Bender Arena · at American · Conference game
Closing line
AMER -5.5✓ LAF covered by 7.5
AMER -5.5✓ LAF covered by 7.5Closing total142.5Under by 10.5
 LAF | This season | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| 5-16 | Record | 11-9 |
| 8-12 | ATS | 13-7 |
| 13-7 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAF 68–75 AMER · ✗ AMER (73%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 27 | 40 | 67 |
| AMER | 32 | 33 | 65 |
1st half: LAF 27, AMER 32 (AMER by 5). The model had AMER by 4.0 and a total of 67.2 (actual 59).
Team stats
| LAF | AMER | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-56 43% | Field goals | 24-58 41% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 6-27 22% |
| 11-19 58% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 36 12 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler G | 37 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 36 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 9-12 | 5-7 |
| Caleb Williams G | 35 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 6-16 | 2-9 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 32 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-4 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Pettit G | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| KaiMani Murdock F | 10 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Joshua Wyche F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Misha Bednostin C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Beckett Currie, Ashton Wallace, Luke Azzinaro, Folabomi Fayemi, TJ Berger, Luka Savicevic, Chris Rubayo, Malik Rasul, Justin Vander Baan
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Mayock F | 33 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 31 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 24 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-5 |
| Kade Sebastian G | 22 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Greg Jones F | 15 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madden Collins G | 26 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Chris Eagan F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dean Hogans G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Luke Brown F | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Shane O'Reilly, Jack Anderson, Matthew Casey, Carson McDonald, Eric Michaels, Kamran Prince, Noah Jones, Gibraltar Coleman, Adrian Samuels
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAMER -5.5
ModelAMER -7.0
Model edgeAMER +1.5
L LAF covered
Total
Market142.5
Model143.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
L Under
Projected score
LAF 68.3 · AMER 75.3
LAF 67 · AMER 65
Win probability
AMER 73%
1st half
Spread
AMER -4.0
AMER -5.0
Total
67.2
59 points
Projected score
LAF 31.6 · AMER 35.6
LAF 27 · AMER 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAMER -7.5
2 → LAF
CloseAMER -5.5
2 pts toward LAF
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
LAF +210 · AMER -258
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AMER -7.5 · closed AMER -5.5 · moved 2 toward LAFmodel AMER -7
model AMER -7
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| AMER | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
LAF 5–5 AMERSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · AMER has won the last 3 meetings · LAF 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | LAF 69 @ AMER 71 | AMER -3.5 | LAF W |
| Feb 10, 2024-25 | LAF 58 @ AMER 60 | AMER -2.5 | LAF W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | AMER 75 @ LAF 68 | LAF -0.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | LAF 68 @ AMER 62 | AMER -6.5 | LAF W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | AMER 69 @ LAF 66 | LAF +1.5 | AMER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lafayette
21 games played
Straight up
5-16
24% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-7
65% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vs COR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @ STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 8 | @ PENN | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | @ CLT | L 67-81 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ GT | L 81-95 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 31 | vs COLG | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ L-MD | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | vs BU | L 67-83 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ NAVY | L 50-76 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 14 | @ BUCK | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs HC | W 74-55 | -2.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @BU | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @ LEH | L 59-64 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 28 | vsBUCK | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
+5.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
−2.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+2.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
−1.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
+13.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
−14.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−17.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
−4.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
+16.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+0.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−2.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
−2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
−4.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
+10.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+28.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
+15.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
−9.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
+7.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−15.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
+7.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
−9.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+4.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−20.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
+21.5
over 13under 7avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
American
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
13-7
65% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vsPENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | @ UVA | L 51-95 | +27.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vsL-MD | W 84-69 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @BU | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @COLG | L 62-64 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vsHC | L 73-84 | -8.5 | L −19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 12 | vsNAVY | W 65-51 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 18 | @ ARMY | W 78-67 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 21 | vsCOLG | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | @HC | W 76-67 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 28 | @L-MD | L 68-77 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−16.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
+6.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
+3.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
+3.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
−19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
+16.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
+2.5
24
@HC
HCW 76-67
+4.5
28
@L-MD
L-MDL 68-77
−13.5
covered 13didn’t cover 7avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−7.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
−1.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
−16.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
−22.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
+19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
−23.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
−2.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
−10.5
24
@HC
HCW 76-67
+3.5
28
@L-MD
L-MDL 68-77
−2.5
over 11under 9avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lafayette
5-16 overall · 3-6 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bucknell81–79
- L@ Lehigh59–64
- L@ Boston U73–77
- Wvs Holy Cross74–55
- L@ Bucknell69–76
3 days since their last game.
American
11-9 overall · 6-3 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Loyola MD68–77
- W@ Holy Cross76–67
- Wvs Colgate70–66
- W@ Army78–67
- Wvs Navy65–51
3 days since their last game.