McDermott Center · at Incarnate Word · Conference game
Closing line
MCN -10.5✓ UIW covered by 14.5
MCN -10.5✓ UIW covered by 14.5Closing total145.5Under by 7.5
| MCN | This season | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 1-3 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MCN 78–69 UIW · ✗ MCN (79%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| UIW | 34 | 37 | 71 |
1st half: MCN 32, UIW 34 (UIW by 2). The model had MCN by 5.6 and a total of 69.2 (actual 66).
Team stats
| MCN | UIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-52 50% | Field goals | 23-50 46% |
| 3-15 20% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 23 7 off | Rebounds | 29 11 off |
| 5 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Richards Jr. G | 33 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Javohn Garcia G | 33 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Tyshawn Archie G | 22 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jerrell Colbert F | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carl Cherenfant G | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Garwey Dual G | 23 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 8-10 | 0-1 |
| Peitok Machar F | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Larry Johnson G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Yanis Ndjonga F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Akim Mazou, Erik Villarreal, Kaleb Brewer, JJ Rembert, T'Johnn Brown
| UIW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj Staveskie G | 38 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Davion Bailey G | 37 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 8-19 | 7-15 |
| Jordan Pyke G | 36 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Harold Woods G | 34 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Glover F | 22 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Williams C | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Mihael Tomic G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Love Bettis G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Harrison Reede G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Esteban Mann, Isaiah Kortas, Drew Barbee, Amani Drummond, Lewis Rowe, Tyler Simon
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMCN -7.5
3 → MCN
CloseMCN -10.5
3 pts toward MCN
Total
Open149.5
▼ 4
Close145.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MCN -750 · UIW +525
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MCN -7.5 · closed MCN -10.5 · moved 3 toward MCNmodel MCN -9
model MCN -9
Opened 149.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 4 downmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MCN -10.5 | MCN -9.0 | UIW +1.5 | W UIW covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 147.8 | Over 2.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MCN 78.4 · UIW 69.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MCN -5.6 | UIW -2.0 |
| 1H total | 69.2 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | MCN 37.4 · UIW 31.8 | MCN 32 · UIW 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCNlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
| UIWlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MCN 5–2 UIWMCN leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MCN has won the last 4 meetings · MCN 1-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024-25 | UIW 65 @ MCN 67 | MCN -15.5 | UIW W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UIW 71 @ MCN 87 | MCN -26.5 | UIW W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | MCN 80 @ UIW 66 | UIW +14.5 | UIW W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | UIW 76 @ MCN 78 | MCN -5.5 | UIW W |
| Jan 26, 2022-23 | MCN 65 @ UIW 70 | UIW +1.5 | UIW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
McNeese
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vs
UL
ULW 88-62
+10.5
23
vs
GW
GWW 92-86
+11.5
24
vs
MUR
MURW 73-60
+10.5
25
vs
MTSU
MTSUW 72-62
+0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+15.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+20.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
−25.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
−13.5
over 2under 3avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Incarnate Word
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CSU
CSUL 64-98
−23.5
16
@
IU
IUL 61-69
+20.5
20
vs
USI
USIW 87-81
−3.5
22
vs
HPU
HPUL 80-91
+1.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
+14.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
−27.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
+22.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+10.5
over 3under 1avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
McNeese
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs MTSU72–62
- Wvs Murray St73–60
- Wvs G Washington92–86
- Wvs Louisiana88–62
- L@ Santa Clara67–79
6 days since their last game.
Incarnate Word
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs High Point80–91
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles87–81
- L@ Indiana61–69
- L@ Colorado St64–98
A week or more of rest.