Hart Center Arena · at Holy Cross · Conference game
Closing line
AMER -4.5✓ AMER covered by 4.5
AMER -4.5✓ AMER covered by 4.5Closing total139.5Over by 3.5
| AMER | This season | HC |
|---|---|---|
| 10-8 | Record | 6-12 |
| 12-6 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AMER 72–69 HC · ✓ AMER (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 41 | 35 | 76 |
| HC | 27 | 40 | 67 |
1st half: AMER 41, HC 27 (AMER by 14). The model had AMER by 2.0 and a total of 65.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| AMER | HC | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-59 51% | Field goals | 23-52 44% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 10-12 83% | Free throws | 12-14 86% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 11 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones F | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Matt Mayock F | 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 27 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| Kade Sebastian G | 21 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madden Collins G | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 8-13 | 1-1 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Chris Eagan F | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Luke Brown F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dean Hogans G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Jones, Adrian Samuels, Carson McDonald, Matthew Casey, Jack Anderson, Eric Michaels, Shane O'Reilly, Kamran Prince, Gibraltar Coleman
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Boston G | 37 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Joe Nugent F | 34 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 6-9 |
| Gabe Warren G | 33 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Aiden Disu F | 32 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| DeAndre Williams G | 28 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John St. Germain III G | 20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Will Aljancic F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chuck Hare F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Mejia, Ethan Clark, Tim Finau, Jude Haigh, Aidan Richard, Ben Capron, Jaden Kirkwood, Declan Ryan
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAMER -4.5
no move
CloseAMER -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▲ 2
Close139.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
AMER -218 · HC +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AMER -4.5 · unchangedmodel AMER -3
model AMER -3
Opened 137.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 upmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AMER -4.5 | AMER -3.2 | HC +1.3 | L AMER covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 140.6 | Over 1.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | AMER 71.9 · HC 68.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AMER -2.0 | AMER -14.0 |
| 1H total | 65.9 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | AMER 33.9 · HC 31.9 | AMER 41 · HC 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| HC | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
AMER 7–3 HCAMER leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · AMER 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | HC 84 @ AMER 73 | AMER -8.5 | HC W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | AMER 74 @ HC 65 | HC +1.5 | AMER W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | HC 64 @ AMER 75 | AMER -6.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | AMER 56 @ HC 58 | HC +5.5 | HC W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | HC 65 @ AMER 84 | AMER -10.5 | AMER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
American
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
12-6
67% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | @ UVA | L 51-95 | +27.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vs L-MD | W 84-69 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ BU | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @ COLG | L 62-64 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vsHC | L 73-84 | -8.5 | L −19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 12 | vs NAVY | W 65-51 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 18 | @ ARMY | W 78-67 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 21 | vsCOLG | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−16.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
+6.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
+3.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
+3.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
−19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
+16.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
+2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 6avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−7.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
−1.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
−16.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
−22.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
+19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
−23.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
−2.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
−10.5
over 10under 8avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Holy Cross
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PROV | L 79-89 | +23.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ BYU | L 53-98 | +38.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 10 | @ UTAH | L 69-87 | +21.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 16 | vs HAMP | W 67-61 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ BRWN | L 49-68 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 21 | @ SHU | L 66-79 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 24 | vsSIE | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs NE | W 76-59 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ FOR | W 70-69 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 16 | vs DART | L 64-89 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ HARV | L 53-81 | +10.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUCK | W 65-58 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsNAVY | L 58-65 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 7 | @ LEH | L 58-66 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 10 | @AMER | W 84-73 | +8.5 | W +19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vsARMY | W 82-75 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 17 | @ LAF | L 55-74 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @NAVY | L 68-85 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+13.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−6.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+3.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
+10.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−16.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−5.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+5.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
+25.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+11.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
−23.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−17.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
+8.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−1.5
7
@LEH
LEHL 58-66
−5.5
10
@AMER
AMERW 84-73
+19.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 82-75
+2.5
17
@LAF
LAFL 55-74
−16.5
21
@NAVY
NAVYL 68-85
−5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+15.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−14.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+0.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
−20.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−24.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−7.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+4.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
−10.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+0.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
+5.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−2.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
−10.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−14.5
7
@LEH
LEHL 58-66
−13.5
10
@AMER
AMERW 84-73
+19.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 82-75
+14.5
17
@LAF
LAFL 55-74
−9.5
21
@NAVY
NAVYL 68-85
+18.5
over 8under 10avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
American
10-8 overall · 5-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colgate70–66
- W@ Army78–67
- Wvs Navy65–51
- Lvs Holy Cross73–84
- L@ Colgate62–64
3 days since their last game.
Holy Cross
6-12 overall · 3-4 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Navy68–85
- L@ Lafayette55–74
- Wvs Army82–75
- W@ American84–73
- L@ Lehigh58–66
3 days since their last game.