Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Lipscomb Bisons: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 3, 12:00 PM ETAllen Arena · at Lipscomb

Final

#214LIPLipscomb83▲ winner

Closing lineLIP -10.5✓ TNTC covered by 7.5

Closing total152.5Over by 10.5

Season records: Tennessee Tech and Lipscomb
TNTC	This season	LIP
1-5	Record	3-4
3-3	ATS	5-2
3-3	O/U	3-4

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: TNTC 70–80 LIP · ✓ LIP (82%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
TNTC	36	44	80
LIP	38	45	83

1st half: TNTC 36, LIP 38 (LIP by 2). The model had LIP by 6.0 and a total of 70.5 (actual 74).

Team stats

TNTC		LIP
29-63 46%	Field goals	29-65 45%
10-22 45%	3-pointers	11-32 34%
12-17 71%	Free throws	14-20 70%
38 10 off	Rebounds	36 10 off
11	Assists	20
8	Steals	9
4	Blocks	5
12	Turnovers	11
17	Fouls	14
34	Points in paint	36
8	Fast-break points	13

Players

TNTC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ty Owens G	35	15	5	7	6-9	1-2
Mekhi Cameron G	31	14	5	0	4-9	3-6
Brandon Muntu G	26	8	1	0	3-10	2-8
Dani Pounds F	23	19	7	0	8-14	1-2
Grant Slatten G	7	0	1	0	0-1	0-1
Bench
Ja'Quavian Florence G	22	4	4	2	2-7	0-0
Malik Ferguson G	18	6	1	0	2-4	1-1
JaJuan Nicholls F	14	8	5	0	2-3	0-0
C.J. McPherson G	12	6	3	1	2-5	2-2
Owen Varnado F	6	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Jah'Kim Payne G	5	0	1	1	0-1	0-0
Mekhi Turner F	1	0	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Hagan Preston, Maguire Evans, Jacobe Whitted, Colin Ayers

LIP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Mateo Esmeraldo G	32	10	7	7	4-9	1-3
Grant Asman F	30	17	6	2	5-10	3-8
Titas Sargiunas F	27	16	1	2	7-11	2-5
Or Ashkenazi F	20	5	4	1	2-3	1-2
Charlie Williams C	19	9	5	5	3-7	1-1
Bench
Ross Candelino G	21	12	6	0	3-7	3-7
Ethan Duncan G	16	4	0	0	1-4	0-2
Kellan Boylan F	14	4	1	2	1-5	0-0
Kennedy Okpara F	12	2	2	1	1-4	0-2
Cole Middleton F	9	4	2	0	2-5	0-2

Did not play: Josh Scott, Devyn Martin, Luke Jack, Luke Carter, Miles White, Logan Suber

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	LIP -10.5	LIP -10.3	TNTC +0.2	W TNTC covered
Total	152.5	150.5	Under 2.0	L Over
Projected score	—	TNTC 70.1 · LIP 80.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	LIP -6.0	LIP -2.0
1H total	70.5	74
1H projected score	TNTC 32.2 · LIP 38.2	TNTC 36 · LIP 38

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TNTC WLWLL	3-3	50%	3-2	3-2
LIP WWWWW	5-2	71%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: TNTC away, as underdog; LIP home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
TNTC UUOOO	3-3	50%	1-5
LIP UUUUO	3-4	43%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TNTClast 6	1-5 17%	3-3 50%	3-3 50%
LIPlast 7	3-4 43%	5-2 71%	3-4 43%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

TNTC 1–2 LIPLIP leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · LIP has won the last 2 meetings · TNTC 2-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 14, 2023-24	LIP 96 @ TNTC 65	TNTC -0.5	LIP W
Dec 14, 2022-23	TNTC 63 @ LIP 64	LIP -10.5	TNTC W
Nov 23, 2021-22	LIP 77 @ TNTC 88	TNTC +2	TNTC W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Tennessee Tech

6 games played

Straight up

1-5

17% wins

Against the spread

3-3

50% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-3

50% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-517%

L L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-350%

W W L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-350%

U U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@WKU	L 70-82	+14.5	W +2.5	153.5	U 152
Nov 7	@CLT	L 65-70	+12.5	W +7.5	146.5	U 135
Nov 17	vsWGA	L 59-61	-4.5	L −6.5	152.5	U 120
Nov 19	@UPST	W 88-84	+2.5	W +6.5	150.5	O 172
Nov 26	@UK	L 54-104	+37.5	L −12.5	157.5	O 158
Nov 29	@UGA	L 81-123	+34.5	L −7.5	160.5	O 204

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WKU

L 70-82

+2.5

CLT

L 65-70

+7.5

WGA

L 59-61

−6.5

UPST

W 88-84

+6.5

L 54-104

−12.5

UGA

L 81-123

−7.5

covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WKU

L 70-82

−1.5

CLT

L 65-70

−11.5

WGA

L 59-61

−32.5

UPST

W 88-84

+21.5

L 54-104

+0.5

UGA

L 81-123

+43.5

over 3under 3avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Lipscomb

7 games played

Straight up

3-4

43% wins

Against the spread

5-2

71% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-4

43% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-443%

L L L L W W W

3 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

5-271%

L L W W W W W

5 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-443%

O O U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@VAN	L 61-105	+26.5	L −17.5	154.5	O 166
Nov 9	@MER	L 77-92	+3.5	L −11.5	157.5	O 169
Nov 11	@UNCA	L 64-69	+6.5	W +1.5	158.5	U 133
Nov 19	@BEL	L 68-75	+12.5	W +5.5	158.5	U 143
Nov 22	vsWCU	W 83-62	-5.5	W +15.5	151.5	U 145
Nov 26	@MRSH	W 90-67	+7.5	W +30.5	157.5	U 157
Nov 29	@SEMO	W 88-77	+3.5	W +14.5	153.5	O 165

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

VAN

L 61-105

−17.5

MER

L 77-92

−11.5

UNCA

L 64-69

+1.5

BEL

L 68-75

+5.5

WCU

W 83-62

+15.5

MRSH

W 90-67

+30.5

SEMO

W 88-77

+14.5

covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

VAN

L 61-105

+11.5

MER

L 77-92

+11.5

UNCA

L 64-69

−25.5

BEL

L 68-75

−15.5

WCU

W 83-62

−6.5

MRSH

W 90-67

−0.5

SEMO

W 88-77

+11.5

over 3under 4avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Lipscomb Bisons

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Tennessee Tech

Lipscomb

Tennessee Tech

Lipscomb