Maples Pavilion · at Stanford
Closing line
STAN -14.5✓ MTST covered by 5.5
STAN -14.5✓ MTST covered by 5.5Closing total148.5Under by 3.5
 MTST | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTST 68–82 STAN · ✓ STAN (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 31 | 37 | 68 |
| STAN | 36 | 41 | 77 |
1st half: MTST 31, STAN 36 (STAN by 5). The model had STAN by 8.9 and a total of 70.2 (actual 67).
Team stats
| MTST | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-58 47% | Field goals | 28-62 45% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 39 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 12 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian King F | 35 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 5-17 | 1-8 |
| Cavin Holden G | 33 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-6 |
| Jed Miller G | 33 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Patrick McMahon G | 31 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-1 |
| Chris Hodges F | 26 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Waka Mbatch F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Davian Brown G | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Steppe F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: James Steward, Seth Amunrud, CJ Purdie, Howie Keene, Grayson Gaddis, Calum Rutherfurd
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 35 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 7-15 | 1-3 |
| Benny Gealer G | 32 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Chisom Okpara F | 31 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 28 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 26 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 18 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Kristers Skrinda F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Grant G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Jones, Jaylen Thompson, Ethan Kitch, Donavin Young, Tallis Toure, Anthony Batson Jr., Evan Stinson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -14.5
no move
CloseSTAN -14.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 2
Close148.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MTST +900 · STAN -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -14.5 · unchangedmodel STAN -15
model STAN -15
Opened 150.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | STAN -14.5 | STAN -14.9 | STAN +0.4 | L MTST covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 149.8 | Over 1.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MTST 67.5 · STAN 82.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | STAN -8.9 | STAN -5.0 |
| 1H total | 70.2 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | MTST 30.7 · STAN 39.5 | MTST 31 · STAN 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSTlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
| STANlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana St
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vs
DEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
over 2under 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +16 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
PRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vs
MONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
over 2under 0avg +16 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana St
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Denver73–75
- L@ Colorado78–84
3 days since their last game.
Stanford
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Montana91–68
- Wvs Portland St89–79
4 days since their last game.