Lahaina Civic Center · Neutral site
Closing line
NCSU -7.5✓ HALL covered by 18.5
NCSU -7.5✓ HALL covered by 18.5Closing total143.5Over by 15.5
 HALL | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-0 | Record | 4-0 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 1-4 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HALL 69–77 NCSU · ✗ NCSU (74%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HALL | 35 | 50 | 85 |
| NCSU | 33 | 41 | 74 |
1st half: HALL 35, NCSU 33 (HALL by 2). The model had NCSU by 4.2 and a total of 68.3 (actual 68).
Team stats
| HALL | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-56 52% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 20-24 83% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 37 7 off | Rebounds | 30 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 9 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 22 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| HALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Fisher G | 34 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| AJ Staton-McCray G | 31 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 7-11 | 3-7 |
| Adam Clark G | 27 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Mike Williams III G | 19 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Stephon Payne F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tajuan Simpkins G | 28 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Na'jai Hines C | 21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Trey Parker G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jacob Dar G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Joshua Rivera F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Assane Mbaye, David Gabriel, Patrick Suemnick, Jahseem Felton, Godswill Erheriene
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 31 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-1 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 29 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Darrion Williams F | 29 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Quadir Copeland G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Tre Holloman G | 27 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Able G | 25 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-5 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jerry Deng F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Alyn Breed G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colt Langdon, Jayme Kontuniemi, Scottie Ebube, Jordan Snell, Zymicah Wilkins
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCSU -7.5
ModelNCSU -7.2
Model edgeHALL +0.3
W HALL covered
Total
Market143.5
Model145.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
HALL 69.3 · NCSU 76.5
HALL 85 · NCSU 74
Win probability
NCSU 74%
1st half
Spread
NCSU -4.2
HALL -2.0
Total
68.3
68 points
Projected score
HALL 32 · NCSU 36.2
HALL 35 · NCSU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -10.5
3 → HALL
CloseNCSU -7.5
3 pts toward HALL
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
HALL +320 · NCSU -425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -10.5 · closed NCSU -7.5 · moved 3 toward HALLmodel NCSU -7
model NCSU -7
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HALLlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 2-3 40% | 1-4 20% |
| NCSUlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Seton Hall
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SPU
SPUW 77-50
+13.5
7
vs
WAG
WAGW 68-61
−14.5
10
vs
FAIR
FAIRW 82-59
+8.5
13
vs
MONM
MONMW 70-58
−3.5
18
vs
NHVN
NHVNW 68-45
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSPU
SPUW 77-50
−2.5
7
vsWAG
WAGW 68-61
−5.5
10
vsFAIR
FAIRW 82-59
+3.5
13
vsMONM
MONMW 70-58
−7.5
18
vsNHVN
NHVNW 68-45
−16.5
over 1under 4avg −5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +7.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +14 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vs
UAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vs
UNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vs
VCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
over 3under 1avg +14 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Seton Hall
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Haven68–45
- Wvs Monmouth70–58
- Wvs Fairfield82–59
- Wvs Wagner68–61
- Wvs Saint Peter's77–50
6 days since their last game.
NC State
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs VCU85–79
- Wvs UNC Greensboro110–64
- Wvs UAB94–70
- Wvs NC Central114–66
A week or more of rest.