Reitz Arena · at Loyola MD · Conference game
Closing line
LAF -1.5✓ LAF covered by 13.5
LAF -1.5✓ LAF covered by 13.5Closing total152.5Under by 9.5
| LAF | This season | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| 2-11 | Record | 2-10 |
| 5-7 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 9-3 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAF 74–76 L-MD · ✗ L-MD (55%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 45 | 34 | 79 |
| L-MD | 25 | 39 | 64 |
1st half: LAF 45, L-MD 25 (LAF by 20). The model had L-MD by 0.8 and a total of 70.4 (actual 70).
Team stats
| LAF | L-MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-58 53% | Field goals | 24-61 39% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 8-15 53% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 38 9 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 20 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams G | 37 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 7-12 | 4-8 |
| Mark Butler G | 35 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 34 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 7-14 | 3-6 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 29 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 24 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Pettit G | 26 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Misha Bednostin C | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| KaiMani Murdock F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Azzinaro, Ashton Wallace, Beckett Currie, Folabomi Fayemi, TJ Berger, Joshua Wyche, Luka Savicevic, Chris Rubayo, Malik Rasul, Justin Vander Baan
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Speed G | 34 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Jacob Theodosiou G | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4-13 | 3-8 |
| Emmett Adair F | 26 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Stiemke G | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Sam Springer F | 22 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jonas Sirtautas F | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Sebastien Emenalo F | 14 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyson Commander G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Troy Cicero Jr. G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Carter Berg-McLean G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Everett Barnes F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peter Sposito, Ben Menker, Goap Kodi, Garrett Brennan
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenL-MD -1.5
3 → LAF
CloseLAF -1.5
3 pts toward LAF
Total
Open155.5
▼ 3
Close152.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
LAF -120 · L-MD +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened L-MD -1.5 · closed LAF -1.5 · moved 3 toward LAFmodel L-MD -1.5
model L-MD -1.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 3 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LAF -1.5 | L-MD -1.6 | L-MD +3.1 | L LAF covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 150.3 | Under 2.2 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | LAF 74.4 · L-MD 76 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | L-MD -0.8 | LAF -20.0 |
| 1H total | 70.4 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | LAF 34.8 · L-MD 35.6 | LAF 45 · L-MD 25 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 2-8 20% | 4-5 44% | 6-3 67% |
| L-MD | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
LAF 4–4 L-MDSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · LAF 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | L-MD 71 @ LAF 58 | LAF -4.5 | L-MD W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | LAF 80 @ L-MD 59 | L-MD -1.5 | LAF W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | L-MD 79 @ LAF 64 | LAF -9.5 | L-MD W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | LAF 70 @ L-MD 44 | L-MD +2.5 | LAF W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | LAF 70 @ L-MD 73 | L-MD +1.5 | L-MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lafayette
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-3
75% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vs COR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @ STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 8 | @ PENN | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | @ CLT | L 67-81 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ GT | L 81-95 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 31 | vs COLG | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
+5.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
−2.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+2.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
−1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
−4.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
+10.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+28.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
+15.5
over 9under 3avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Loyola MD
12 games played
Straight up
2-10
17% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TOW | L 56-67 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs NJIT | L 64-66 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vsSTO | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ FAIR | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 19 | @ DUQ | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ UK | L 46-88 | +35.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 30 | vs COPP | W 95-84 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ HAMP | L 71-93 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ VMI | L 70-86 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSM | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ GMU | L 79-86 | +23.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ AMER | L 69-84 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−2.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−12.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
+4.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+2.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+0.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−6.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+1.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
−15.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
−18.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
−5.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+16.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−18.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−9.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
−1.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+31.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+19.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−25.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+35.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
+21.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
+4.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
+2.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+18.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−1.5
over 7under 5avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lafayette
2-11 overall · 0-1 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Colgate77–85
- L@ Georgia Tech81–95
- L@ Charlotte67–81
- L@ Penn72–74
- Wvs Mercyhurst79–71
3 days since their last game.
Loyola MD
2-10 overall · 0-1 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ American69–84
- L@ George Mason79–86
- Lvs Mount St Marys73–81
- L@ VMI70–86
- L@ Hampton71–93
3 days since their last game.