBW 57-52
+3.5
22
@WIS
WISL 71-84
−10.5
25
vsOSU
OSUW 74-57
+10.5
covered 17didn’t cover 11avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
−0.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
+6.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
−5.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
+6.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
+1.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+5.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
−15.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−10.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
+3.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+16.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+16.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
+6.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
+8.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−7.5
17
vsNEB
NEBW 57-52
−30.5
22
@WIS
WISL 71-84
+7.5
25
vsOSU
OSUW 74-57
−10.5
over 16under 12avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn State
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
11-17
39% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs CAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vsMSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs PITT | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs NCCU | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vsILL | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs MICH | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @PUR | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vsUCLA | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 18 | @MD | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 22 | vsWIS | L 71-98 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | @OSU | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 29 | @NU | L 73-94 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | vsMINN | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | @MICH | L 69-110 | +26.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | vsUSC | L 75-77 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 11 | @WASH | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 14 | @ORE | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 18 | vsRUTG | L 72-85 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 21 | @NEB | L 64-87 | +17.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−35.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
−0.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
+6.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
+22.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+14.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−6.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
−21.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
−21.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+5.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
−13.5
1
vsMINN
MINNW 77-75
+4.5
5
@MICH
MICHL 69-110
−14.5
8
vsUSC
USCL 75-77
+1.5
11
@WASH
WASHW 63-60
+15.5
14
@ORE
OREL 72-83
−4.5
18
vsRUTG
RUTGL 72-85
−17.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 64-87
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 17avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−20.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
+6.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
−18.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
−23.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+25.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−17.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
+20.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
+11.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+8.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
+18.5
1
vsMINN
MINNW 77-75
+9.5
5
@MICH
MICHL 69-110
+17.5
8
vsUSC
USCL 75-77
−5.5
11
@WASH
WASHW 63-60
−30.5
14
@ORE
OREL 72-83
+9.5
18
vsRUTG
RUTGL 72-85
+8.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 64-87
+3.5
over 17under 11avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa
20-8 overall · 10-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio State74–57
- L@ Wisconsin71–84
- Wvs Nebraska57–52
- Lvs Purdue57–78
- L@ Maryland70–77
3 days since their last game.
Penn State
11-17 overall · 2-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nebraska64–87
- Lvs Rutgers72–85
- L@ Oregon72–83
- W@ Washington63–60
- Lvs USC75–77
A week or more of rest.