Hart Center Arena · at Holy Cross
Closing line
NE -8.5✓ HC covered by 25.5
NE -8.5✓ HC covered by 25.5Closing total145.5Under by 10.5
| NE | This season | HC |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 1-6 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NE 75–69 HC · ✗ NE (70%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 25 | 34 | 59 |
| HC | 42 | 34 | 76 |
1st half: NE 25, HC 42 (HC by 17). The model had NE by 3.7 and a total of 67.7 (actual 67).
Team stats
| NE | HC | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 30-56 54% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 5-16 31% |
| 3-8 38% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 32 11 off | Rebounds | 36 6 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Abreu G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Xander Alarie F | 23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| William Kermoury G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Youri Fritz F | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mike Loughnane G | 28 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Ty Francis F | 28 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| JB Frankel G | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Liam Koelsch C | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Williams G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Petar Pinter C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Miles Newton, Haris Elezovic, LA Pratt
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Boston G | 32 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 7-13 | 0-4 |
| Gabe Warren G | 32 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Joe Nugent F | 30 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Aiden Disu F | 29 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Aidan Richard F | 28 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeAndre Williams G | 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Chuck Hare F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| John St. Germain III G | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Will Aljancic F | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tim Finau, Ethan Clark, Jude Haigh, Ben Capron, Austin Mejia, Declan Ryan, Jaden Kirkwood
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNE -8.5
ModelNE -5.8
Model edgeHC +2.7
W HC covered
Total
Market145.5
Model144.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
W Under
Projected score
NE 75.2 · HC 69.3
NE 59 · HC 76
Win probability
NE 70%
1st half
Spread
NE -3.7
HC -17.0
Total
67.7
67 points
Projected score
NE 35.7 · HC 32
NE 25 · HC 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNE -6.5
2 → NE
CloseNE -8.5
2 pts toward NE
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NE -380 · HC +300
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NE -6.5 · closed NE -8.5 · moved 2 toward NEmodel NE -6
model NE -6
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NElast 7 | 3-4 43% | 4-3 57% | 4-3 57% |
| HClast 7 | 1-6 14% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NE 1–0 HCNE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NE 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | HC 58 @ NE 59 | NE -9.5 | HC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northeastern
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@
COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
11
@
HARV
HARVW 77-60
+22.5
15
vs
UVM
UVML 74-85
−12.5
20
@
PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−10.5
22
vs
DUQ
DUQW 93-86
+14.5
28
@
WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
−7.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
+24.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−18.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+31.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
over 4under 3avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Holy Cross
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PROV
PROVL 79-89
+13.5
8
@
BYU
BYUL 53-98
−6.5
10
@
UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+3.5
16
vs
HAMP
HAMPW 67-61
+10.5
18
@
BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−16.5
21
@
SHU
SHUL 66-79
−5.5
24
vs
SIE
SIEL 69-73
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+15.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−14.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+0.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
−20.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−24.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−7.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+4.5
over 3under 4avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northeastern
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wake Forest73–86
- Wvs Duquesne93–86
- L@ Princeton57–70
- Lvs Vermont74–85
- W@ Harvard77–60
5 days since their last game.
Holy Cross
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Siena69–73
- L@ Sacred Heart66–79
- L@ Brown49–68
- Wvs Hampton67–61
- L@ Utah69–87
A week or more of rest.