Cotterell Court · at Colgate
Closing line
COLG -3.5✓ HARV covered by 12.5
COLG -3.5✓ HARV covered by 12.5Closing total141.5Over by 5.5
 HARV | This season | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | Record | 4-6 |
| 5-7 | ATS | 7-3 |
| 5-7 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HARV 71–73 COLG · ✗ COLG (58%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| COLG | 33 | 36 | 69 |
1st half: HARV 36, COLG 33 (HARV by 3). The model had COLG by 1.3 and a total of 67.3 (actual 69).
Team stats
| HARV | COLG | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-59 51% | Field goals | 28-59 47% |
| 13-24 54% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 5-6 83% | Free throws | 8-10 80% |
| 30 4 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 12 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| HARV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Pigge G | 36 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 8-15 | 2-4 |
| Thomas Batties II F | 36 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 8-14 | 3-6 |
| Robert Hinton G | 33 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Tey Barbour G | 33 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 7-10 | 4-6 |
| Ben Eisendrath G | 25 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Hunt G | 24 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Xavier Nesbitt G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Ryan Sullivan F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Frankie Mannino G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joseph Quartey, Avner Dror, Alex Touomou, Luca Ace-Nasteski, Dutch Dowdell, Greg Cooper, Kenan Parrish, Payton Pitts
| COLG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Tweedy G | 36 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Jalen Cox G | 36 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 7-14 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Alekseyenko F | 32 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 7-13 | 1-4 |
| Josh Ahayere G | 30 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Sam Wright F | 25 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Carlesimo G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo F | 13 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Cooper Wright F | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jonathan Niv, Ethan Brown, Charlie Pugh, Stevie Clark, Brady Cummins, Blake Forrest, Cameron Brennan, Parker Jones
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCOLG -3.5
ModelCOLG -2.4
Model edgeHARV +1.1
W HARV covered
Total
Market141.5
Model143.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
W Over
Projected score
HARV 70.6 · COLG 73
HARV 78 · COLG 69
Win probability
COLG 58%
1st half
Spread
COLG -1.3
HARV -3.0
Total
67.3
69 points
Projected score
HARV 33 · COLG 34.3
HARV 36 · COLG 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLG -4.5
1 → HARV
CloseCOLG -3.5
1 pt toward HARV
Total
Open142.5
▼ 1
Close141.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
HARV +142 · COLG -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLG -4.5 · closed COLG -3.5 · moved 1 toward HARVmodel COLG -2.5
model COLG -2.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| COLG | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HARV 3–0 COLGHARV leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · HARV has won the last 3 meetings · HARV 3-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024-25 | COLG 67 @ HARV 78 | HARV -1.5 | HARV W |
| Nov 22, 2023-24 | HARV 76 @ COLG 70 | COLG -4.5 | HARV W |
| Nov 24, 2021-22 | COLG 84 @ HARV 89 | HARV +4 | HARV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Harvard
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs UNH | W 86-75 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs NE | L 60-77 | -5.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | @ ARMY | W 75-52 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 16 | @ MRST | W 56-54 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 19 | @ PSU | L 80-84 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs BU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | @ BC | L 60-73 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs BRY | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 3 | @ MASS | L 71-78 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | @ FUR | L 69-79 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | vs HC | W 81-53 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 23 | @ SJU | L 59-85 | +26.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
−4.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−22.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
+16.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
+8.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+8.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
−5.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−4.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
−1.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
−5.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
+17.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
+0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
+13.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−7.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
−19.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
−20.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+21.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
+12.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
+5.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
+6.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
−2.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
−1.5
over 5under 7avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colgate
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MSU | L 69-80 | +22.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 7 | vsNE | L 65-68 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs DREX | W 90-83 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ ILL | L 65-84 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 17 | @ SIE | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | @ COR | L 94-95 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 28 | vs UALB | W 69-67 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs FOR | W 72-62 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 10 | @ SBU | L 77-85 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 21 | @ FLA | L 60-90 | +27.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+11.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−8.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+3.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
+11.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
+9.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+4.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
+8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+1.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+4.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−14.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+29.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
−15.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
−5.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+27.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
−8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+19.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−6.5
over 4under 6avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Harvard
5-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St John's59–85
- Wvs Holy Cross81–53
- L@ Furman69–79
- L@ UMass71–78
- Wvs Bryant56–53
5 days since their last game.
Colgate
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida60–90
- L@ St Bonaventure77–85
- Wvs Fordham72–62
- Wvs UAlbany69–67
- L@ Cornell94–95
A week or more of rest.