Kirby Sports Center · at Lafayette · Conference game
Closing line
LAF -2.5✓ LAF covered by 16.5
LAF -2.5✓ LAF covered by 16.5Closing total138.5Under by 9.5
 HC | This season | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| 6-10 | Record | 3-14 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 6-10 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 11-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HC 70–71 LAF · ✓ LAF (55%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 27 | 28 | 55 |
| LAF | 37 | 37 | 74 |
1st half: HC 27, LAF 37 (LAF by 10). The model had LAF by 0.8 and a total of 65.9 (actual 64).
Team stats
| HC | LAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-51 35% | Field goals | 26-63 41% |
| 5-20 25% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 15-24 63% |
| 31 6 off | Rebounds | 45 15 off |
| 7 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Nugent F | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Tyler Boston G | 31 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| DeAndre Williams G | 28 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Gabe Warren G | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-1 |
| Aiden Disu F | 24 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John St. Germain III G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Declan Ryan F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jude Haigh F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Will Aljancic F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Chuck Hare F | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Kirkwood G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tim Finau F | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Austin Mejia G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Clark F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan Richard, Ben Capron
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 31 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Caleb Williams G | 31 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 4-13 | 2-7 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 29 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 8-12 | 2-4 |
| Mark Butler G | 29 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-12 | 0-0 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 24 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Pettit G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Misha Bednostin C | 14 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| KaiMani Murdock F | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Joshua Wyche F | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Azzinaro F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Folabomi Fayemi G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Malik Rasul, Luka Savicevic, Chris Rubayo, Ashton Wallace, Justin Vander Baan, Beckett Currie, TJ Berger
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLAF -2.5
no move
CloseLAF -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▲ 1
Close138.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HC +110 · LAF -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LAF -2.5 · unchangedmodel LAF -1.5
model LAF -1.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 upmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LAF -2.5 | LAF -1.5 | HC +1.0 | L LAF covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 140.6 | Over 2.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | HC 69.6 · LAF 71 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LAF -0.8 | LAF -10.0 |
| 1H total | 65.9 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | HC 32.6 · LAF 33.3 | HC 27 · LAF 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| LAF | 2-8 20% | 3-6 33% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
HC 2–7 LAFLAF leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · HC 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | HC 68 @ LAF 69 | LAF -7.5 | HC W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | LAF 69 @ HC 74 | HC +2.5 | HC W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | HC 65 @ LAF 82 | LAF -5.5 | LAF W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | HC 59 @ LAF 75 | LAF -7.5 | LAF W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | LAF 72 @ HC 68 | HC +3.5 | LAF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Holy Cross
16 games played
Straight up
6-10
38% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PROV | L 79-89 | +23.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ BYU | L 53-98 | +38.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 10 | @ UTAH | L 69-87 | +21.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 16 | vs HAMP | W 67-61 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ BRWN | L 49-68 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 21 | @ SHU | L 66-79 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 24 | vs SIE | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs NE | W 76-59 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ FOR | W 70-69 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 16 | vs DART | L 64-89 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ HARV | L 53-81 | +10.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUCK | W 65-58 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs NAVY | L 58-65 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 7 | @ LEH | L 58-66 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 10 | @ AMER | W 84-73 | +8.5 | W +19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs ARMY | W 82-75 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+13.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−6.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+3.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
+10.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−16.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−5.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+5.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
+25.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+11.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
−23.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−17.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
+8.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−1.5
7
@LEH
LEHL 58-66
−5.5
10
@AMER
AMERW 84-73
+19.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 82-75
+2.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+15.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−14.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+0.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
−20.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−24.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−7.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+4.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
−10.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+0.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
+5.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−2.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
−10.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−14.5
7
@LEH
LEHL 58-66
−13.5
10
@AMER
AMERW 84-73
+19.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 82-75
+14.5
over 7under 9avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lafayette
17 games played
Straight up
3-14
18% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-5
69% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vs COR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @ STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 8 | @ PENN | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | @ CLT | L 67-81 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ GT | L 81-95 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 31 | vs COLG | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ L-MD | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | vs BU | L 67-83 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @NAVY | L 50-76 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 14 | @BUCK | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
+5.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
−2.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+2.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
−1.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
+13.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
−14.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−17.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
−4.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
+10.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+28.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
+15.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
−9.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
+7.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−15.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
+7.5
over 11under 5avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Holy Cross
6-10 overall · 3-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Army82–75
- W@ American84–73
- L@ Lehigh58–66
- Lvs Navy58–65
- Wvs Bucknell65–58
3 days since their last game.
Lafayette
3-14 overall · 1-4 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bucknell69–76
- L@ Navy50–76
- Lvs Boston U67–83
- W@ Loyola MD79–64
- Lvs Colgate77–85
3 days since their last game.