Premier America Credit Union Arena · at CSU Northridge
Closing line
TROY -4.5✓ CSUN covered by 13.5
TROY -4.5✓ CSUN covered by 13.5Closing total157.5Over by 21.5
| TROY | This season | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 1-2 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TROY 80–75 CSUN · ✗ TROY (66%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 49 | 36 | 85 |
| CSUN | 51 | 43 | 94 |
1st half: TROY 49, CSUN 51 (CSUN by 2). The model had TROY by 3.1 and a total of 72.5 (actual 100).
Team stats
| TROY | CSUN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 38-67 57% |
| 10-31 32% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 19-22 86% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 25 7 off | Rebounds | 42 15 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Seng F | 31 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Victor Valdes F | 31 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5-11 | 1-6 |
| Thomas Dowd F | 31 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 5-13 | 3-8 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 28 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kerrington Kiel F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Austin Cross G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Javen Colbert G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Corbin Green F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Clarton G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow, Hikaru Awata, Evan Griffin, Kameryn Mitchell
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis G | 35 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 8-14 | 0-1 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 34 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 9-14 | 2-5 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 32 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Larry Hughes II G | 27 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-4 |
| Davius Loury F | 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brinson G | 21 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 19 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-4 |
| Aleks Szymczyk C | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Grady Lewis F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Omer Dahan, Max Rehl, Greg Gazarian, Robert Thibiant, Jalen Barbee, Joseph Barrio, Quinton Webb
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTROY -4.5
ModelTROY -4.8
Model edgeTROY +0.3
L CSUN covered
Total
Market157.5
Model154.8
Model edgeUnder 2.7
L Over
Projected score
TROY 79.8 · CSUN 75
TROY 85 · CSUN 94
Win probability
TROY 66%
1st half
Spread
TROY -3.1
CSUN -2.0
Total
72.5
100 points
Projected score
TROY 37.8 · CSUN 34.7
TROY 49 · CSUN 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTROY -3.5
1 → TROY
CloseTROY -4.5
1 pt toward TROY
Total
Open156.5
▲ 1
Close157.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TROY -195 · CSUN +165
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TROY -3.5 · closed TROY -4.5 · moved 1 toward TROYmodel TROY -5
model TROY -5
Opened 156.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROYlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
| CSUNlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Troy
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
KENT
KENTW 103-97
+9.5
7
@
FUR
FURW 64-61
+5.5
14
@
LMU
LMUL 63-74
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+57.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
−27.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−3.5
over 1under 2avg +8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
CSU Northridge
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −11.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@
UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@
NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −11.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
over 2under 1avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Troy
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ LMU63–74
- W@ Furman64–61
- W@ Kent State103–97
2 days since their last game.
CSU Northridge
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Dakota St68–90
- W@ North Dakota93–85
- L@ Northern Iowa57–86
5 days since their last game.