Lavietes Pavilion · at Harvard
Closing line
HARV -10.5✓ HARV covered by 17.5
HARV -10.5✓ HARV covered by 17.5Closing total136.5Under by 2.5
 HC | This season | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 4-6 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 3-7 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HC 64–73 HARV · ✓ HARV (79%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 24 | 29 | 53 |
| HARV | 41 | 40 | 81 |
1st half: HC 24, HARV 41 (HARV by 17). The model had HARV by 5.3 and a total of 64.6 (actual 65).
Team stats
| HC | HARV | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-60 33% | Field goals | 31-52 60% |
| 6-30 20% | 3-pointers | 7-14 50% |
| 7-9 78% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 25 11 off | Rebounds | 38 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Nugent F | 33 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-6 |
| Gabe Warren G | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-3 |
| Tyler Boston G | 32 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-12 | 2-7 |
| Aidan Richard F | 24 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| DeAndre Williams G | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John St. Germain III G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Will Aljancic F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jude Haigh F | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Chuck Hare F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Kirkwood G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Austin Mejia G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Capron, Declan Ryan, Aiden Disu, Tim Finau, Ethan Clark
| HARV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tey Barbour G | 31 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Chandler Pigge G | 30 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 7-12 | 0-2 |
| Thomas Batties II F | 30 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Robert Hinton G | 27 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Ben Eisendrath G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Hunt G | 26 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 8-9 | 3-4 |
| Frankie Mannino G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Sullivan F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Nesbitt G | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Luca Ace-Nasteski F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Quartey G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dutch Dowdell G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Greg Cooper G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Payton Pitts G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Touomou, Kenan Parrish, Avner Dror
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHARV -10.5
ModelHARV -9.1
Model edgeHC +1.4
L HARV covered
Total
Market136.5
Model137.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
L Under
Projected score
HC 64.4 · HARV 73.4
HC 53 · HARV 81
Win probability
HARV 79%
1st half
Spread
HARV -5.3
HARV -17.0
Total
64.6
65 points
Projected score
HC 29.6 · HARV 35
HC 24 · HARV 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHARV -9.5
1 → HARV
CloseHARV -10.5
1 pt toward HARV
Total
Open135.5
▲ 1
Close136.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HC +440 · HARV -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HARV -9.5 · closed HARV -10.5 · moved 1 toward HARVmodel HARV -9
model HARV -9
Opened 135.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 1 upmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| HARV | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HC 1–3 HARVHARV leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · HC 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024-25 | HARV 67 @ HC 68 | HC +2.5 | HC W |
| Dec 21, 2023-24 | HC 72 @ HARV 74 | HARV -13.5 | HC W |
| Nov 30, 2022-23 | HARV 72 @ HC 38 | HC +9.5 | HARV W |
| Dec 19, 2021-22 | HC 54 @ HARV 62 | HARV -16.5 | HC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Holy Cross
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PROV | L 79-89 | +23.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ BYU | L 53-98 | +38.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 10 | @ UTAH | L 69-87 | +21.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 16 | vs HAMP | W 67-61 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ BRWN | L 49-68 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 21 | @ SHU | L 66-79 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 24 | vs SIE | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs NE | W 76-59 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ FOR | W 70-69 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 16 | vs DART | L 64-89 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+13.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−6.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+3.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
+10.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−16.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−5.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+5.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
+25.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+11.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
−23.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+15.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−14.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+0.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
−20.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−24.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−7.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+4.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
−10.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+0.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
+5.5
over 5under 5avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Harvard
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs UNH | W 86-75 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vsNE | L 60-77 | -5.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | @ ARMY | W 75-52 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 16 | @ MRST | W 56-54 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 19 | @ PSU | L 80-84 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs BU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | @ BC | L 60-73 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs BRY | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 3 | @ MASS | L 71-78 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | @ FUR | L 69-79 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
−4.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−22.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
+16.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
+8.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+8.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
−5.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−4.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
−1.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
+13.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−7.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
−19.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
−20.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+21.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
+12.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
+5.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
+6.5
over 5under 5avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Holy Cross
3-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Dartmouth64–89
- W@ Fordham70–69
- Wvs Northeastern76–59
- Lvs Siena69–73
- L@ Sacred Heart66–79
4 days since their last game.
Harvard
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Furman69–79
- L@ UMass71–78
- Wvs Bryant56–53
- L@ Boston College60–73
- Lvs Boston U74–75
A week or more of rest.