McNeese Cowboys vs George Washington Revolutionaries: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 23, 5:00 PM ETJohn Gray Gymnasium · Neutral site

#127MCNMcNeese92▲ winner

Final

Closing lineGW -5.5✓ MCN covered by 11.5

Closing total157.5Over by 20.5

Season records: McNeese and G Washington
MCN	This season	GW
1-1	Record	5-0
1-1	ATS	4-1
1-1	O/U	3-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: MCN 73–80 GW · ✗ GW (74%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
MCN	47	45	92
GW	39	47	86

1st half: MCN 47, GW 39 (MCN by 8). The model had GW by 4.3 and a total of 71.5 (actual 86).

Team stats

MCN		GW
32-67 48%	Field goals	25-54 46%
5-16 31%	3-pointers	12-31 39%
23-28 82%	Free throws	24-30 80%
30 15 off	Rebounds	41 18 off
15	Assists	16
17	Steals	3
5	Blocks	7
8	Turnovers	24
26	Fouls	24
46	Points in paint	22
25	Fast-break points	9

Players

MCN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Javohn Garcia G	33	18	0	1	5-14	2-5
Jacolb Fredson-Cole F	25	9	1	1	4-11	0-2
DJ Richards Jr. G	21	8	1	0	2-7	2-4
Tyshawn Archie G	17	4	0	4	1-7	0-2
Jerrell Colbert F	13	6	3	0	2-2	0-0
Bench
Garwey Dual G	28	16	2	7	6-9	0-2
Peitok Machar F	26	15	14	0	6-7	0-0
Larry Johnson G	22	16	1	2	6-8	1-1
Carl Cherenfant G	15	0	5	0	0-2	0-0

Did not play: Yanis Ndjonga, T'Johnn Brown, JJ Rembert, Erik Villarreal, Kaleb Brewer, Akim Mazou

GW	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Bubu Benjamin G	24	3	5	1	0-4	0-4
Trey Autry G	24	9	6	3	3-6	3-6
Christian Jones G	23	8	0	4	2-4	0-2
Rafael Castro F	22	11	7	0	3-6	0-0
Tyrone Marshall Jr. F	18	2	4	2	1-4	0-1
Bench
Garrett Johnson F	29	26	2	3	7-10	5-8
Tre Dinkins G	26	16	2	1	5-10	4-8
Luke Hunger F	18	4	8	0	1-4	0-0
Jean Aranguren G	16	7	1	2	3-6	0-2

Did not play: Ty Bevins, Vincent Chaudhri, Amir Arrington, Mohamed Binzagr, Jalen Rougier-Roane, Trey Moss

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	GW -5.5	GW -7.4	GW +1.9	L MCN covered
Total	157.5	152.6	Under 4.9	L Over
Projected score	—	MCN 72.6 · GW 80

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	GW -4.3	MCN -8.0
1H total	71.5	86
1H projected score	MCN 33.6 · GW 37.9	MCN 47 · GW 39

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
MCN LW	1-1	50%	—	0-1
GW LWWWW	4-1	80%	1-0	3-1

Venue/role: MCN neutral site, as underdog; GW neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
MCN UO	1-1	50%	1-1
GW UOOOU	3-2	60%	5-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MCNlast 2	1-1 50%	1-1 50%	1-1 50%
GWlast 5	5-0 100%	4-1 80%	3-2 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

McNeese

2 games played

Straight up

1-1

50% wins

Against the spread

1-1

50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-1

50% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-150%

L W

1 of 2 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-150%

L W

1 of 2 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-150%

U O

1 of 2 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@SCU	L 67-79	+6.5	L −5.5	151.5	U 146
Nov 14	vsUL	W 88-62	-15.5	W +10.5	134.5	O 150

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SCU

L 67-79

−5.5

W 88-62

+10.5

covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SCU

L 67-79

−5.5

W 88-62

+15.5

over 1under 1avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin

G Washington

5 games played

Straight up

5-0

100% wins

Against the spread

4-1

80% covers · avg +9.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-2

60% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-0100%

W W W W W

5 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-180%

L W W W W

4 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-260%

U O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsME	W 67-47	-20.5	L −0.5	143.5	U 114
Nov 8	vsUSF	W 99-95	+1.5	W +5.5	159.5	O 194
Nov 12	vsAMER	W 107-67	-17.5	W +22.5	151.5	O 174
Nov 15	vsODU	W 96-73	-15.5	W +7.5	155.5	O 169
Nov 19	vsUMBC	W 89-52	-22.5	W +14.5	160.5	U 141

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

W 67-47

−0.5

USF

W 99-95

+5.5

AMER

W 107-67

+22.5

ODU

W 96-73

+7.5

UMBC

W 89-52

+14.5

covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +9.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

W 67-47

−29.5

USF

W 99-95

+34.5

AMER

W 107-67

+22.5

ODU

W 96-73

+13.5

UMBC

W 89-52

−19.5

over 3under 2avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

McNeese Cowboys vs George Washington Revolutionaries

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

McNeese

G Washington

McNeese

G Washington