Kirby Sports Center · at Lafayette · Conference game
Closing line
COLG -6.5✓ COLG covered by 1.5
COLG -6.5✓ COLG covered by 1.5Closing total146.5Over by 15.5
| COLG | This season | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | Record | 2-10 |
| 7-4 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 8-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLG 77–72 LAF · ✓ COLG (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 41 | 44 | 85 |
| LAF | 37 | 40 | 77 |
1st half: COLG 41, LAF 37 (COLG by 4). The model had COLG by 3.1 and a total of 69.3 (actual 78).
Team stats
| COLG | LAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 26-54 48% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 24-33 73% | Free throws | 19-28 68% |
| 36 8 off | Rebounds | 33 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 12 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 27 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| COLG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cox G | 37 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 10-13 | 2-3 |
| Andrew Alekseyenko F | 31 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Ben Tweedy G | 29 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Sam Wright F | 27 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Josh Ahayere G | 25 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Carlesimo G | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Cooper Wright F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Brown F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jonathan Niv, Charlie Pugh, Blake Forrest, Cameron Brennan, Stevie Clark, Brady Cummins, Parker Jones
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Phillips G | 36 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-8 |
| Mark Butler G | 35 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-1 |
| Caleb Williams G | 34 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 32 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 27 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Pettit G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Folabomi Fayemi G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ashton Wallace, TJ Berger, Beckett Currie, Justin Vander Baan, KaiMani Murdock, Luke Azzinaro, Malik Rasul, Chris Rubayo, Luka Savicevic, Joshua Wyche, Misha Bednostin
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLG -6.5
no move
CloseCOLG -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
COLG -298 · LAF +240
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLG -6.5 · unchangedmodel COLG -5
model COLG -5
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | COLG -6.5 | COLG -5.0 | LAF +1.5 | L COLG covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 147.9 | Over 1.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | COLG 76.5 · LAF 71.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | COLG -3.1 | COLG -4.0 |
| 1H total | 69.3 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | COLG 36.2 · LAF 33.1 | COLG 41 · LAF 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| LAF | 2-8 20% | 4-5 44% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
COLG 7–2 LAFCOLG leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · COLG 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | LAF 76 @ COLG 61 | COLG -8.5 | LAF W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | COLG 90 @ LAF 67 | LAF +1.5 | COLG W |
| Feb 19, 2023-24 | COLG 67 @ LAF 62 | LAF +8.5 | LAF W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | LAF 69 @ COLG 64 | COLG -13.5 | LAF W |
| Mar 8, 2022-23 | LAF 61 @ COLG 79 | COLG -14.5 | COLG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colgate
11 games played
Straight up
4-7
36% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MSU | L 69-80 | +22.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 7 | vs NE | L 65-68 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs DREX | W 90-83 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ ILL | L 65-84 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 17 | @ SIE | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | @ COR | L 94-95 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 28 | vs UALB | W 69-67 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs FOR | W 72-62 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 10 | @ SBU | L 77-85 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 21 | @ FLA | L 60-90 | +27.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 28 | vs HARV | L 69-78 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+11.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−8.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+3.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
+11.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
+9.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+4.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
+8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+1.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−2.5
28
vsHARV
HARVL 69-78
−12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+4.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−14.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+29.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
−15.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
−5.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+27.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
−8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+19.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−6.5
28
vsHARV
HARVL 69-78
+5.5
over 5under 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lafayette
12 games played
Straight up
2-10
17% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-3
73% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vsCOR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @ STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 8 | @ PENN | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | @ CLT | L 67-81 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ GT | L 81-95 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
+5.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
−2.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
−4.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
+10.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+28.5
over 8under 3avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colgate
4-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Harvard69–78
- L@ Florida60–90
- L@ St Bonaventure77–85
- Wvs Fordham72–62
- Wvs UAlbany69–67
3 days since their last game.
Lafayette
2-10 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgia Tech81–95
- L@ Charlotte67–81
- L@ Penn72–74
- Wvs Mercyhurst79–71
- Lvs Monmouth74–88
A week or more of rest.