Marriott Center · at BYU
Closing line
BYU -38.5✓ BYU covered by 6.5
Closing total165.5Under by 14.5
| This season | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HC 61–94 BYU · ✓ BYU (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 25 | 28 | 53 |
| BYU | 58 | 40 | 98 |
1st half: HC 25, BYU 58 (BYU by 33). The model had BYU by 19.8 and a total of 72.1 (actual 83).
Team stats
| HC | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-60 35% | Field goals | 39-63 62% |
| 3-22 14% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 36 4 off |
| 9 | Assists | 20 |
| 3 | Steals | 12 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 62 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Boston G | 23 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Aiden Disu F | 21 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Joe Nugent F | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Aidan Richard F | 19 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-2 |
| Gabe Warren G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeAndre Williams G | 20 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| John St. Germain III G | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Will Aljancic F | 17 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Declan Ryan F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Chuck Hare F | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Kirkwood G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jude Haigh F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Ethan Clark F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Austin Mejia G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Capron, Tim Finau
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Wright III G | 25 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-2 |
| AJ Dybantsa F | 24 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-2 |
| Richie Saunders G | 21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 20 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Keba Keita F | 15 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dawson Baker F | 20 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Khadim Mboup F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Dominique Diomande F | 13 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Tyler Mrus F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Xavion Staton C | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aleksej Kostic G | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Brody Kozlowski, Nate Pickens, Jared McGregor
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBYU -38.5
ModelBYU -32.8
Model edgeHC +5.7
L BYU covered
Total
Market165.5
Model154.1
Model edgeUnder 11.4
W Under
Projected score
HC 60.6 · BYU 93.5
HC 53 · BYU 98
Win probability
BYU 100%
1st half
Spread
BYU -19.8
BYU -33.0
Total
72.1
83 points
Projected score
HC 26.2 · BYU 45.9
HC 25 · BYU 58
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBYU -35.5
3 → BYU
CloseBYU -38.5
3 pts toward BYU
Total
Open164.5
▲ 1
Close165.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BYU -35.5 · closed BYU -38.5 · moved 3 toward BYUmodel BYU -33
model BYU -33
Opened 164.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | |
| 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Holy Cross
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +13.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +15.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 79-89 | +23.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PROV
L 79-89
+13.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
PROV
L 79-89
+15.5
over 1under 0avg +15.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
BYU
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −16.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 71-66 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
VILL
W 71-66
−4.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
VILL
W 71-66
−16.5
over 0under 1avg −16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Holy Cross
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Providence79–89
5 days since their last game.
BYU
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Villanova71–66
5 days since their last game.