Petersen Events Center · at Pitt · Conference game
Closing line
NCSU -6.5✓ NCSU covered by 2.5
NCSU -6.5✓ NCSU covered by 2.5Closing total144.5Over by 8.5
| NCSU | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 13-6 | Record | 8-11 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 11-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCSU 77–72 PITT · ✓ NCSU (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCSU | 34 | 47 | 81 |
| PITT | 33 | 39 | 72 |
1st half: NCSU 34, PITT 33 (NCSU by 1). The model had NCSU by 3.4 and a total of 69.6 (actual 67).
Team stats
| NCSU | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 25-68 37% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 22-27 81% | Free throws | 11-25 44% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 52 26 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 10 | Steals | 1 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland G | 36 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 32 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 5-9 |
| Darrion Williams F | 26 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Tre Holloman G | 22 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Able G | 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayme Kontuniemi, Jerry Deng, Colt Langdon, Alyn Breed, Jordan Snell, Zymicah Wilkins, Scottie Ebube
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 39 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Damarco Minor G | 37 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4-12 | 3-9 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 31 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 4-12 | 0-0 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 27 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Brandin Cummings G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 21 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Kieran Mullen C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Macari Moore G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jajuan Nelson, Dishon Jackson, Henry Lau, Amdy Ndiaye, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -5.5
1 → NCSU
CloseNCSU -6.5
1 pt toward NCSU
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NCSU -285 · PITT +230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -5.5 · closed NCSU -6.5 · moved 1 toward NCSUmodel NCSU -5.5
model NCSU -5.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NCSU -6.5 | NCSU -5.5 | PITT +1.0 | L NCSU covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 148.6 | Over 4.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NCSU 77 · PITT 71.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NCSU -3.4 | NCSU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 69.6 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | NCSU 36.5 · PITT 33.1 | NCSU 34 · PITT 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCSU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| PITT | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NCSU 1–4 PITTPITT leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · NCSU 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | PITT 63 @ NCSU 71 | NCSU +2.5 | NCSU W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | NCSU 73 @ PITT 81 | PITT -6.5 | PITT W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | PITT 67 @ NCSU 64 | NCSU -3 | PITT W |
| Dec 2, 2022-23 | PITT 68 @ NCSU 60 | NCSU -9.5 | PITT W |
| Feb 12, 2021-22 | NCSU 69 @ PITT 71 | PITT +1.5 | PITT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC State
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UAB | W 94-70 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNCG | W 110-64 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs VCU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs HALL | L 74-85 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs BOIS | W 81-70 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEX | L 97-102 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | @ AUB | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCA | W 75-63 | -28.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs LIB | W 85-45 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs KU | L 76-77 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 17 | vs TXSO | W 108-72 | -34.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 21 | vs MISS | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs WAKE | W 70-57 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs UVA | L 61-76 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 6 | @ BC | W 79-71 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ FSU | W 113-69 | -4.5 | W +39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | vs GT | L 74-78 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | @ CLEM | W 80-76 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
−18.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
+4.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
−6.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−4.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−16.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
+27.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+1.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
+6.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
+2.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−19.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
−3.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+39.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−21.5
20
@CLEM
CLEMW 80-76
+6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
+15.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
−1.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
+37.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−6.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−17.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
−19.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
+4.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+27.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
−10.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
−32.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−14.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
+8.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+21.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−2.5
20
@CLEM
CLEMW 80-76
+13.5
over 10under 9avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsCLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs SYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs LOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
over 11under 8avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC State
13-6 overall · 4-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Clemson80–76
- Lvs Georgia Tech74–78
- W@ Florida St113–69
- W@ Boston College79–71
- Lvs Virginia61–76
4 days since their last game.
Pitt
8-11 overall · 1-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boston College62–65
- Lvs Louisville59–100
- W@ Georgia Tech89–66
- Lvs Syracuse72–83
- Lvs Clemson68–73
3 days since their last game.