Maples Pavilion · at Stanford
Closing line
STAN -19.5✓ STAN covered by 2.5
STAN -19.5✓ STAN covered by 2.5Closing total156.5Over by 9.5
 PORT | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 6-1 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PORT 70–86 STAN · ✓ STAN (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 31 | 41 | 72 |
| STAN | 51 | 43 | 94 |
1st half: PORT 31, STAN 51 (STAN by 20). The model had STAN by 9.8 and a total of 72.9 (actual 82).
Team stats
| PORT | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-47 51% | Field goals | 33-64 52% |
| 5-12 42% | 3-pointers | 14-33 42% |
| 19-24 79% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 31 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 2 | Steals | 11 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| PORT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Williams F | 33 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 9-12 | 1-1 |
| Joel Foxwell G | 32 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| James O'Donnell F | 27 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Mikah Ballew G | 25 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
| Matus Hronsky F | 21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garrett Nuckolls G | 24 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Timo George F | 18 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Dante Censori-Hercules G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb C | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Riley Parker, Marchelo Moreira, Kelson Gebbers, NaVaughn Long, Carlin Briggs, Preston Lee
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benny Gealer G | 33 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Chisom Okpara F | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Ebuka Okorie G | 25 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Agarwal G | 25 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 23 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 21 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Grant G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kristers Skrinda F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Jones, Tallis Toure, Evan Stinson, Ethan Kitch, Donavin Young, Anthony Batson Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -16.5
3 → STAN
CloseSTAN -19.5
3 pts toward STAN
Total
Open156.5
no move
Close156.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
PORT +1300 · STAN -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -16.5 · closed STAN -19.5 · moved 3 toward STANmodel STAN -16.5
model STAN -16.5
Opened 156.5 · unchangedmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | STAN -19.5 | STAN -16.6 | PORT +2.9 | L STAN covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 155.8 | Under 0.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | PORT 69.6 · STAN 86.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | STAN -9.8 | STAN -20.0 |
| 1H total | 72.9 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | PORT 31.5 · STAN 41.4 | PORT 31 · STAN 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORTlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% |
| STANlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Portland
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs UAPB | W 83-74 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 9 | vs UCD | W 67-63 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ WYO | L 56-93 | +11.5 | L −25.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs CSUF | W 103-85 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNCO | L 80-86 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs STMN | L 66-76 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs LBSU | W 93-73 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−3.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
+2.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−25.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+11.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
−2.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−4.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+14.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−7.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
−21.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−11.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+23.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
+8.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−13.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+17.5
over 3under 4avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
over 3under 4avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Portland
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Beach St93–73
- Lvs St Thomas66–76
- Lvs N Colorado80–86
- Wvs Fullerton103–85
- L@ Wyoming56–93
5 days since their last game.
Stanford
6-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Louis78–77
- Wvs Minnesota72–68
- Lvs Seattle U69–77
- Wvs Louisiana93–66
- Wvs Montana St77–68
3 days since their last game.