Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska · Conference game
Closing line
NEB -17.5✓ NEB covered by 5.5
NEB -17.5✓ NEB covered by 5.5Closing total147.5Over by 3.5
 PSU | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 11-16 | Record | 22-4 |
| 11-16 | ATS | 14-12 |
| 16-11 | O/U | 8-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PSU 67–82 NEB · ✓ NEB (90%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 20 | 44 | 64 |
| NEB | 38 | 49 | 87 |
1st half: PSU 20, NEB 38 (NEB by 18). The model had NEB by 8.8 and a total of 69.5 (actual 58).
Team stats
| PSU | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 32-62 52% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 14-35 40% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 22 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo G | 35 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Ivan Juric F | 28 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-2 |
| Josh Reed F | 26 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-14 | 2-5 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Freddie Dilione V G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mason Blackwood F | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Melih Tunca G | 23 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Eli Rice G | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reggie Grodin, Tibor Mirtic, Chris Lotito
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 35 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 11-17 | 8-14 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 35 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 29 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Rienk Mast F | 28 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Braden Frager F | 23 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jared Garcia F | 19 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Leo Curtis F | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Justin Bolis F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kendall Blue G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Berke Buyuktuncel, Henry Burt, Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -20.5
3 → PSU
CloseNEB -17.5
3 pts toward PSU
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
PSU +1100 · NEB -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -20.5 · closed NEB -17.5 · moved 3 toward PSUmodel NEB -15
model NEB -15
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEB -17.5 | NEB -14.9 | PSU +2.6 | L NEB covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 148.5 | Over 1.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PSU 66.8 · NEB 81.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NEB -8.8 | NEB -18.0 |
| 1H total | 69.5 | 58 |
| 1H projected score | PSU 30.4 · NEB 39.1 | PSU 20 · NEB 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
| NEB | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PSU 2–3 NEBNEB leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · PSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | NEB 72 @ PSU 89 | PSU +1.5 | PSU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | PSU 49 @ NEB 68 | NEB -8.5 | NEB W |
| Feb 5, 2022-23 | PSU 63 @ NEB 72 | NEB +3.5 | NEB W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | NEB 65 @ PSU 76 | PSU -8.5 | PSU W |
| Feb 27, 2021-22 | NEB 93 @ PSU 70 | PSU -10.5 | NEB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn State
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs CAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @ IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs PITT | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs NCCU | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs ILL | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs MICH | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ PUR | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs UCLA | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 18 | @ MD | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 22 | vs WIS | L 71-98 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | @ OSU | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 29 | @ NU | L 73-94 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | vs MINN | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | @MICH | L 69-110 | +26.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | vs USC | L 75-77 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 11 | @ WASH | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 14 | @ ORE | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 18 | vs RUTG | L 72-85 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−35.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
−0.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
+6.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
+22.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+14.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−6.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
−21.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
−21.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+5.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
−13.5
1
vsMINN
MINNW 77-75
+4.5
5
@MICH
MICHL 69-110
−14.5
8
vsUSC
USCL 75-77
+1.5
11
@WASH
WASHW 63-60
+15.5
14
@ORE
OREL 72-83
−4.5
18
vsRUTG
RUTGL 72-85
−17.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−20.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
+6.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
−18.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
−23.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+25.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−17.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
+20.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
+11.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+8.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
+18.5
1
vsMINN
MINNW 77-75
+9.5
5
@MICH
MICHL 69-110
+17.5
8
vsUSC
USCL 75-77
−5.5
11
@WASH
WASHW 63-60
−30.5
14
@ORE
OREL 72-83
+9.5
18
vsRUTG
RUTGL 72-85
+8.5
over 16under 11avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
26 games played
Straight up
22-4
85% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-18
31% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vsWIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vsMSU | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | @OSU | W 72-69 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @IU | W 83-77 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vsORE | W 90-55 | -10.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @NU | W 77-58 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vsWASH | W 76-66 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @MINN | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 27 | @MICH | L 72-75 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 1 | vsILL | L 69-78 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @RUTG | W 80-68 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 10 | vsPUR | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsNU | W 68-49 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 17 | @ IOWA | L 52-57 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 109 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−0.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
+5.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+10.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
+24.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
+14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−0.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
+14.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
+8.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−10.5
7
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-68
−0.5
10
vsPUR
PURL 77-80
−5.5
14
vsNU
NUW 68-49
+5.5
17
@IOWA
IOWAL 52-57
−3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−32.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
−14.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+9.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
−1.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
−14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−10.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
−7.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
−10.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−7.5
7
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-68
+2.5
10
vsPUR
PURL 77-80
+10.5
14
vsNU
NUW 68-49
−29.5
17
@IOWA
IOWAL 52-57
−30.5
over 8under 18avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn State
11-16 overall · 2-14 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Rutgers72–85
- L@ Oregon72–83
- W@ Washington63–60
- Lvs USC75–77
- L@ Michigan69–110
3 days since their last game.
Nebraska
22-4 overall · 11-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa52–57
- Wvs Northwestern68–49
- Lvs Purdue77–80
- W@ Rutgers80–68
- Lvs Illinois69–78
4 days since their last game.