Bryce Jordan Center · at Penn State · Conference game
Closing line
PSU -4.5✓ RUTG covered by 17.5
PSU -4.5✓ RUTG covered by 17.5Closing total148.5Over by 8.5
 RUTG | This season | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-15 | Record | 11-15 |
| 12-13 | ATS | 11-15 |
| 14-11 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RUTG 73–78 PSU · ✗ PSU (66%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 39 | 46 | 85 |
| PSU | 20 | 52 | 72 |
1st half: RUTG 39, PSU 20 (RUTG by 19). The model had PSU by 2.7 and a total of 70.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| RUTG | PSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-53 57% | Field goals | 26-47 55% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 3-17 18% |
| 20-23 87% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 26 6 off | Rebounds | 24 6 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harun Zrno G | 33 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-9 |
| Tariq Francis G | 33 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 7-12 | 1-3 |
| Dylan Grant F | 27 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 22 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Powers G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 24 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Jamichael Davis G | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Lino Mark G | 16 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Fradkin, Gevonte Ware, Baye Fall, Dorian Jones, Denis Badalau
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo G | 35 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 6-8 | 0-2 |
| Josh Reed F | 32 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-1 |
| Freddie Dilione V G | 30 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 28 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Ivan Juric F | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Melih Tunca G | 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Eli Rice G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reggie Grodin, Tibor Mirtic, Chris Lotito
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPSU -3.5
1 → PSU
ClosePSU -4.5
1 pt toward PSU
Total
Open149.5
▼ 1
Close148.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
RUTG +180 · PSU -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PSU -3.5 · closed PSU -4.5 · moved 1 toward PSUmodel PSU -4.5 matches the line
model PSU -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 149.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PSU -4.5 | PSU -4.7 | PSU +0.2 | L RUTG covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 151.3 | Over 2.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | RUTG 73.3 · PSU 78 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PSU -2.7 | RUTG -19.0 |
| 1H total | 70.8 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | RUTG 34.1 · PSU 36.7 | RUTG 39 · PSU 20 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| PSU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
RUTG 4–3 PSURUTG leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · RUTG 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | RUTG 72 @ PSU 80 | PSU -7.5 | PSU W |
| Dec 10, 2024-25 | PSU 76 @ RUTG 80 | RUTG -2.5 | RUTG W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | PSU 61 @ RUTG 46 | RUTG -6.5 | PSU W |
| Feb 26, 2022-23 | RUTG 59 @ PSU 56 | PSU -4.5 | RUTG W |
| Jan 24, 2022-23 | PSU 45 @ RUTG 65 | RUTG -6.5 | RUTG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rutgers
25 games played
Straight up
10-15
40% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ MICH | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ HALL | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs PENN | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DSU | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vs OSU | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs ORE | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ ILL | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | vs NU | W 77-75 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ WIS | L 87-96 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 20 | @ IOWA | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 23 | vs IU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vs MSU | L 79-88 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | @ USC | L 75-78 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 3 | @ UCLA | L 66-98 | +13.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs NEB | L 68-80 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 15 | vs MD | W 68-57 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
−15.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
−8.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−10.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−5.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+2.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+7.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−3.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+6.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+6.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
+11.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−15.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+5.5
31
@USC
USCL 75-78
+8.5
3
@UCLA
UCLAL 66-98
−18.5
7
vsNEB
NEBL 68-80
+0.5
15
vsMD
MDW 68-57
+8.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
+7.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
+3.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−11.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−20.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+1.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+33.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−13.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+7.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+33.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
−10.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−6.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+28.5
31
@USC
USCL 75-78
+6.5
3
@UCLA
UCLAL 66-98
+21.5
7
vsNEB
NEBL 68-80
+2.5
15
vsMD
MDW 68-57
−19.5
over 14under 11avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn State
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs CAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vsMSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs PITT | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs NCCU | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vsILL | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vsMICH | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @PUR | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vsUCLA | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 18 | @MD | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 22 | vsWIS | L 71-98 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | @OSU | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 29 | @NU | L 73-94 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | vs MINN | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | @MICH | L 69-110 | +26.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | vsUSC | L 75-77 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 11 | @ WASH | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 14 | @ORE | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−35.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
−0.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
+6.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
+22.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+14.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−6.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
−21.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
−21.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+5.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
−13.5
1
vsMINN
MINNW 77-75
+4.5
5
@MICH
MICHL 69-110
−14.5
8
vsUSC
USCL 75-77
+1.5
11
@WASH
WASHW 63-60
+15.5
14
@ORE
OREL 72-83
−4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−20.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
+6.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
−18.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
−23.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+25.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−17.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
+20.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
+11.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+8.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
+18.5
1
vsMINN
MINNW 77-75
+9.5
5
@MICH
MICHL 69-110
+17.5
8
vsUSC
USCL 75-77
−5.5
11
@WASH
WASHW 63-60
−30.5
14
@ORE
OREL 72-83
+9.5
over 15under 11avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rutgers
10-15 overall · 3-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maryland68–57
- Lvs Nebraska68–80
- L@ UCLA66–98
- L@ USC75–78
- Lvs Michigan St79–88
3 days since their last game.
Penn State
11-15 overall · 2-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oregon72–83
- W@ Washington63–60
- Lvs USC75–77
- L@ Michigan69–110
- Wvs Minnesota77–75
4 days since their last game.