Trojan Arena · at Troy
Closing line
TROY -17.5✓ WGA covered by 21.5
TROY -17.5✓ WGA covered by 21.5Closing total150.5Over by 31.5
 WGA | This season | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WGA 73–86 TROY · ✗ TROY (88%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGA | 27 | 38 | 12 | 16 | 93 |
| TROY | 28 | 37 | 12 | 12 | 89 |
1st half: WGA 27, TROY 28 (TROY by 1). The model had TROY by 7.9 and a total of 74.2 (actual 55).
Team stats
| WGA | TROY | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-87 43% | Field goals | 31-70 44% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 11-22 50% | Free throws | 18-29 62% |
| 48 17 off | Rebounds | 52 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 2 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| WGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton Williams-Dryden F | 46 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7-17 | 1-3 |
| Kolten Griffin F | 43 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Chas Lewless G | 36 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 9-15 | 3-4 |
| Kenneth Chime PF | 18 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Brady Hardewig G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith G | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5-20 | 1-8 |
| Xavier Shegog F | 22 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| JaVar Daniel F | 21 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-0 |
| Malcolm Noel G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Max Young, Cameron Merritt, Eric Baldassarre, Micah Smith, Nate Jones, Matija Zuzic, Maddox Fowles
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Seng F | 42 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 6-14 | 0-4 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 42 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7-16 | 1-5 |
| Thomas Dowd F | 41 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 7-10 | 5-7 |
| Victor Valdes F | 38 | 29 | 4 | 6 | 7-14 | 2-5 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 38 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kerrington Kiel F | 19 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Austin Cross G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 13 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Corbin Green F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Evan Griffin, Kameryn Mitchell, Emmanuel Clarton, Javen Colbert, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow, Hikaru Awata
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTROY -16.5
1 → TROY
CloseTROY -17.5
1 pt toward TROY
Total
Open149.5
▲ 1
Close150.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
WGA +1100 · TROY -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TROY -16.5 · closed TROY -17.5 · moved 1 toward TROYmodel TROY -13.5
model TROY -13.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 1 upmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TROY -17.5 | TROY -13.4 | WGA +4.1 | W WGA covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 158.5 | Over 8.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WGA 72.6 · TROY 86 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TROY -7.9 | TROY -1.0 |
| 1H total | 74.2 | 55 |
| 1H projected score | WGA 33.1 · TROY 41.1 | WGA 27 · TROY 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WGAlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
| TROYlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WGA 0–1 TROYTROY leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WGA 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024-25 | TROY 84 @ WGA 65 | WGA +14.5 | TROY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
West Georgia
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NEB
NEBL 53-86
−8.5
10
@
UCLA
UCLAL 62-83
+9.5
14
vs
CIT
CITW 100-92
+1.5
17
@
TNTC
TNTCW 61-59
+6.5
21
vs
UPST
UPSTW 72-64
+5.5
23
@
GT
GTL 66-82
+2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NEB
NEBL 53-86
−14.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-83
−1.5
14
vsCIT
CITW 100-92
+41.5
17
@TNTC
TNTCW 61-59
−32.5
21
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-64
−17.5
23
@GT
GTL 66-82
+3.5
over 2under 4avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Troy
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +18.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KENT | W 103-97 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | @ FUR | W 64-61 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ LMU | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ CSUN | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SDSU | W 108-107 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 20 | @ USC | L 106-107 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs TOL | L 68-75 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs SFPA | W 74-64 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+9.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
+5.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−6.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
−13.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+15.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+17.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−9.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−11.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+57.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
−27.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−3.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
+21.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+77.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+53.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−16.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−13.5
over 4under 4avg +18.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
West Georgia
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgia Tech66–82
- Wvs SC Upstate72–64
- W@ Tennessee Tech61–59
- Wvs The Citadel100–92
- L@ UCLA62–83
A week or more of rest.
Troy
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves74–64
- Lvs Toledo68–75
- L@ USC106–107
- W@ San Diego St108–107
- L@ CSU Northridge85–94
5 days since their last game.