The Thunderdome · at Santa Barbara · Conference game
Closing line
UCSB -12.5✓ UCSB covered by 12.5
UCSB -12.5✓ UCSB covered by 12.5Closing total145.5Over by 47.5
 CSUB | This season | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 5-2 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 2-5 |
| 3-5 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUB 71–81 UCSB · ✓ UCSB (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 36 | 48 | 84 |
| UCSB | 51 | 58 | 109 |
1st half: CSUB 36, UCSB 51 (UCSB by 15). The model had UCSB by 5.9 and a total of 71.0 (actual 87).
Team stats
| CSUB | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-48 50% | Field goals | 34-61 56% |
| 10-19 53% | 3-pointers | 14-29 48% |
| 26-37 70% | Free throws | 27-34 79% |
| 22 5 off | Rebounds | 40 15 off |
| 12 | Assists | 25 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 24 | Fouls | 25 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ George G | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| CJ Hardy G | 28 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 7-13 | 3-6 |
| Dailin Smith G | 24 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Ronald Jessamy F | 24 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Tom Mark F | 24 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5-6 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mike Price G | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Jaden Alexander G | 18 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. C | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kadar Waller G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Purnell G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bentley Waller G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| TJ James Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Colin Darby, Caleb McCarty
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 29 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 11-13 | 7-7 |
| CJ Shaw G | 29 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Zion Sensley G | 28 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-7 |
| Colin Smith F | 19 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| ZZ Clark G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Luke Zuffelato G | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Shingange G | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| John Simcoe F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Haughy F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryce Bedgood, Jason Fontenet II, Miro Little, Koat Keat Tong
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -11.5
1 → UCSB
CloseUCSB -12.5
1 pt toward UCSB
Total
Open146.5
▼ 1
Close145.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
CSUB +600 · UCSB -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -11.5 · closed UCSB -12.5 · moved 1 toward UCSBmodel UCSB -10
model UCSB -10
Opened 146.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSB -12.5 | UCSB -10.1 | CSUB +2.4 | L UCSB covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 151.7 | Over 6.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CSUB 70.8 · UCSB 80.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSB -5.9 | UCSB -15.0 |
| 1H total | 71.0 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | CSUB 32.5 · UCSB 38.5 | CSUB 36 · UCSB 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUBlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 3-5 38% | 3-5 38% |
| UCSBlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 2-5 29% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CSUB 0–8 UCSBUCSB leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCSB has won the last 8 meetings · CSUB 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | CSUB 66 vs UCSB 71 | UCSB -5.5 | CSUB W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | UCSB 81 @ CSUB 75 | CSUB +3.5 | UCSB W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | CSUB 66 @ UCSB 78 | UCSB -7.5 | UCSB W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | UCSB 70 @ CSUB 59 | CSUB +2.5 | UCSB W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | CSUB 64 @ UCSB 66 | UCSB -8.5 | CSUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bakersfield
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CAL | L 60-87 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIU | W 74-58 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ MISS | L 60-82 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 17 | @ PRST | L 80-93 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 22 | vs MVSU | W 86-70 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ FSU | L 59-89 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs FRES | W 76-71 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUN | L 66-87 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−11.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
+8.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
−4.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
−5.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−3.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
+15.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−0.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
−9.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
+17.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−11.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
−3.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−2.5
over 3under 5avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Barbara
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@
SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vs
LMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@
NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vs
LEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vs
SEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vs
LBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
over 5under 2avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bakersfield
3-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CSU Northridge66–87
- Wvs Fresno St76–71
- L@ Florida St59–89
- Wvs Miss Valley St86–70
- L@ Portland St80–93
2 days since their last game.
Santa Barbara
5-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Beach St84–77
- Wvs Seattle U74–71
- Wvs Lehigh72–70
- L@ Nevada64–77
- Lvs LMU74–78
2 days since their last game.