Ocean Bank Convocation Center · at FIU · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -4.5✓ FIU covered by 1.5
LIB -4.5✓ FIU covered by 1.5Closing total152.5Over by 38.5
| LIB | This season | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 6-2 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 6-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIB 76–73 FIU · ✓ LIB (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 41 | 41 | 15 | 97 |
| FIU | 33 | 49 | 12 | 94 |
1st half: LIB 41, FIU 33 (LIB by 8). The model had LIB by 1.9 and a total of 69.8 (actual 74).
Team stats
| LIB | FIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-69 51% | Field goals | 36-73 49% |
| 15-40 38% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 16-23 70% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 45 20 off |
| 23 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cleveland F | 43 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Metheny G | 41 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 8-15 | 6-13 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 41 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 9-18 | 5-11 |
| Colin Porter G | 40 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 5-12 | 4-10 |
| JJ Harper G | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith F | 26 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Zander Carter G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zander Yates F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| TJ Drain F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Isaiah Ihnen, Drew Grimes, JC Shirer Jr., Torr Sorensen, Brady Kester
| FIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Stephenson G | 36 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 6-14 | 3-5 |
| Eric Dibami C | 35 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 9-14 | 0-0 |
| Zawdie Jackson G | 34 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Ashton Williamson G | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Hamed Olayinka F | 18 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julian Mackey G | 27 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Thiago Sucatzky G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Brit Harris G | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Ibrahim Olajuwon C | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Kennedy Brown F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mikey Kelvin II, Aydan Clinton, Renato Ruiz, Gvidas Gicevicius, Amarion Nimmers, Jorge Santos
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -4.5
no move
CloseLIB -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
LIB -225 · FIU +185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -4.5 · unchangedmodel LIB -3
model LIB -3
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -4.5 | LIB -2.9 | FIU +1.6 | W FIU covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 148.9 | Under 3.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | LIB 75.9 · FIU 73 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -1.9 | LIB -8.0 |
| 1H total | 69.8 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | LIB 35.8 · FIU 33.9 | LIB 41 · FIU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIBlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
| FIUlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 6-2 75% | 6-2 75% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LIB 3–1 FIULIB leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 2 meetings · LIB 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | FIU 45 @ LIB 58 | LIB -13.5 | FIU W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | LIB 82 @ FIU 59 | FIU +5.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | LIB 71 @ FIU 76 | FIU +6.5 | FIU W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | FIU 69 @ LIB 78 | LIB -13.5 | FIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Liberty
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
over 4under 4avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
FIU
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEB | L 66-96 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ LSU | L 81-98 | +21.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs JMU | L 72-80 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | vs OMA | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs FGCU | W 89-83 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 6 | vs JAX | W 88-65 | -5.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | @ MIA | L 81-98 | +22.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIU | W 86-79 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEB
NEBL 66-96
−8.5
13
@LSU
LSUL 81-98
+4.5
24
vsJMU
JMUL 72-80
−10.5
26
vsOMA
OMAW 74-61
+8.5
3
vsFGCU
FGCUW 89-83
+7.5
6
vsJAX
JAXW 88-65
+17.5
16
@MIA
MIAL 81-98
+5.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 86-79
+0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEB
NEBL 66-96
+5.5
13
@LSU
LSUL 81-98
+20.5
24
vsJMU
JMUL 72-80
−3.5
26
vsOMA
OMAW 74-61
−22.5
3
vsFGCU
FGCUW 89-83
+17.5
6
vsJAX
JAXW 88-65
+7.5
16
@MIA
MIAL 81-98
+17.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 86-79
+3.5
over 6under 2avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Liberty
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Dayton64–61
- L@ NC State45–85
- Wvs Coppin St92–50
- Lvs Bradley64–74
- Lvs Towson69–72
A week or more of rest.
FIU
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Island86–79
- L@ Miami81–98
- Wvs Jacksonville88–65
- Wvs FGCU89–83
- Wvs Omaha74–61
A week or more of rest.