Hart Center Arena · at Holy Cross · Conference game
Closing line
HC -1.5✓ LAF covered by 4.5
HC -1.5✓ LAF covered by 4.5Closing total139.5Over by 29.5
 LAF | This season | HC |
|---|---|---|
| 7-19 | Record | 7-18 |
| 10-15 | ATS | 13-12 |
| 14-11 | O/U | 13-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAF 68–70 HC · ✗ HC (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 33 | 53 | 86 |
| HC | 49 | 34 | 83 |
1st half: LAF 33, HC 49 (HC by 16). The model had HC by 1.0 and a total of 64.8 (actual 82).
Team stats
| LAF | HC | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-57 56% | Field goals | 30-53 57% |
| 8-17 47% | 3-pointers | 6-15 40% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 23 3 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Phillips G | 35 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Williams G | 30 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| Mark Butler G | 29 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 24 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Pettit G | 25 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 8-14 | 3-5 |
| KaiMani Murdock F | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Misha Bednostin C | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Wallace G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: TJ Berger, Beckett Currie, Justin Vander Baan, Luke Azzinaro, Malik Rasul, Folabomi Fayemi, Chris Rubayo, Luka Savicevic, Joshua Wyche
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Richard F | 35 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Gabe Warren G | 35 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Boston G | 31 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| DeAndre Williams G | 31 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4-10 | 1-2 |
| Aiden Disu F | 28 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 9-12 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John St. Germain III G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Declan Ryan F | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Jaden Kirkwood G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chuck Hare F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jude Haigh F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Mejia, Ethan Clark, Tim Finau, Will Aljancic, Ben Capron, Joe Nugent
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLAF -1.5
3 → HC
CloseHC -1.5
3 pts toward HC
Total
Open137.5
▲ 2
Close139.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
LAF +102 · HC -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LAF -1.5 · closed HC -1.5 · moved 3 toward HCmodel HC -2
model HC -2
Opened 137.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 upmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HC -1.5 | HC -1.8 | HC +0.3 | L LAF covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 138.3 | Under 1.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | LAF 68.2 · HC 70 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HC -1.0 | HC -16.0 |
| 1H total | 64.8 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | LAF 31.9 · HC 32.9 | LAF 33 · HC 49 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| HC | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
LAF 8–2 HCLAF leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · LAF has won the last 2 meetings · LAF 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | HC 55 @ LAF 74 | LAF -2.5 | LAF W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | HC 68 @ LAF 69 | LAF -7.5 | HC W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | LAF 69 @ HC 74 | HC +2.5 | HC W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | HC 65 @ LAF 82 | LAF -5.5 | LAF W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | HC 59 @ LAF 75 | LAF -7.5 | LAF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lafayette
26 games played
Straight up
7-19
27% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vs COR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @ STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 8 | @ PENN | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | @ CLT | L 67-81 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ GT | L 81-95 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 31 | vs COLG | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ L-MD | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | vs BU | L 67-83 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ NAVY | L 50-76 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 14 | @ BUCK | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsHC | W 74-55 | -2.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @BU | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @ LEH | L 59-64 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 28 | vsBUCK | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | @ AMER | W 67-65 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 4 | vsNAVY | L 50-65 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 7 | @ ARMY | W 63-60 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 11 | vsL-MD | L 54-68 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 14 | vsLEH | L 69-78 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
+5.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
−2.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+2.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
−1.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
+13.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
−14.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−17.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
−4.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
+16.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+0.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−2.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
−2.5
31
@AMER
AMERW 67-65
+7.5
4
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-65
−11.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 63-60
+1.5
11
vsL-MD
L-MDL 54-68
−17.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 69-78
−11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
−4.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
+10.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+28.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
+15.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
−9.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
+7.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−15.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
+7.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
−9.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+4.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−20.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
+21.5
31
@AMER
AMERW 67-65
−10.5
4
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-65
−24.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 63-60
−19.5
11
vsL-MD
L-MDL 54-68
−25.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 69-78
+6.5
over 14under 11avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Holy Cross
25 games played
Straight up
7-18
28% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PROV | L 79-89 | +23.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ BYU | L 53-98 | +38.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 10 | @ UTAH | L 69-87 | +21.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 16 | vs HAMP | W 67-61 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ BRWN | L 49-68 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 21 | @ SHU | L 66-79 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 24 | vs SIE | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs NE | W 76-59 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ FOR | W 70-69 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 16 | vs DART | L 64-89 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ HARV | L 53-81 | +10.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 31 | vsBUCK | W 65-58 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsNAVY | L 58-65 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 7 | @LEH | L 58-66 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 10 | @AMER | W 84-73 | +8.5 | W +19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vsARMY | W 82-75 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 17 | @LAF | L 55-74 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @NAVY | L 68-85 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 24 | vsAMER | L 67-76 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 28 | @COLG | L 74-79 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 31 | @ARMY | L 68-69 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 2 | vsBU | L 64-72 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vsLEH | W 76-67 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 11 | vsCOLG | L 70-74 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 15 | @L-MD | L 73-83 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+13.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−6.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+3.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
+10.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−16.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−5.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+5.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
+25.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+11.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
−23.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−17.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
+8.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−1.5
7
@LEH
LEHL 58-66
−5.5
10
@AMER
AMERW 84-73
+19.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 82-75
+2.5
17
@LAF
LAFL 55-74
−16.5
21
@NAVY
NAVYL 68-85
−5.5
24
vsAMER
AMERL 67-76
−4.5
28
@COLG
COLGL 74-79
+5.5
31
@ARMY
ARMYL 68-69
+1.5
2
vsBU
BUL 64-72
−5.5
7
vsLEH
LEHW 76-67
+10.5
11
vsCOLG
COLGL 70-74
+4.5
15
@L-MD
L-MDL 73-83
−5.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+15.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−14.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+0.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
−20.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−24.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−7.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+4.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
−10.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+0.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
+5.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−2.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
−10.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−14.5
7
@LEH
LEHL 58-66
−13.5
10
@AMER
AMERW 84-73
+19.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 82-75
+14.5
17
@LAF
LAFL 55-74
−9.5
21
@NAVY
NAVYL 68-85
+18.5
24
vsAMER
AMERL 67-76
+3.5
28
@COLG
COLGL 74-79
+8.5
31
@ARMY
ARMYL 68-69
−7.5
2
vsBU
BUL 64-72
−3.5
7
vsLEH
LEHW 76-67
+5.5
11
vsCOLG
COLGL 70-74
+1.5
15
@L-MD
L-MDL 73-83
+9.5
over 13under 12avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lafayette
7-19 overall · 5-9 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Lehigh69–78
- Lvs Loyola MD54–68
- W@ Army63–60
- Lvs Navy50–65
- W@ American67–65
4 days since their last game.
Holy Cross
7-18 overall · 4-10 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Loyola MD73–83
- Lvs Colgate70–74
- Wvs Lehigh76–67
- Lvs Boston U64–72
- L@ Army68–69
3 days since their last game.