Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St
Closing line
KSU -12.5✓ BGSU covered by 28.5
KSU -12.5✓ BGSU covered by 28.5Closing total159.5Under by 11.5
 BGSU | This season | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 5-2 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 1-5 | O/U | 6-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BGSU 72–86 KSU · ✗ KSU (89%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | 49 | 33 | 82 |
| KSU | 35 | 31 | 66 |
1st half: BGSU 49, KSU 35 (BGSU by 14). The model had KSU by 8.2 and a total of 74.1 (actual 84).
Team stats
| BGSU | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 24-61 39% |
| 12-26 46% | 3-pointers | 6-23 26% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 12-22 55% |
| 39 15 off | Rebounds | 32 13 off |
| 16 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| BGSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Ruffin G | 38 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 5-11 | 5-8 |
| Justin Thomas G | 35 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Sam Towns F | 34 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 9-14 | 3-5 |
| Javontae Campbell G | 33 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Troy Glover II F | 23 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Shackelford G | 25 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Mayar Wol F | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Jason Kimbrough, Makhi Leach, Camden Karel, Christian Dedivanaj, Mohamed Maxamud, Aiden Goins, Alijah Adem, Preston Squire, Jaxon Pardon, Greg Spurgin
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Castillo G | 33 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 8-15 | 3-9 |
| PJ Haggerty G | 32 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 6-19 | 1-4 |
| Nate Johnson G | 32 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 23 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. G | 22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Jones G | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Mobi Ikegwuruka F | 16 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Taj Manning F | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Johnson F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrej Kostic, Stephen Osei, Dorin Buca, Exavier Wilson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKSU -12.5
ModelKSU -13.8
Model edgeKSU +1.3
L BGSU covered
Total
Market159.5
Model158.3
Model edgeUnder 1.2
W Under
Projected score
BGSU 72.2 · KSU 86
BGSU 82 · KSU 66
Win probability
KSU 89%
1st half
Spread
KSU -8.2
BGSU -14.0
Total
74.1
84 points
Projected score
BGSU 32.9 · KSU 41.1
BGSU 49 · KSU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKSU -13.5
1 → BGSU
CloseKSU -12.5
1 pt toward BGSU
Total
Open160.5
▼ 1
Close159.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BGSU +625 · KSU -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KSU -13.5 · closed KSU -12.5 · moved 1 toward BGSUmodel KSU -14
model KSU -14
Opened 160.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGSUlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 1-5 17% |
| KSUlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 3-4 43% | 6-1 86% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bowling Green
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +6.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
TXST
TXSTW 83-48
+29.5
9
vs
LEM
LEMW 83-60
+11.5
15
@
DAV
DAVL 87-91
+0.5
19
vs
W&M
W&ML 74-82
−16.5
24
vs
BUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−5.5
26
vs
VMI
VMIW 81-48
+21.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
−15.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
−11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+33.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−11.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−7.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
−19.5
over 1under 5avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-1
86% overs · avg +7.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs MSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
over 6under 1avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bowling Green
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs VMI81–48
- Wvs Bucknell71–66
- Lvs William & Mary74–82
- L@ Davidson87–91
- Wvs Le Moyne83–60
5 days since their last game.
Kansas St
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana69–86
- Lvs Nebraska85–86
- Wvs Mississippi St98–77
- Wvs Tulsa84–83
- Wvs California99–96
6 days since their last game.