John Paul Jones Arena · at Virginia
Closing line
UVA -27.5✓ UVA covered by 16.5
UVA -27.5✓ UVA covered by 16.5Closing total153.5Under by 7.5
 AMER | This season | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 10-1 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 9-1 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AMER 65–87 UVA · ✓ UVA (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 25 | 26 | 51 |
| UVA | 45 | 50 | 95 |
1st half: AMER 25, UVA 45 (UVA by 20). The model had UVA by 12.7 and a total of 71.1 (actual 70).
Team stats
| AMER | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-60 32% | Field goals | 38-61 62% |
| 8-35 23% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 5-6 83% | Free throws | 10-18 56% |
| 23 10 off | Rebounds | 45 14 off |
| 11 | Assists | 25 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones F | 32 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Matt Mayock F | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 25 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 22 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 20 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kade Sebastian G | 27 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Madden Collins G | 24 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-12 | 0-5 |
| Chris Eagan F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Luke Brown F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Anderson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Matthew Casey G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Shane O'Reilly, Eric Michaels, Gibraltar Coleman, Dean Hogans, Adrian Samuels, Carson McDonald, Noah Jones, Kamran Prince
| UVA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall G | 25 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Sam Lewis G | 24 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Thijs De Ridder F | 24 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 11-15 | 3-4 |
| Malik Thomas G | 21 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Johann Grunloh C | 19 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Mallory G | 23 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 5-6 | 0-1 |
| Devin Tillis F | 22 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Ugonna Onyenso C | 17 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Gertrude G | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Martin Carrere G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Carter Lang F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Desmond Roberts, Owen Odom, Silas Barksdale, Jacari White
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVA -26.5
1 → UVA
CloseUVA -27.5
1 pt toward UVA
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
AMER +2000 · UVA -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVA -26.5 · closed UVA -27.5 · moved 1 toward UVAmodel UVA -21.5
model UVA -21.5
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UVA -27.5 | UVA -21.3 | AMER +6.2 | L UVA covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 151.8 | Under 1.7 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | AMER 65.2 · UVA 86.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UVA -12.7 | UVA -20.0 |
| 1H total | 71.1 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | AMER 29.2 · UVA 41.9 | AMER 25 · UVA 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 9-1 90% |
| UVA | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
AMER 0–1 UVAUVA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · AMER 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024-25 | AMER 58 @ UVA 63 | UVA -12.5 | AMER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
American
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-1
90% overs · avg +9.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
over 9under 1avg +9.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia
11 games played
Straight up
10-1
91% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RID | W 87-53 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 7 | vs NCCU | W 81-62 | -34.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 11 | vs HAMP | W 91-53 | -24.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs MRSH | W 104-78 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 21 | vs NU | W 83-78 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs BTLR | L 73-80 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs QUC | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | @ TEX | W 88-69 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | vs DAY | W 86-73 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 9 | vsUMES | W 84-60 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs MD | W 80-72 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
+7.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−15.5
11
vsHAMP
HAMPW 91-53
+13.5
15
vsMRSH
MRSHW 104-78
+5.5
21
vsNU
NUW 83-78
+0.5
23
vsBTLR
BTLRL 73-80
−13.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 94-69
−0.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 88-69
+22.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 86-73
+7.5
9
vsUMES
UMESW 84-60
−12.5
20
vsMD
MDW 80-72
−8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
−8.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−8.5
11
vsHAMP
HAMPW 91-53
−4.5
15
vsMRSH
MRSHW 104-78
+26.5
21
vsNU
NUW 83-78
+11.5
23
vsBTLR
BTLRL 73-80
−2.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 94-69
+2.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 88-69
+2.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 86-73
+11.5
9
vsUMES
UMESW 84-60
+9.5
20
vsMD
MDW 80-72
−1.5
over 6under 5avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
American
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ VCU83–105
- Wvs MD Eastern78–60
- Wvs Drexel75–73
- Wvs Longwood92–66
- Lvs Siena55–59
4 days since their last game.
Virginia
10-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maryland80–72
- Wvs MD Eastern84–60
- Wvs Dayton86–73
- W@ Texas88–69
- Wvs Queens University Royals94–69
2 days since their last game.