Charles E. Smith Center · at G Washington
Closing line
GW -22.5✓ GW covered by 14.5
GW -22.5✓ GW covered by 14.5Closing total160.5Under by 19.5
 UMBC | This season | GW |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 4-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 71–91 GW · ✓ GW (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 17 | 35 | 52 |
| GW | 47 | 42 | 89 |
1st half: UMBC 17, GW 47 (GW by 30). The model had GW by 12.4 and a total of 75.8 (actual 64).
Team stats
| UMBC | GW | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-54 33% | Field goals | 34-63 54% |
| 5-23 22% | 3-pointers | 13-27 48% |
| 11-18 61% | Free throws | 8-12 67% |
| 29 6 off | Rebounds | 43 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jah'Likai King G | 31 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2-12 | 1-7 |
| Ace Valentine G | 28 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 26 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 17 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Cougar Downing G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Paul Greene F | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Tim Eze F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jake Stout F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devin Ceaser, Regimantas Ciunys, Saahil Thakkar
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Jones G | 23 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-2 |
| Trey Autry G | 23 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bubu Benjamin G | 21 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Rafael Castro F | 21 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Dinkins G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Garrett Johnson F | 20 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 20 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Luke Hunger F | 19 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Ty Bevins G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Amir Arrington G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mohamed Binzagr G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Moss, Jalen Rougier-Roane, Vincent Chaudhri
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGW -23.5
1 → UMBC
CloseGW -22.5
1 pt toward UMBC
Total
Open162.5
▼ 2
Close160.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC +2500 · GW -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GW -23.5 · closed GW -22.5 · moved 1 toward UMBCmodel GW -21
model GW -21
Opened 162.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 2 downmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GW -22.5 | GW -20.8 | UMBC +1.7 | L GW covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 161.9 | Over 1.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UMBC 70.6 · GW 91.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GW -12.4 | GW -30.0 |
| 1H total | 75.8 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | UMBC 31.7 · GW 44.1 | UMBC 17 · GW 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBClast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| GWlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@
MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vs
WAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
over 1under 2avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
G Washington
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +8.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
8
vs
USF
USFW 99-95
+5.5
12
vs
AMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vs
ODU
ODUW 96-73
+7.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+34.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+13.5
over 3under 1avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wagner71–70
- W@ Morgan St81–79
- L@ Dayton71–77
3 days since their last game.
G Washington
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Old Dominion96–73
- Wvs American107–67
- Wvs South Florida99–95
- Wvs Maine67–47
4 days since their last game.