The Thunderdome · at Santa Barbara
Closing line
UCSB -9.5✓ UCSB covered by 8.5
Closing total147.5Under by 7.5
| This season | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 6-4 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 3-7 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PORT 74–81 UCSB · ✓ UCSB (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 23 | 38 | 61 |
| UCSB | 36 | 43 | 79 |
1st half: PORT 23, UCSB 36 (UCSB by 13). The model had UCSB by 4.1 and a total of 72.6 (actual 59).
Team stats
| PORT | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-55 45% | Field goals | 30-56 54% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 14-29 48% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 5-9 56% |
| 30 10 off | Rebounds | 32 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 23 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| PORT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Williams F | 33 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Joel Foxwell G | 30 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Mikah Ballew G | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-10 | 2-7 |
| Timo George F | 24 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| James O'Donnell F | 22 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matus Hronsky F | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Garrett Nuckolls G | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb C | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Dante Censori-Hercules G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Marchelo Moreira, Riley Parker, NaVaughn Long, Carlin Briggs, Preston Lee, Kelson Gebbers
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Shaw G | 34 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Aidan Mahaney G | 30 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Colin Smith F | 29 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Zion Sensley G | 23 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Evans Kipruto C | 19 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| ZZ Clark G | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Koat Keat Tong F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Zuffelato G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Haughy, Jason Fontenet II, Miro Little, John Simcoe, Bryce Bedgood, Isaac Shingange
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -9.5
no move
CloseUCSB -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▼ 4
Close147.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
PORT +370 · UCSB -485
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -9.5 · unchangedmodel UCSB -7
model UCSB -7
Opened 151.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 4 downmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSB -9.5 | UCSB -7.0 | PORT +2.5 | L UCSB covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 155.1 | Over 7.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PORT 74 · UCSB 81.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSB -4.1 | UCSB -13.0 |
| 1H total | 72.6 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | PORT 34.3 · UCSB 38.4 | PORT 23 · UCSB 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PORT 0–1 UCSBUCSB leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · PORT 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024-25 | UCSB 94 @ PORT 53 | PORT +7.5 | UCSB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Portland
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs | W 83-74 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 67-63 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 56-93 | +11.5 | L −25.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 103-85 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 80-86 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 66-76 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 93-73 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 1 | @ | L 72-94 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 88-78 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 69-94 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vs
UAPB
W 83-74
−3.5
9
vs
UCD
W 67-63
+2.5
15
@
WYO
L 56-93
−25.5
21
vs
CSUF
W 103-85
+11.5
22
vs
UNCO
L 80-86
−2.5
23
vs
STMN
L 66-76
−4.5
26
vs
LBSU
W 93-73
+14.5
1
@
STAN
L 72-94
−2.5
14
vs
KENT
W 88-78
+17.5
17
@
ORE
L 69-94
−5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vs
UAPB
W 83-74
−7.5
9
vs
UCD
W 67-63
−21.5
15
@
WYO
L 56-93
−11.5
21
vs
CSUF
W 103-85
+23.5
22
vs
UNCO
L 80-86
+8.5
23
vs
STMN
L 66-76
−13.5
26
vs
LBSU
W 93-73
+17.5
1
@
STAN
L 72-94
+9.5
14
vs
KENT
W 88-78
+5.5
17
@
ORE
L 69-94
+8.5
over 6under 4avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Barbara
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vs | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SJSU
W 85-74
+1.5
11
@
SAC
W 92-87
−2.5
17
vs
LMU
L 74-78
−7.5
22
@
NEV
L 64-77
−7.5
28
vs
LEH
W 72-70
−8.5
29
vs
SEA
W 74-71
+5.5
4
vs
LBSU
W 84-77
−6.5
6
vs
CSUB
W 109-84
+12.5
13
vs
UVU
L 53-68
−9.5
17
@
GB
L 64-67
−10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vs
SJSU
W 85-74
+12.5
11
@
SAC
W 92-87
+17.5
17
vs
LMU
L 74-78
+6.5
22
@
NEV
L 64-77
−6.5
28
vs
LEH
W 72-70
−4.5
29
vs
SEA
W 74-71
+2.5
4
vs
LBSU
W 84-77
+19.5
6
vs
CSUB
W 109-84
+47.5
13
vs
UVU
L 53-68
−25.5
17
@
GB
L 64-67
−9.5
over 6under 4avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Portland
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oregon69–94
- Wvs Kent State88–78
- L@ Stanford72–94
- Wvs Long Beach St93–73
- Lvs St Thomas66–76
5 days since their last game.
Santa Barbara
6-4 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Green Bay64–67
- Lvs Utah Valley53–68
- Wvs Bakersfield109–84
- Wvs Long Beach St84–77
- Wvs Seattle U74–71
5 days since their last game.