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Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 72.1
Projected
32–41
✓ VILL won
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 74.2
Projected
33–41
✓ TROY won
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 73.6
Projected
36–37
✗ DEL lost
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 65.8
Projected
32–34
✓ JXST won
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 68.1
Projected
30–38
✓ CIN won
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 70.0
Projected
27–43
✓ XAV won
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 74.2
Projected
38–36
✓ UAB won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 69.2
Projected
37–32
✗ MCN lost
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 74.1
Projected
33–41
✗ KSU lost
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 71.6
Projected
32–39
✗ COLO lost
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 72.9
Projected
32–41
✓ STAN won
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half final |  4-3 · #111  5-1 · #32 |
— | — | VILL -9.0 | — | 72.1 | — | 84% VILL | › | |
| Half final |  3-3 · #298  4-4 · #147 |
— | — | TROY -7.9 | — | 74.2 | — | 81% TROY | › | |
| Half final |  5-2 · #233  2-3 · #206 |
— | — | DEL -0.7 | — | 73.6 | — | 53% DEL | › | |
| Half final |  1-4 · #292  1-3 · #198 |
— | — | JXST -2.7 | — | 65.8 | — | 62% JXST | › | |
| Half final |  3-3 · #185  5-2 · #30 |
— | — | CIN -8.4 | — | 68.1 | — | 82% CIN | › | |
| Half final |  0-6 · #88  5-3 · #49 |
— | — | XAV -16.2 | — | 70.0 | — | 96% XAV | › | |
| Half final |  5-2 · #102  2-3 · #154 |
— | — | UAB -1.7 | — | 74.2 | — | 57% UAB | › | |
| Half final |  4-1 · #127  1-3 · #289 |
— | — | MCN -5.6 | — | 69.2 | — | 73% MCN | › | |
| Half final |  4-2 · #200  5-2 · #83 |
— | — | KSU -8.2 | — | 74.1 | — | 81% KSU | › | |
| Half final |  7-0 · #203  7-0 · #65 |
— | — | COLO -6.8 | — | 71.6 | — | 77% COLO | › | |
| Half final |  4-3 · #169  6-1 · #85 |
— | — | STAN -9.8 | — | 72.9 | — | 86% STAN | › |
The model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves; ESPN posts no 1st-half lines for college games. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record